OceanStWx

That's also at 115 ft elevation on an ocean facing dune it looks like. I see plenty of 50-55 knots on the Outer Cape though. The farther you get out on the Cape the steeper the LLLR are and the more penetrating the LLJ gets to the ground. I tried doing the correlation for CHH too (since they have balloons too) and let me tell you there is no correlation to wind speed and gusts really. They are just exposed from every wind direction and that really messes with the data.

I'm trying to see how my correlations at PWM/GYX work outside our local area, but they would suggest peak gusts around 45 knots for the Cape based on the 12z NAM. Really have to get the 925 winds over 60 knots to give HWW a real chance, especially in a stable environment. These NE flow events tend to have deeper boundary layers though, with steeper low level lapse rates.

Last WPC analysis was 976 (with a 1070 high over the Arctic!).

I like the storm motion will generally be along boundary as you move into central IL too. Maximize whatever SRH you have.

7.9" brings me to 58.5 for the season

Wiz letting the day 3 marginal risk sneak up on the thread?

I'm definitely not sold on Thursday. Relying on a warm front to make it all the way into NNE? Usually a losing proposition.

More or less continually adding products and services without upgrading the computers that handle them. We have redundancies when things fail, but those fail-overs are growing increasingly unstable.

Just checked our original copy of the Portland daily obs for March 1888 and I didn't see any profanities hurled in the direction of NYC. Solid 42 mph NE gust on the morning ob.

Why wait for April, ERTAF suggesting next week could be busy in the southern Plains through the lower/mid Mississippi Valley.

Flipping runway configuration at the morning push, no problem.

I hate this time of year. But there was next to zero chance that front was staying over CAR.

Well looks like they've confirmed EF3 so far in East Nashville

Lead time is only good with proper dissemination methods. If people turn off phone notifications and/or don't have a weather radio it's unlikely they get the warning. Sirens are in effect an outdoor warning system, and not designed to wake you up in the middle of the night. And if you aren't already watching TV you aren't going to get break ins in coverage. Nocturnal tornadoes are a big problem. TDS height suggests EF3 strength.

Is that still on Cinemax?

Yeah the highway through Cumberland County is going to be scorched out a bit, shadows will keep some snow and a sun bare ground. If you're staying in Waterville you should stop by the Proper Pig (my in-laws are part owners), though I'm not sure your frail frame could handle the burgers.

They've changed the whole reporting and logging of ASOS maintenance so that I can't even get in and see what if any work BOX has done lately.

I was there last night...

I think they've been able to trace the genetics back to late October as a likely patient zero. I do think because we weren't looking for it that we definitely have many more cases than being reported currently.

I only need another 10 inches or so for normal snow.

Reporting today on the genetic testing suggests that community transmission has been going on for "weeks" in the Pac NW. So I'm fully prepared for a rapid escalation in infection numbers once testing capabilities are scaled up. It will likely be breathlessly reported as a shock, but I think that should be viewed as the reality right now. The failed test kit really cost the US on containment. They had to send samples to CDC directly, and since that was time consuming and expensive, testing was limited to people who had recently traveled from/through China. Never mind the goat rodeo that was HHS dealing with repatriating patients coming back from China on the AFB in CA. My sister was set to have her marriage ceremony/reception in Italy in April (actually justice of the peace next weekend in SFO). So that is pretty much toast and we're trying to recover as much of our deposits as possible.

Not if I only take pictures of my backyard.

Forgot to add the last event because it was pretty underwhelming at the coast, but another 2.7" takes me to 50.6" for the season.