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Floydbuster

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Everything posted by Floydbuster

  1. Floydbuster
    The last few runs of the GFS show a hurricane threat to Western Florida mid November.
  2. Floydbuster
    The GFS continues to show a hurricane near Central America in the next 300 hrs. Likely more 992 mb than 892 mb though...
  3. Floydbuster
    Thankfully Melissa had tighter-wound bands that I expected, so the massive rain amounts were more limited than I expected.
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  5. Floydbuster
    One or two of the GFS ensembles had a Cat 1 hurricane into SW Florida around November 11th.
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  8. Floydbuster
    Dropped a category, I see. I figured they'd at least hold at a 4 since the satellite appearance had recovered this evening. But a few knots difference is paltry. I read that maybe recon is not finding much to support above 115 mph.
  9. Floydbuster
  10. Floydbuster
    How far can we go until we reach restricted Cuban airspace?
  11. Floydbuster
    I am amazed at how this thing has never weakened except while crossing Jamaica earlier today. It is an amazing machine of nature.
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  14. Floydbuster
    Reading around, I see that Hurricane Melissa could be the return period storm for the October 1780 "Savanna la Mar hurricane". 3,000 deaths were attributed to the storm just a week or so before the deadliest hurricane in Atlantic History hit the eastern Caribbean. Note the similar track. I wonder if Melissa is the 245 year return period storm for Jamaica.
  15. Floydbuster
    I am guessing about 180-185 mph is quite possibly the current intensity.
  16. Floydbuster
    So would Melissa be 190 mph sustained now?
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  18. Floydbuster
    Every hurricane is different. I remember in Hurricane Frances back in 2004, she had an eyewall replacement cycle nearly every single day.
  19. Floydbuster
    Melissa looks like it strengthened a bit the last few hours. Incredible.
  20. Floydbuster
    Those are just the 8pm statistics with the 5pm cone. The new cone would come out at 11pm.
  21. Floydbuster
    What new cone update?
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  23. Floydbuster
    Looking worse and worse for western Jamaica and Montego Bay.
  24. Floydbuster
    Yeah, I think Melissa is still deepening. Just a violent hurricane. 11am NHC discussion said the NOAA aircraft had to bail out earlier because of the extreme turbulence.
  25. Floydbuster
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