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calculus1

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Everything posted by calculus1

  1. calculus1
    Snow is much smaller and lighter right now. Hoping it picks back up later this morning.
  2. calculus1
    The snow is so light and fluffy, it falls through the board cracks on the deck. Wow.
  3. calculus1
    I just looked at a bit of the modeling. I'm walking a fine line between good and amazing here in Hickory. RAP, HRRR, etc. paint the heaviest westward line right at the Caldwell/Catawba Counties border.
  4. calculus1
    Just released about ten minutes ago. So, this is on top of what has already fallen:
  5. calculus1
    Yeah, I was going off @WXNewton's post for my start time. He's essentially 20 minutes to my south and east.
  6. calculus1
    Right at two inches here in NE Hickory, NC! Beautiful snowfall. Very light and fluffy. Any wind at all just picks it up and blows it around. 21 F outside.
  7. calculus1
    It's a little scary living on the edge of this precipitation blob. If the ULL digs too far, I suppose the rates could drop significantly. I just measured a hair under two inches so far. Based on previous posts in this thread, I'm assuming it began around 3-4 AM, so I've averaged close to half-inch per hour rates so far.
  8. calculus1
    Yes, just turned much heavier here. This is beautiful! Pouring snow right now.
  9. calculus1
    I’m up now! It’s beautiful! Not too heavy, but so beautiful. Very light and fluffy. Somewhere between an inch and two so far. 21.3 outside. Looks like I’m on the northeastern edge of the precipitation shield right now.
  10. calculus1
    Absolutely loved that ECMWF run! Wowza! I love having the ECMWF in our corner for once. That is so rare. Usually, we are going the other way. Let's go!!
  11. calculus1
    Ugh. Those short range models have me nervous. The 6Z Euro still looks good, though.
  12. calculus1
    So, this is a chunk of the ice from the edge of my driveway. Still 2 inches thick. It has taken my son three days to clear one side of the 60-ft drive. Crazy staying power.
  13. calculus1
    "Red sky at night, sailors delight; red sky in morning, sailors take warning - a winter storm warning!"
  14. calculus1
    So much uncertainty still with this system. Here's a chart from NWS regarding snowfall amounts. I highlighted locations with 9 or more inches of spread in their possible outcomes. Crazy!
  15. calculus1
    From WPC this afternoon. Note the bold portion.
  16. calculus1
    WPC thinks it's a slam dunk that we at least have an inch of snowfall by the end of day 3. Not sure I've ever been in the 90% probability swath this far out.
  17. calculus1
    What does this mean? The surface low? The upper low? The model snow or QPF output at the surface? I have no idea how to interpret this statement.
  18. calculus1
    Wow, both those images are quite bullish for our area a full two days out. Fingers crossed...
  19. calculus1
    Umm... the wait is always the same between model release times. It's not longer simply because we have a storm on the horizon.
  20. calculus1
    Very similar to my driveway here in Hickory. Two inches thick of ice. My son "shoveled" off about a third of it today, and it took him almost 3 hours. My driveway is only 60 feet long, if that. He was using the backside of an ax to pummel the ice into pieces that could then be shoveled off into the yard. School is going to be remote in Catawba County for the rest of the week, I would imagine. And, then, we get to the weekend's event...
  21. calculus1
    It's looking great here at 3.5 days out, but it's still 3.5 days away. That's a lot of time for changes...
  22. calculus1
    This is our Foothills Forum's dream scenario.
  23. calculus1
    My point-and-click forecast for Saturday is rather funny. Heavy snow alongside partly sunny skies. =)
  24. calculus1
    I think something is wonky. I don’t think IP or ZR are even options with this storm. Currently at my high temp of the day of 36.3 F.
  25. calculus1
    Is Skip Waters the same as @beanskip? He used to post quite regularly on this board.
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