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OceanStWx

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Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. OceanStWx
    Amazing consistency of peak gusts across our ASOS/AWOSs. Everything between 28 and 35 knots.
  2. OceanStWx
    Not entirely shocked about Maine, but NH surprises me a bit. Goes to show you how fine a line it is between destablization and run of the mill boomers.
  3. OceanStWx
    The wind seems to largely be a dud so far, or at least pretty isolated.
  4. OceanStWx
    I'm listening.
  5. OceanStWx
    I'm very interested in the cells from Saratoga to Rutland. Especially the one near Rutland. Great shape to it and the ZDR/KDP separation angle is nearly perpendicular.
  6. OceanStWx
    Really interesting VAD wind hodograph from ENX. That sickle look in the lowest km is well known for tornadoes (indicates a sharp turning of winds in the low levels). Now this is using SCH as an approximation for surface winds, so caveats there. But if this is something close to reality a few TORs issued today seems reasonable.
  7. OceanStWx
    I think if forecast low level winds weren't quite as parallel to the boundary they would be considering it. Going to need some of these sections of the line to really bow out to have a QLCS tornado threat.
  8. OceanStWx
    Subtle, but quite a few METARs are showing backing winds ahead of the front. Hudson Valley looks pretty primed at the moment.
  9. OceanStWx
    Jumped on the wine wagon before I headed to Italy.
  10. OceanStWx
    Straining to hear thunder over the hum of the AC units.
  11. OceanStWx
    Could be a lot of reasons for this. Small sample size altering perception, more rigorous surveying, etc. As you say, I do think a lot of the rest of it can be explained by higher dewpoints and/or nocturnal temps.
  12. OceanStWx
    1030 am MCD.
  13. OceanStWx
    Especially SNE it looks like the cold front undercuts the convection. Gradually it seems the HRRR wants to keep shear/cold pool balanced up across NNE, and actually a little nastier across ME than previous forecasts. Still a little skeptical because of the clouds.
  14. OceanStWx
    We talked it over with SPC this morning and agreed that holding off on enhanced is the best decision right now. There are a lot of ingredients in place for damage™ but there is also a lot of low cloud cover and it's late in the season to mix that out quickly. RAP soundings have things mixing out by 15-16z which gives us another chance to take a look before the 1630z update.
  15. OceanStWx
    Maybe even some of the tornadoes.
  16. OceanStWx
    Bunch of PWSs reporting in that range. There was some narrow training convection earlier this afternoon that did it.
  17. OceanStWx
    That's tough. North Windham has 1.5 to 2.5 so far.
  18. OceanStWx
    The man stuff in on the Cape.
  19. OceanStWx
    How about never?
  20. OceanStWx
    I do worry that the heavy showers over GYX now can trace back to that stuff in MHT. That might be the weenie zone.
  21. OceanStWx
    It looks like mostly a standard soaker, but I am a little concerned that jet forcing is rather stationary aloft until late tomorrow night. Various models have hinted at that narrow band of really big QPF numbers, and I think that could be legit. Something on the equatorward side of the 500 mb jet.
  22. OceanStWx
    Gust to 70 mph and a TDS in the ALB area.
  23. OceanStWx
    Anyone on the lake that didn't get back in time might've had a wild ride. Good microburst signature a little while ago with 72 knots at 300 ft.
  24. OceanStWx
    It's a 50,000 BTU inverter system, with the latest Mitsubishi models inside. The outdoor unit is capable of heating down to -13 without back up and 100% efficient into the single digits. Honestly not that common locally anymore, maybe a handful of days get below 0 and 15 or so around 5.
  25. OceanStWx
    Not to mention a stalled boundary to the north near Tennessee.
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