yoda

FWIW, 00z NAM shows intrigue for Sunday afternoon (18z to 21z soundings).... with some showing up at DCA/EZF

ENH risk with 10 percent TOR in W TN -- includes Memphis and is literally knocking on Nashville's door Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0105 AM CDT Fri Mar 26 2021 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER A PORTION OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY REGIONS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible Saturday across the lower Mississippi through Tennessee Valley regions. All hazards are possible including large hail, damaging wind and tornadoes. Other severe storms are possible across a portion of the Midwest with isolated damaging wind and large hail the main threats. ...Lower Mississippi through Tennessee Valley regions... Early Saturday morning a warm front will likely extend across the central or northern portions of the Gulf Coast states. It is likely that elevated thunderstorms will be in progress within a broad warm advection regime north of this boundary, mainly across a portion of the TN Valley. Some of this activity could pose a risk for mainly hail before shifting northeast and weakening with time. Under the influence of a broad fetch of southwesterly low-level winds, richer moisture with surface dewpoints in the low to mid 60s F will advect northward into this region contributing to a corridor of moderate instability with up to 1500 J/kg MLCAPE along and south of the warm front. Additional storms are expected develop during the evening within an evolving warm advection regime accompanying a strengthening southwesterly low-level jet. Strengthening vertical wind profiles associated with an approaching northern-stream upper trough will favor organized storms including supercells. Some of these storms will be rooted close enough to the surface to pose a risk for tornadoes given expected favorable low-level hodographs. Otherwise damaging wind and large hail will also be possible. A cold front accompanying the northern stream shortwave trough will approach this region from the northwest and will contribute to the development of additional storms overnight, likely consolidating into lines and clusters with the primary severe threat eventually transitioning to isolated damaging wind.

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 1232 AM EDT Fri Mar 26 2021 GAC063-113-260445- /O.CON.KFFC.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210326T0445Z/ Fayette GA-Clayton GA- 1232 AM EDT Fri Mar 26 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 AM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN FAYETTE AND WEST CENTRAL CLAYTON COUNTIES... At 1232 AM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Sandy Creek, or near Fayetteville, moving northeast at 45 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and ping pong ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Fayetteville, Jonesboro, Riverdale and Irondale. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

Yikes

I am guessing NWS Peachtree transferred?

STILL TORE Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 1222 AM EDT Fri Mar 26 2021 GAC063-077-113-121-260445- /O.CON.KFFC.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210326T0445Z/ Fayette GA-Coweta GA-Fulton GA-Clayton GA- 1222 AM EDT Fri Mar 26 2021 ...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR NORTH PEACHTREE CITY AND FAYETTEVILLE... ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 AM EDT FOR NORTHERN FAYETTE...NORTHEASTERN COWETA...SOUTH CENTRAL FULTON AND WEST CENTRAL CLAYTON COUNTIES... At 1221 AM EDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located over Thomas Crossroads, or 9 miles east of Newnan, moving east at 40 mph. TORNADO EMERGENCY for NORTH PEACHTREE CITY AND FAYETTEVILLE. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Deadly tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. Locations impacted include... Fayetteville, Jonesboro, Peachtree City, Union City, Riverdale, Fairburn, Tyrone, Palmetto, Cannongate, Sandy Creek, Irondale and Thomas Crossroads.

Um... hopefully its going to weaken before visiting Peachtree

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 1214 AM EDT Fri Mar 26 2021 ...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR NEWNAN... The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a * Tornado Warning for... North central Coweta County in west central Georgia... * Until 100 AM EDT. * At 1214 AM EDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was observed over Thomas Crossroads, or near Newnan, moving northeast at 50 mph. TORNADO EMERGENCY for NEWNAN. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Deadly tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. * Locations impacted include... Newnan and Madras.

Not sure if posted earlier... at least 5 dead in Calhoun County AL https://www.yahoo.com/gma/violent-tornado-threat-bears-down-153200072.html

moving NE at 55mph?!?!?! holy cr*p

TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR NEWMAN

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 1157 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021 GAC077-260415- /O.CON.KFFC.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-210326T0415Z/ Coweta GA- 1157 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM EDT FOR NORTHWESTERN COWETA COUNTY... At 1157 PM EDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Powers Crossroads, or 8 miles southwest of Newnan, moving east at 45 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. Locations impacted include... Newnan, Moreland, East Newnan, Arnco-Sargent, Powers Crossroads, Handy and Madras.

Not much change with SPC's 2000 OTLK -- only real major change was removal of the 45% contour on the wind map

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0258.html

yay snow tv lol

TORE dropped... PDS TOR up now Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Birmingham AL 157 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021 ALC115-117-121-251945- /O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0048.000000T0000Z-210325T1945Z/ Talladega AL-Shelby AL-St. Clair AL- 157 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL TALLADEGA...NORTHEASTERN SHELBY AND ST. CLAIR COUNTIES... At 157 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located over Vandiver, or near Leeds, moving northeast at 40 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. Locations impacted include... Pell City, Leeds, Moody, Rainbow City, Springville, Odenville, Lincoln, Margaret, Argo, Ashville, Riverside, Ragland, Steele, Bald Rock, Vandiver, Branchville, Logan Martin Lake, Honda Manufacturing Of Alabama, Neely Henry Lake and Alabama International Dragway.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 241 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021 MDZ003>006-008-503-505-507-508-VAZ025>031-036>040-501-504-505- WVZ051>053-506-260245- /O.NEW.KLWX.WI.Y.0005.210326T1200Z-210326T2200Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil- Northwest Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page- Warren-Clarke-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock- Northern Fauquier-Eastern Highland-Western Loudoun-Morgan- Berkeley-Jefferson-Eastern Pendleton- Including the cities of Hagerstown, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Elkton, Germantown, Damascus, Lisbon, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Staunton, Waynesboro, Stuarts Draft, Harrisonburg, Strasburg, Woodstock, Mount Jackson, New Market, Winchester, Luray, Shenandoah, Stanley, Front Royal, Berryville, Lovingston, Charlottesville, Stanardsville, Madison, Washington, Warrenton, Monterey, Purcellville, Paw Paw, Martinsburg, Charles Town, Shepherdstown, Brandywine, Franklin, Oak Flat, Ruddle, and Sugar Grove 241 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Southwest to west winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northeast and northern Maryland, central, northern, northwest and western Virginia and eastern and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...From 8 AM to 6 PM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

RGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 241 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021 DCZ001-MDZ011-013-014-504-506-VAZ051>054-502-506-260245- /O.NEW.KLWX.WI.Y.0005.210326T1500Z-210326T2300Z/ District of Columbia-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges- Anne Arundel-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Central and Southeast Howard-Culpeper- Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Southern Fauquier- Eastern Loudoun- Including the cities of Washington, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Columbia, Ellicott City, Culpeper, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Turnbull, Leesburg, Ashburn, and Sterling 241 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of The District of Columbia, central and northern Maryland and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From 11 AM to 7 PM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

Let's get ready for WIND!!! URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 241 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021 MDZ001-501-502-WVZ501>504-260245- /O.UPG.KLWX.HW.A.0001.210326T0600Z-210326T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.HW.W.0001.210326T0900Z-210326T2100Z/ Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany- Western Grant-Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral- Including the cities of Mountain Lake Park, Oakland, Grantsville, Frostburg, Cumberland, Bayard, Mount Storm, Petersburg, Elk Garden, Antioch, Keyser, New Creek, Ridgeville, Russelldale, Headsville, and Fort Ashby 241 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Southwest to west winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 65 mph expected. * WHERE...In Maryland, Garrett, Extreme Western Allegany and Central and Eastern Allegany Counties. In West Virginia, Western Grant, Eastern Grant, Western Mineral and Eastern Mineral Counties. * WHEN...From 5 AM to 5 PM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

Over in NE GA Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 253 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021 GAC011-157-195-251915- /O.CON.KFFC.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-210325T1915Z/ Banks GA-Jackson GA-Madison GA- 253 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN BANKS...NORTHEASTERN JACKSON AND NORTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTIES... At 252 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Pocataligo, or 7 miles east of Commerce, moving east at 50 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Law enforcement confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Commerce, Maysville, Nicholson, Ila, Pocataligo, Apple Valley and Banks Crossing.

Jesus, the debris ball is nearly a mile wide

TORE still up for Shelby storm Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Birmingham AL 148 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021 ALC073-117-251900- /O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0046.000000T0000Z-210325T1900Z/ Shelby AL-Jefferson AL- 148 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021 ...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR SHELBY COUNTY... ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN SHELBY AND EAST CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTIES... At 147 PM CDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located over Mount Laurel, or near Chelsea, moving northeast at 45 mph. TORNADO EMERGENCY for Hwy 280 and 119. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Deadly tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. Locations impacted include... Vestavia Hills, Trussville, Leeds, Moody, Chelsea, Vincent, Highland Lakes, Shops of Grand River, Fowler Lake, Vandiver, Barber Motorsports Park, Lake Purdy, Brook Highland, Greystone, Meadowbrook, Mount Laurel, Oak Mountain State Park, Grants Mill Road Bridge, Sterrett and Shoal Creek.

Doesn't say OTG in the latest warning though Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Birmingham AL 147 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021 ALC107-251930- /O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0047.000000T0000Z-210325T1930Z/ Pickens AL- 147 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL PICKENS COUNTY... At 146 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 7 miles southeast of Prairie Point, or 7 miles west of Aliceville, moving northeast at 40 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Aliceville, Reform, Carrollton, Pickensville, McMullen, Garden, Bevill Lock And Dam, Gainesville Lake Campground, Dillburg, McShan, George Downer Airport, Owens and Cochrane.