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Floydbuster

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Everything posted by Floydbuster

  1. This is way more intense than Georges was, especially after Georges interacted with land throughout the Caribbean. In fact, if I recall, Georges sort of underperformed in the Gulf of Mexico.
  2. Good grief Erin is primed to explode.
  3. No doubt this is going to be a massive Category 4 hurricane in the next two days, likely similar in looks and size to Hurricane Floyd 1999.
  4. I believe that we all have a right to post threads, make comments, and show our enthusiasm and love for hurricanes. We all share a common passion for weather, and all aspects of meteorology. The guy is excited and loves to post.... ...then again if he aggravatives me too much I'm gonna have to silence him on ignore.
  5. Recon should be in there in the next hour.
  6. Absolutely beautiful hurricane
  7. Some of the accounts on weather platforms are getting too caviler and cocky in their eyerolls about the GFS. We are in August during what should be a favorable MJO phase and *unlike last year* models show a ton of activity in the coming weeks. The fact that model runs from the GFS to the EURO have shown significant hurricanes after mid August is very troublesome, especially since they have been consistent. Be ready, it is on the way.
  8. I think we see a major hurricane in the Atlantic sometime later this month, and likely a threat to land masses of the Caribbean or Western Atlantic. The MJO pattern looks set to give us a good burst just in time for late August.
  9. I remember the long range GFS making a monster hurricane every run. One into Miami. One into New York City. The end result? Hurricane Dean, Cat 5 landfall in Yucatan. Not every long range GFS run is fantasy, especially when it is August and you have consistency run to run showing something developing. The track may be unknown, but something happening becomes more and more likely.
  10. I think things may turn on the next couple of weeks in the Atlantic. The long range ensembles look nasty, some showing hurricane landfalls in the Gulf or Florida east coast, and the wind shear is looking more and more favorable. This could all culminate during a positive phase of the MJO.
  11. Rest in Peace, Mr. Burns.
  12. I wonder if this season will be like 1998, 1999, 2004, 2017. Normal slow June and July and then the real activity starts in August. The last several seasons have had some oddball stuff like strong July activity, slow August activity, and prolonged Cape Verde activity into October.
  13. I have seen way worse for a July tropical storm. Looks robust considering it is weak and still sheared.
  14. I am surprised how well that line held together. It's still holding together moving into Pennsylvania. The HRRR kept showing much less of a bow for northeast Ohio.
  15. That eye looks very impressive, embedded right in the center of the bursting convection.
  16. https://x.com/TornadoWIS/status/1923091119270662400 These kids are insufferable.
  17. This pattern has been absolute hell. Not only did last weeks pressure changes mess with migraines and sinus issues, but I am in the process of moving and trying to conserve air conditioning and the temperature has either been too hot or when it does cool down, the air is some of the most wet and soupy mix I have ever felt.
  18. I wonder if and when we will return to the types of hurricane seasons we had when I was tracking as a preteen. 1998, 1999. We would have maybe one tropical storm between June 1st and August 15th and then crazy activity between late August and late September. Maybe one late season storm. I am not used to *such* late season activity. We used to get a Mitch or a Lenny or a Michelle, but other than that, most late seasons were quiet.
  19. I am seeing this stuff on social media. Is today really a "life altering" severe weather event?
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