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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. Pretty much all guidance is a widespread 2-3'' of rain across an extensive area. Some of the mesos are spitting out strips of 3-4''. Based on the likelihood that there will be convective elements, plus some orographic influences, degree of lift, I think there will be some pockets of higher totals. It's pretty wild to see how widespread the rainfall totals are on all guidance. The wind signal too is quite concerning, though very uncertain. But I think we are going to see significant flooding and not just localized.
  2. I'm kind of surprised (though I guess I shouldn't be) this thread isn't getting more attention. Perhaps it's because we're right on the heels of this past weekend's event and everyone is exhausted, but this is going to be a very high impact storm. The flooding, particularly river and stream flooding is going to be very bad. Looking at a widespread 2-4'' of rain and I'm sure we'll see a strip of 5-7'' totals.
  3. yeah they'll be southerly... probably begin more southeast and then become more southerly. That line the 3km has though has me really intrigued. If something like that were to occur we probably would see widespread wind gusts 50-70 mph just ahead of that line as it moved east-northeast across the region.
  4. In terms of wind, the sustained winds may be more impressive than the gusts. But that certainly still keeps concern for tree damage/power outages.
  5. This is pretty interesting. Bufkit isn't all that impressive with the wind potential but I was looking at NBM and its pretty wild for some locations. Not sure what to make of it yet really. It's obviously all going to come down to mixing.
  6. yeah I was just looking through several soundings and don't really see anything indicative of good mixing (unless of course we get convection) but it seems on the inverted side at times and saturated with awful lapse rates.
  7. 3km NAM has a nice looking low topped forced line moving through
  8. Power went out briefly overnight. Thank God it came back up otherwise today would be a scramble work wise. What a beautiful winter scene this morning
  9. Not a bad forecast! Wish I hit in some aspects a bit better though in the discussion.
  10. 9.7” and still ripping!!!!! Got slammed the last few hours
  11. Ripping here. Will go measure at 1:00. I am not sure how accurate my measurement will be though. For the first time in many years I'm in an environment where I can measure accurately, just didn't prepare right. I'll measure off table outside and then within the yard. I had 4'' when I went to bed at 1 AM and I measured around 9 AM and had around 6''. I've had to pick up at least an inch or two since.
  12. That's right where the best llvl fronto is. Anywhere west of that, going to be really difficult to accumulate much.
  13. Was going to take a measurement at 1:00 and get some sleep but It looks like I'm about to get destroyed I've been right on the northern edge of the band but that is some hefty stuff coming in from northwest CT.
  14. This may be the heaviest of the night here so far.
  15. About 1.5” so far but should pick up quick with this band
  16. I'm really liking where this looks to be setting up. It's really pounding here. I'm going to take my first measurement at 11:30 but I definitely have to be at an inch by now and maybe close to 1.5''-2''.
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