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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. Saw a brushfire alongside the highway in Springfield Near exit 3 (Armory exit) on the northbound side. It’s just before I91. Cops/fire trucks were there
  2. yeah this will be quite concerning today. Hopefully nothing happens.
  3. Probably but you have to be like right at it to really notice.
  4. My aunt leaves her AC in year round in her bedroom and in the living room. She has a very small place too and it doesn't get cold during the winter inside. I was going to do that at my girlfriends but I just took it out.
  5. Kicking off May with an EML/severe threat???
  6. I figure to get an early start now while the weather is quiet across the country All bets become off once Tropical season starts haha. but I am really struggling with the structure classification
  7. Below are my composites for weak EL Nino, moderate EL Nino, and strong EL Nino winter's. Weak EL Nino Winter's: Moderate EL Nino Winter's: Strong EL Nino Winter's:
  8. Maybe you've come across this, but I posted this to Ray in his ENSO thread. This is a great study and analysis on PDO state/trends and the strong correlation to forecasting prolonged heat episodes across the U.S. (in particular the SW and the East). https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-022-00237-7#Fig1 I find this to be one of the better studies/papers I've come across. Sometimes they can get way too involved in all the heavy math, but the analysis and explanations of everything is top notch.
  9. I get what you're saying...but I think you took what I meant to be a bit more complex I basically just meant nicer/constantly warm times are ahead (whether that be in May or June).
  10. I like to view these anomalies as "signs of things to come". It's what we can look forward too in the near-ish future.
  11. Actually Monday we may be able to squeak out a warmer day, especially east of 84 (with the front slowing down significantly). Tuesday could be quite cool and perhaps Wednesday too.
  12. First half of the week will be on the cooler side (especially compared to what's coming up). Lower 50's and 40's in the typical colder spots
  13. Stupid POS timing of the front Sunday. Guess the best potential for any strong thunderstorms will be back across PA/NY (as always). 60-70+ knots of bulk shear with maybe 500-1000 J o MLCAPE...not too bad. Maybe a cluster or two of some wind damage.
  14. It is a bit early to install now though...especially considering the beginning of next week looks ugly.
  15. There is a difference between installing and actually using.
  16. Then we freeze our fannies off early next week and have to deal with snow showers
  17. Looks like some strong thunderstorms possible Sunday. Timing of course kinda sucks though but that's some pretty impressive dynamics with modest CAPE.
  18. Hahaha I just flipped it over and stomped on it hahaha
  19. You can see from the video it’s supposed to be caves upwards ughhh
  20. Ughhh would anyone know why this is caved down instead of up? Only thing I can think of is the two larger poles are below the shorter one but the video shows them below the shorter one
  21. Bridgeport No. You're better off going into New Haven and going to Sally's or Pepes.
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