Jump to content

yoda

Members
  • Posts

    62,015
  • Joined

Everything posted by yoda

  1. Won't be around for long, but TS Fernand has formed in the W GOM... will move west and make landfall in NE MX and dissipate in about 72 hours BULLETIN Tropical Storm Fernand Intermediate Advisory Number 2A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072019 100 PM CDT Tue Sep 03 2019 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM FERNAND... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.5N 95.3W ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM E OF LA PESCA MEXICO ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM ENE OF TAMPICO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the northeast coast of Mexico from La Pesca to Barra del Tordo and from Barra El Mezquital to the Mouth of the Rio Grande River. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Barra del Tordo to the Mouth of the Rio Grande River A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. Interests elsewhere along the northeastern coast of Mexico and the lower Texas coast should monitor the progress of this system. Additional watches or warnings could be required later today for portions of these areas. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fernand was located near latitude 23.5 North, longitude 95.3 West. Fernand is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue today. A motion toward the west-northwest is forecast tonight and Wednesday. This motion could bring the center of Fernand near or over the coast of northeastern Mexico late Wednesday. Recent satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional slow strengthening is forecast before the system moves inland. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate Fernand this afternoon to provide more information on the intensity. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (170 km) mainly to the west of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area late tonight or early Wednesday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Squalls with gusts to tropical-storm force are likely north of the warning area along portions of the northeastern coast of Mexico and the lower Texas coast. RAINFALL: Fernand is expected to produce the following rainfall totals through Friday: Northeast Mexico: 6 to 12 inches, isolated 15 inches, highest in the Sierra Madre Oriental of Tamaulipas and Nuevo Leon. This rainfall may cause life-threatening mudslides and flash floods. South Texas and the Lower Texas Coast: 2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
  2. To be honest, probably won't be for a couple days
  3. At the risk of being called out, I hope yours is next
  4. You'll be waiting a really long time for that
  5. James going to get raked this run of the 00z GFS lol
  6. But who should he call first? NHC or WFO MIA?
  7. 18z GFS gives SE Mass into Nantucket some fun at 126-132
  8. Yes... the GFS decided that tonight in its run to do that...
  9. Eskimo Joe's last 2 posts made me think of this gif
  10. This storm won't be as bad as Sandy was per one special poster
  11. Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Topeka KS 154 AM CDT Fri Aug 30 2019 KSC031-111-139-300715- /O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0298.000000T0000Z-190830T0715Z/ Osage-Coffey-Lyon- 154 AM CDT Fri Aug 30 2019 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN OSAGE...WESTERN COFFEY AND LYON COUNTIES... At 154 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 4 miles north of New Strawn to near Hamilton, moving southeast at 50 mph. These are very dangerous storms. HAZARD...90 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. At 153 AM CDT...trained spotters estimated 70 mph wind gusts in Hartford. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged or destroyed. Homes and businesses will have substantial roof and window damage. Expect extensive tree damage and power outages. Locations impacted include... Emporia, Burlington, Lebo, Americus, Olpe, New Strawn, Hartford, Gridley, Neosho Rapids, Reading and John Redmond Reservoir.
  12. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Topeka KS 137 AM CDT Fri Aug 30 2019 The National Weather Service in Topeka has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southwestern Anderson County in east central Kansas... Southwestern Osage County in east central Kansas... Coffey County in east central Kansas... Southeastern Lyon County in east central Kansas... * Until 215 AM CDT. * At 136 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 4 miles southeast of Reading to 7 miles west of Madison, moving southeast at 50 mph. These are very dangerous storms. HAZARD...90 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Official observation station at the Emporia Airport. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged or destroyed. Homes and businesses will have substantial roof and window damage. Expect extensive tree damage and power outages. * Locations impacted include... Burlington, Lebo, Olpe, New Strawn, Hartford, Gridley, Neosho Rapids, Westphalia, Beto Junction, John Redmond Reservoir, Melvern Lake and Le Roy. This includes Interstate 35 between mile markers 138 and 156. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This is an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION with tornado like wind speeds expected. Mobile homes and high profile vehicles are especially susceptible to winds of this magnitude and may be overturned. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. These storms have the potential to cause serious injury and significant property damage. && LAT...LON 3817 9596 3817 9634 3858 9585 3804 9536 3804 9596 TIME...MOT...LOC 0636Z 329DEG 42KT 3849 9589 3817 9627 HAIL...<.75IN WIND...90MPH
  13. How's that 1938 hurricane similarity coming along? You know, the one that was going to crush you in NJ? Hope you are safe
  14. A page over arguing the HWRF in the main thread
  15. STW out in E WV in Northern Grant county for hail to half dollars and winds to 60mph
  16. Afternoon AFD seems to suggest chance on Tuesday to Thursday
×
×
  • Create New...