OceanStWx

I had seen in NWSChat that it was 5 kayakers that ended up in the water during the storm.

It had a wicked signature over the lake. Not a good time to be on the water.

I'm still waiting for Dendrite to pay me for the black market ASOS.

According to the station metadata they are still using a max/min thermometer and not the ASOS hygrothermometer.

Not sure why xmACIS is missing 2013-2015 but the last two summers have not been close to normal, nor were 2012 and 2011 since I moved back.

The closest we came was probably 2017 which was just a hair above normal (+0.2 at BOS) or below normal (-0.4 at BDL) depending on your locale.

I would guess you've probably discovered it in the middle of the growth of the nest. End of summer numbers would be in the thousands of individuals.

When we put our mulch beds down we noticed a fox digging around the soft ground. It looked smaller so we thought female, then saw a larger male hunting the tree line. It's possible neighbors landscaping (lots of earth moving equipment) disturbed a den, because we had never seen them before. It appeared to be a sandy morph though, not a traditional red color. Our neighbors are claiming they have seen a coyote (which wouldn't really be surprising in Portland) but I'm not so sure they just didn't catch a glimpse of an off color fox.

What I really need to do is just a wedge session on the range. A big problem is I have no idea what my stock distances are with partial and open faced shots, and clearly "just feeling it" with some practice swings isn't working. I definitely have some issues with swing length through. So while I think I'm swinging to my shoulder, the reality is that I'm more likely swinging full.

BDL peaks at 85 from 7/10-8/1 But that really isn't much different from the period of record. Obviously individual days vary a little bit, but the POR peaks at 86 (if you round up) on 7/17-18.

Ever since my dad played a tourney that gave away a wedge (Vokey 52) and skulled everything with it and gifted it to me I have been a Vokey convert. I have a 52/56/60. My problem is the stock distances are something like 120/110/100 and I just can't seem to dial it back enough on the shorter shorts. I rarely come up short on the partial wedges.

My big takeaway was that I am nowhere near ready for a British Isles trip. So much chipping and pitching. I have the chips, but between that and a full wedge I'm a hot mess. I think my swing overall is too long, and so it's hard to hit a half wedge. But my nightmare is a 50 yard pitch.

Yeah try doing this in the field when all you have is a bunch of trees broken like match sticks! That's why the surveys take so long. The wind speed is usually the easy part, determining if it was a tornado and the track is much harder.

Surveys are tough, especially when basing it off tree damage alone. Weak trees (think stronger tornado) relative to an inflow dominant tornado tend to fall before the tornado arrives, so they will actually fall opposite the tornado direction of motion. As the tornado weakens this type of tornado shows a broadening confluent damage path but all roughly in the same direction. As there become more rotation relative to inflow (less convergent) with tornadoes the damage pattern gets even more convoluted. The stronger a tornado gets the more the tree pattern will look unidirectional (but the key is it falls across track). And the stronger and more convergent a tornado gets, the more the confluent zone of damage shifts to the left of track.

Based on the EF-scale that's probably 95-100 mph-like expected damage. So solidly in the EF1 category.

Same areas tomorrow morning look good for some thunder.

Amateur radio reports starting to trickle in from the Cape. Definitely wind damage there.

The best argument I can make for it is it's in a region of plenty of 0-3 km shear (favorable for QLCS mesovortices) and it's near the warm front. Otherwise, I feel pretty meh about that one for an actual tornado. Now QLCS mesovortices don't always produce tornadoes, but they can enhance downdrafts (a la Bob's image). I would probably have stuck to the SVR with "tornado possible" tag.

I see that.

Can't wait to see what EWB puts up, because dual-pol DPR is estimating 7.8"/hr.

Speak for yourself. Barely ending in a fizzle for places like CON.

But dewpoints in the 40s by Moosehead Lake, so there is some sneaky dry air just north of the rain.

We have about 1.5" in the forecast for PWM, and through the first two 6 hours periods of this 36 hour storm total forecast they had 0.14". It better start raining hard soon.

This next round could be a little gustier. Better down by MTP, but shouldn't be bad for you.