yoda

Maybe on Tuesday and Wed per SPC? Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CDT Fri Apr 30 2021 Valid 031200Z - 081200Z ...DISCUSSION... Models suggest that a southern branch of split mid-latitude westerlies may gradually become less prominent next week. It appears that a couple of perturbations emanating from the northern mid-latitude Pacific, and at least another pivoting south/southeast of the Hudson Bay vicinity, may eventually contribute to mid/upper trough amplification east of the Mississippi Valley by late next week, as upstream flow in the western U.S. becomes more zonal. Before this proceeds, it appears that one significant perturbation may emerge from initially amplified troughing across the Four Corners states early next week, and contribute to an organized severe weather risk across parts of the southern Great Plains into Ozark Plateau on Monday. This now seems most likely to become focused across central/eastern Oklahoma into southwestern Missouri/northwestern Arkansas, where forcing for ascent ahead of a developing surface low may contribute to the evolution of an organized convective system in the presence of moderate to strong instability by Monday evening. Thereafter, model spread and the uncertain influence of prior convection result in more uncertainty, but there appears at least some potential that an organized severe weather threat could develop eastward with the mid/upper impulse, across the Mid South and Tennessee Valley into the Mid Atlantic region Tuesday into Wednesday. ..Kerr.. 04/30/2021

OT winner chicken dinner baby! 2 BIG points for the Penguins!

No thanks LWX re wind from their afternoon AFD

@nj2va approves! URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 232 PM EDT Thu Apr 29 2021 MDZ001-VAZ503-WVZ501-505-300245- /O.NEW.KLWX.FZ.A.0003.210501T0400Z-210501T1300Z/ Garrett-Western Highland-Western Grant-Western Pendleton- Including the cities of Mountain Lake Park, Oakland, Grantsville, Hightown, Bayard, Mount Storm, and Riverton 232 PM EDT Thu Apr 29 2021 ...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 31 possible. * WHERE...In Maryland, Garrett County. In Virginia, Western Highland County. In West Virginia, Western Grant and Western Pendleton Counties. * WHEN...From late Friday night through Saturday morning. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.

Yay we got added in! URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 232 PM EDT Thu Apr 29 2021 DCZ001-MDZ013-VAZ053-054-300245- /O.EXA.KLWX.HW.A.0002.210430T1500Z-210501T0900Z/ District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- Including the cities of Washington, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, and Falls Church 232 PM EDT Thu Apr 29 2021 ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Potential for west-northwesterly wind gusts of 60 mph. * WHERE...The District of Columbia, Prince Georges County in Maryland, and Arlington and Fairfax Counties in Virginia including the independent cities of Alexandria, Fairfax and Falls Church. * WHEN...From Friday morning through late Friday night. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest wind may occur in two waves: one Friday afternoon, and a second Friday evening.

Caps vs Pens tonight and Saturday... big 2 game set for both teams. GO PENGUINS!

Same. I'm looking towards next week (Tuesday in particular)... morning AFD discussed GEFS members showing 1000-2500 CAPE with some decent heat and humidity. Monday looks like a high shear/low instability event... though both EURO and GFS show 40-50 kts 0-6km shear, which isn't high shear, its more like optimal around here

Yay wind! URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 359 AM EDT Thu Apr 29 2021 MDZ003>006-008-011-014-503>508-VAZ028-030-031-505>508-WVZ051>053- 291600- /O.NEW.KLWX.HW.A.0002.210430T1500Z-210501T0900Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil- Southern Baltimore-Anne Arundel-Northwest Montgomery- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford- Frederick VA-Warren-Clarke-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun- Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Morgan- Berkeley-Jefferson- Including the cities of Hagerstown, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Elkton, Baltimore, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Winchester, Front Royal, Berryville, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Big Meadows, Wintergreen, Paw Paw, Martinsburg, Charles Town, and Shepherdstown 359 AM EDT Thu Apr 29 2021 ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph possible. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northeast and northern Maryland, central, northern and northwest Virginia and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...From Friday morning through late Friday night. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong wind gusts will arrive behind the cold front on Friday morning, and again Friday evening and into the night as a powerful system crosses the region.

Who is this Wizards team the past few weeks? Dominant tonight... Westbrook another triple Double as well

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 829 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021 TXC013-019-029-091-259-325-493-290200- /O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0067.000000T0000Z-210429T0200Z/ Medina TX-Bandera TX-Atascosa TX-Kendall TX-Wilson TX-Bexar TX- Comal TX- 829 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR EASTERN MEDINA...SOUTHEASTERN BANDERA...NORTHWESTERN ATASCOSA... SOUTHEASTERN KENDALL...WEST CENTRAL WILSON...BEXAR AND CENTRAL COMAL COUNTIES... At 829 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Lackland AFB, or near San Antonio, moving east at 45 mph. This is a very dangerous storm. HAZARD...Baseball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be severely injured. Expect shattered windows, extensive damage to roofs, siding, and vehicles. Locations impacted include... San Antonio, Schertz, Universal City, Live Oak, Boerne, Selma, Devine, Castroville, Stinson Municipal Airport, San Antonio Int Airport, Randolph AFB, Canyon Lake, Leon Valley, Helotes, Fair Oaks Ranch, Kirby, Alamo Heights, Windcrest, Terrell Hills and Bulverde. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for south central Texas. This storm is producing destructive winds and large damaging hail. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows.

Report of 2" hail in Saginaw

New SWS for baseball sized hail and winds to 70mph for storm right over SA

STW for southern metro of OKC now too for golf ball sized hail

Storm out by Throckmorton warned for tennis to baseball sized hail ETA: looks like another one down by Uvdale too with tennis ball sized hail

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 818 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021 TXC439-290200- /O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-210429T0200Z/ Tarrant TX- 818 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN TARRANT COUNTY... At 817 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Saginaw, moving east at 30 mph. This tornado will cross Business 287 in Saginaw shortly and approach I-35W near the Alliance Corridor in the next 15 minutes. Seek shelter now! HAZARD...Tornado and two inch hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely.

Not playing around in their latest SWS either

Tornado Warning and 2 inch hail with 70 mph wind gusts on the warnred storms in San Antonio

Its basically early May lol

Along with hail to 2"

10% tor contour added on 01z OTLK for S TX as well as hatched 30 wind

SPC issued a MD about it... ouch Mesoscale Discussion 0459 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0701 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021 Areas affected...South-central Texas Concerning...Tornado Watch 120... Valid 290001Z - 290130Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 120 continues. SUMMARY...A threat for very large hail, wind damage and possibly a tornado will move eastward into the San Antonio Metro around 8 pm central. DISCUSSION...The latest radar shows a cluster of severe storms located about 60 statute miles to the west of San Antonio. Ahead of these storms, the RAP is analying a pocket of strong instability with MLCAPE near 4500 J/kg and 0-6 km shear near 50 kt. This environment will be very favorable for supercells with large hail. Hailstones of greater than 3 inches in diameter will be possible with the stronger updrafts. Wind gusts exceeding 65 knots may also occur, with the possibility of wind driven hail. ..Broyles/Guyer.. 04/29/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

One of the earlier STW had hail to softball size

All the time or just at night?