OceanStWx
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Everything posted by OceanStWx
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For one we can get the midnight to midnight totals easier that way, and two you do get the extra hour sleep
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The gradient on CoCoRaHS looks to be SW to NE, higher totals to the SW of Casco Bay dropping off towards Brunswick. What did you have around midnight, because that's when it looked like it was really going to town on radar.
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I think the more ragged nature of the system made for some weird distribution of amounts. I measured both what fell in my gauge and took a core sample and got 0.36" and 0.38". The ASOS measured 0.58" and @tunafish had 0.73" on the other side of the Jetport. That's like 7 or 8 miles as the crow flies. Then heading north QPE is back up to around 0.5" by the time you reach GYX.
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4.9" on 0.38" liquid. Jetport out to an early lead over me despite my elevation advantage.
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2.7” off 0.18” liquid. I may have to do a core sample, those 4” gauges can be a little light.
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Happening just on the cold side of the coastal front. Good news is the front seems to be holding if not drifting farther offshore.
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I would say it’s close, someone either in the southern Greens or around Sunapee might jack. Like freak said, someone who does well in blocked southeast flow that helped during the day today before the goodies tonight.
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Yeah, I think my snow map would’ve been a little more conservative than ours yesterday afternoon but I was overruled 2 to 1.
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Drive home featured lots of needles with the odd solo dendrite. Makes sense when you consider that we didn’t hit -10 until 578 mb on the balloon.
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I would imagine it stalls/slows as the heavier lift develops but I'm still assuming MHT succumbs around 8:30.
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The thing to remember about the WSW text too is that its an average across all zones included in that warning segment. So in this case everywhere from Pittsburg to Nashua. So it's a broad range.
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Now we don't have to rely solely on Scooter when he's visiting the lake for complaints about our snow forecasts! Well when you call it over when the event starts, sure. We still have you for 3 to 4 inches overnight and that is pretty much the consensus of models too. Things are a little ragged now, but the forecast is for the DGZ to saturate more thoroughly like 03-06z as the low gets a little deeper towards the Cape. That's your window for most of the accumulation.
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Hopefully the salt is washed off the truck.
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Just to the kids' Christmas presents.
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December 2021 Obs/Disco...Dreaming of a White-Weenie Xmas
OceanStWx replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Minus some missing data which shouldn't skew the results that much for a long climate record like BOS, the average is 26% of years with 1 inch on the ground. -
The meat wasn't really supposed to start until after 18z, so if you still see the sun then you can panic.
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December 2021 Obs/Disco...Dreaming of a White-Weenie Xmas
OceanStWx replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Yeah BOS records are in shambles from the 90s because they can't get Will's reconstructed data officially listed, but I do see a 11 inch snow depth in 1995. -
Maybe a toe poking through.
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Sometimes it's not surprising to start as sleet because that warm layer aloft hasn't wetbulbed down yet. 7 is probably the right higher end number.
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I like the snow depth map better. But I've like 4-6 for most of my CWA for the last couple of days.
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Just step out into the rain with the toaster still plugged in.
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Well the high school is sitting at a wet bulb of 40, which is what really matters. And that wet bulb should actually cool a bit tonight prior to clouds moving in. Color me more bearish if the 00z soundings are substantially off on their temps aloft.
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Yeah, I'm not sure what the real "bust" potential is for you. Expecting 8 and getting 5? Meh. Nearly the entire CWA should wet bulb down to 32 if not colder when precip comes in. Only place I'm slightly concerned with warm surface air is the Seacoast.
