Jump to content

msuwx

Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    678

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by msuwx

  1. msuwx
    Time for my semi-annual pet peeve post. One shift does not equal a “trend.” You need multiple, subsequent movements of something in the same direction for it to be a trend. In other words, multiple model cycles in a row, not 1.
  2. msuwx
    EPS as well as the control increase once again..... the control run was crazy.
  3. msuwx
    The 925mb temperatures seem to be behaving very similarly to what the European model projected. Actual vs. model:
  4. msuwx
    6z GFS ensembles could very well have been the warning shot.
  5. msuwx
    I think conservative is the way to go for the time being, and that's the way I continue to go in my public forecast. Way too many variables and too much uncertainty to be too whipped up into a frenzy at this juncture.
  6. msuwx
    Several ensemble members now have a stronger system, similar to what a few of the others models have.
  7. msuwx
    GEFS went way up on snow totals in the NW half of NC on the 6z run, compared to 0z.
  8. msuwx
    Precip shield shifted NW 20-40 miles this run. Not bad.
  9. msuwx
    I think some areas could get a slushy dusting or so....... but it's threading the needle. I went into it in detail in my video today. I'm just excited we have something already.
  10. msuwx
    It took a step at 6z for sure.
×
×
  • Create New...