OceanStWx

8 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said:

Almost makes me sad that I wasn't awake to know it was missing to the north.  I could have worked up quite the frothy rage.

 

I need a summer home around FYV.  Those people probably don't even know how good they have it.

You had to have done okay on 7/6/99. The Lakes Region got slammed. Moultonborough had a pretty nasty microburst.

What a 4th of July week that was.

6 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said:

Been waiting for my derecho for about 20 years now.  

Getting impatient.

Almost 20 years ago now: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/misc/AbtDerechos/casepages/jul4-51999page.htm

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

GFS is the new GGEM trop gone wild 

Old Yeller treatment. 

44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

What a heat dome developing out in the Plains later in the 11-15 day. Glad we don't live there.

If we can ditch the nagging low heights overhead we'd be primed for a nice EML around 240 hours. Just in time for Winni to be slammed for the 4th week.

56 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Man long range stuff really has July shaping up to be a humid, warm to at time hot month. WAR is flexing

So basically July-like? 

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Glad we don't live there.

Yeah, I think I'm going to take the under on 80 dews anyway.

FWIW, the 30mb mean dew point is in the low 70s Tuesday. That seems reasonable.

1 minute ago, mreaves said:

Do you really need to be further back in the woods?

The key is to hit it over everything and into the next fairway. That way you have a clear shot at the green from 250 out.

But the GFS and Euro do agree on some EML air coming our way, so it could be a toasty day.

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

From ball warmers to ice packs stuffed in fanny area?

Hey man it's like 2 yards more carry for every 10 degrees warmer, so I can squeeze out like 7-10 more yards off the tee. Every little bit helps. 

23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

GEFS and euro are warm next week. I wouldn't mind it. This weather sucks and I hate heat.

6 straight golf Mondays of 55 or cooler, and then we'll pop a 95. 

19 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Eh...not seeing summer the end of next week or the weekend yet, but it does look a little warmer. Gotta watch for BDs still too. 

I don't know why you would root for 40s and rain during summer. Sad.

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

My favorite memory of MWN as  12 yr old riding the cog leaving the base in shorts and a tee shirt in the 70s, halfway up a wicked cold front came in dropping the temp fast and winds roared, we were not allowed off and had to descent as last car for the day.  I didn't care as it suddenly became a whipping snow squall. It was mid August. So cool for my first experience there.

20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

More flakes for the picnic tables and MWN on June 10th?

 

Euro is honking! This should get Kevin excited.

Not that I'm condoning this weather, but MWN does average 1" in June.

Just last year they 3.7" in a system mid month, and 6.9" total.

In 1988 they pulled off a daily June record of 5.1" on the 30th.

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

Lol...it's like dealing with HR...

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

LOL

I guess congrats everyone on the heat wave. Let's see if the CLI says something different in another hour or so.

12 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Muthafukkas!

So they dialed in at 2:15 and 2:55 and said in chat that the high was only 89, then issue an RER saying they hit 90 and tied the record at 2:27. 

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

kbos is 90 on EDD

BOX dialed into the ASOS at 2:55 and max is 89 for the day. Might have been an hourly rounding error.

BDL also started the day with a 49 dew point yesterday, 64 today.

OKX PWAT went up from 0.87" to 1.08", so the air mass isn't quite a dry and responsive to heating as yesterday.

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

under

His dews might make it harder to warm up as much.

To water or not to water the mulch?

22 hours ago, tamarack said:

This morning, GYX discussed possible low 90s reaching the SW edge of their CWA on Thursday (followed by back to seasonable and dry for the weekend. Those sunny 60s would be just fine.) 

I would think with those 850s coming our way ASH should be able to do it.

Oh and CON since it's so torchy now.

8 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Granted I work for a brewery but I couldn't imagine driving far to get beer or waiting in line. 

You should've seen me running around Chicago last weekend trying to find Zombie Dust.

Struck out (as it's apparently a short shelf life on delivery day) but did try Three Floyds Gumballhead, Yum Yum, and Alpha King. Good stuff. 

17 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

You make it sound like it was an ultra dry run. Boston still gets a lot of rain.

Meh, passing showers.

50 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It's going to be very lift-dependent. Some of the guidance is keeping the best lift a bit east of that area, so we'll have to watch it. There's a really high chance of accumulating snow above 4k feet I think...for 2500 feet, I'd prob put the odds around 50/50 right now. It could just be a few mangled catpaws if we aren't cranking the mid-levels hard enough. There's some subtle differences in the guidance...the GFS looks better for NH and the ECMWF looks better for places like Sugarloaf-Jackman-Rangeley in terms of getting snow below 2500 feet. The Euro is the furthest east of all guidance, so I'd probably compromise back west a little on its solution. The Presidentials look like they'll def get some decent snow and prob Mahoosucs.

I mean it's real close. Forecast soundings are all playing around with that 2500-4000 foot layer. 12z NAM actually has snow to the valley floor at HIE (12.5" of it). But from 09-15z Sunday it is ripping 20-30 ubars through the DGZ.

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

I think so much will depend on how strong/deep the lift is...if we can crank some deep lift straight into the upper levels, that's gonna help a lot to get that isothermal layer to lower faster. At any rate, I'm looking forward to seeing alex's pics of MWN after the storm.

Ekster chucking weenies for MWN. Close to a foot in the grids.

I was still on my semester "abroad" so May 2005 looked something like this:

2005-05-01    83    68    75.5    -1.1    0    11    0.00    0.0    0
2005-05-02    83    72    77.5    0.9    0    13    0.00    0.0    0
2005-05-03    85    72    78.5    1.8    0    14    0.00    0.0    0
2005-05-04    87    73    80.0    3.2    0    15    0.00    0.0    0
2005-05-05    90    75    82.5    5.7    0    18    0.00    0.0    0
2005-05-06    89    77    83.0    6.1    0    18    0.00    0.0    0
2005-05-07    88    77    82.5    5.6    0    18    0.00    0.0    0
2005-05-08    89    75    82.0    5.0    0    17    0.01    0.0    0
2005-05-09    88    75    81.5    4.4    0    17    0.00    0.0    0
2005-05-10    89    74    81.5    4.3    0    17    T    0.0    0
2005-05-11    90    72    81.0    3.8    0    16    0.00    0.0    0
2005-05-12    90    73    81.5    4.2    0    17    T    0.0    0
2005-05-13    89    77    83.0    5.6    0    18    T    0.0    0
2005-05-14    89    75    82.0    4.5    0    17    T    0.0    0
2005-05-15    88    76    82.0    4.4    0    17    T    0.0    0
2005-05-16    88    77    82.5    4.8    0    18    0.00    0.0    0
2005-05-17    88    77    82.5    4.7    0    18    T    0.0    0
2005-05-18    86    75    80.5    2.6    0    16    0.05    0.0    0
2005-05-19    85    73    79.0    1.0    0    14    0.10    0.0    0
2005-05-20    90    76    83.0    4.9    0    18    0.00    0.0    0
2005-05-21    88    74    81.0    2.8    0    16    0.04    0.0    0
2005-05-22    89    76    82.5    4.2    0    18    T    0.0    0
2005-05-23    90    76    83.0    4.6    0    18    0.00    0.0    0
2005-05-24    88    74    81.0    2.5    0    16    T    0.0    0
2005-05-25    89    74    81.5    2.9    0    17    0.00    0.0    0
2005-05-26    89    76    82.5    3.8    0    18    T    0.0    0
2005-05-27    89    76    82.5    3.7    0    18    0.00    0.0    0
2005-05-28    90    75    82.5    3.6    0    18    T    0.0    0
2005-05-29    89    73    81.0    2.0    0    16    T    0.0    0
2005-05-30    87    76    81.5    2.4    0    17    0.00    0.0    0
2005-05-31    85    75    80.0    0.8    0    15    0.07    0.0    0

I mean I think the tendency is for these upper lows to show more QPF than what actually verifies, but that's not to say that the modeled look is a few days in the 60s and nothing to worry about.

And there is a difference between 60s and dodging rain in a stale air mass, and 60s sunny and dry.

7 hours ago, tamarack said:

I'd go with Oct. 11 because of its much wider extent and for really deep snowfall - SoPA to central Maine were whitened, and lots of SNE-West up thru mid NH had 20"+.

I mean it's an all timer (for any time of year) at CON. That's pretty special.