yoda

MOD RISK for morning Day 2

18z GFS would be a severe kick in the ass and a way to end winter lol

Marcus Johansson traded to the Wild for a 3rd round pick

Will mentioned March 2-3 1960 as an analog... I wouldn't mind that

LWX has a really good discussion this morning about late next week in their morning AFD Beyond Wednesday, model guidance begins to diverge substantially. The synoptic scale pattern is a very complex one, as the aforementioned system from Wednesday will be lifting off toward the northeast. Meanwhile, a deep trough will reside over the western US, as a strong ridgebuilding event simultaneously occurs in the eastern Pacific. Further to our north, an upper low will circulate over Hudson Bay, with Wednesday`s system passing to its south. The highly complex interactions between all of these features are leading to a high amount of uncertainty in the forecast for both Thursday and Friday. The main uncertainty on Thursday is how much cold advection ensues behind the departing system from Wednesday. Forecast high temperatures in the GEFS and EPS on Thursday range from the 40s to near 70. There may be some showers around, especially during the morning hours, but there should be a trend toward drier condtions during the afternoon as any cold advection starts to occur. The forecast on Friday is even more uncertain. The strong ridgebuilding in the eastern Pacific on Wednesday into Thursday will have a tendency to build overtop the western US trough, potentially leading to an anticylonic wavebreak and the southern portion of the western US trough fracturing off into more of a southern stream closed low. With such a complex interaction occurring, the guidance is all over the place. Temperatures in both the EPS and GEFS range from the 30s to the 70s on Friday. Most guidance does have the southern portion of the western US trough (whether in the form of a closed low, or a a continual trough) turning into quite the potent system, and leading to a strong cyclogenesis event. Most solutions have this strong low tracking toward the area late Friday into Friday night. Potential solutions range from this low tracking to our northwest, and having thunderstorms, to the low tracking well to our south and missing us. Some solutions also produce a snowstorm. This system could potentially be a high impact weather event, so we`ll need to keep an eye on it over the upcoming week. At the moment though, uncertainty remains high, with many different solutions still on the table.

Kinda funny that the GFS and EURO basically switched places today/tonight

00z RGEM quite tasty too though...

00z NAM is hilarious... 2" PW into PG County

I was just being an ass seeing the new emoticon

Covering the grass will be just fine for me

Yeah, even 24 hours out it's a toss up amongst the models lol

The HP in Canada is further west on 12z compared to 06z fwiw... so that's also not helping

PW soundings showed mostly snow

Hello there

I'd take 06z GFS and call it a winter

I'd take 06z GFS at hr 192 please all day every day

Def toward the GFS

12z GFS sounding at DCA at 204. Looks like snow to me

DCA is snow at 204

At least it's 8.5 days away instead of 10 lol

Clouds are back here

No firing. Suspended the rest if the week without pay https://news.yahoo.com/tony-massarotti-longtime-sports-hub-200104058.html

27-28th storm is a swing and miss to our north tonight

00z GFS has DCA 73 degrees on Thursday. Upper 20s on Saturday with snow. Nice