OceanStWx
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Everything posted by OceanStWx
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Time to start trimming the forecast.
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You're still south of the warm front (for now).
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It'll probably be close, but I'm going to say no.
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You're just starting to see now where the outflow is running out ahead of the updrafts (faint bulge east of the echoes SE of Long Beach). But there are some pixels over 70 knots ~ 3,000 feet off the ground. 70+ dews can overcome a lot of environmental hostility sometimes.
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This MCS is showing no signs of slowing down despite being out over water now. The apex headed right for the warm frontal boundary on LI. Solid cold pool behind it and plenty of high dews to sustain it ahead.
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In 40 minutes it went from like a half dozen strikes every 5 minutes to nearly 100.
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It's riding the warm front. Definitely entering a more stable area, but plenty of juice to the south to sustain a nice elevated storm anyway.
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Nice spinner on the front in the Sound.
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What a URL.
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Brace yourself for extreme disappointment. Stabilized boundary layer is only going to make for some pretty clouds.
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Unfortunately the warm front just went through ISP (dew jump from 64 to 77 over the last couple of hours). GOES really showing the stable clouds over most of CT. I could see the SE part of the state getting into the goods, and on east of there of course.
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BDL with highs near 90 and mid 60s dewpoints is going to feel much better than this weekend.
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He managed the game really well given the conditions. Kept the ball low and in play off the tee most of the time.
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Will the weather be able to stop Lowry tomorrow?
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Too much cloud cover in WI right now to check.
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Chances are there. Models getting a little more robust with MCS tomorrow afternoon for NNE. I lean towards heat breaking with some convection vs. none.
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https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/2009/ww0388.html
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Just to fire Ginx up before bed, on WV imagery you can see gravity waves from that WI convection down to the Ohio River.
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Meh, Shoals did 77 mph just a couple weeks ago.
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Nice continuous lightning visible. But they were far enough north to miss the wind. I'm thinking like Spirit to Deerbrook got wrecked.
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I'm just spitballing here, but I'm curious if there is enough tree damage up in the north woods of WI that the GOES veggie band may be able to detect a scar tomorrow. The satellite is so new I'm not exactly sure what we'll be able to see.
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SPC WCM tweeted that 90 knots has been used 5 times ever.
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Oops, I missed all the derecho discussion in here.
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Right now the 90/10 "goalposts" are 93-99. Scorch-ah.
