The MJO isnt looking as promising now and may head back into phase 6 or the COD. The cold will probably relax in late Jan either way after a week or so of at or below average.
No but it's another piece of the puzzle. I think the GFS is bringing the colder pattern in too early by 3 or 4 days at least. It won't be until Around MLK day or later when we could see a decent winter pattern.
Yea I'm not buying it yet either. All the indices are still in the wrong places and the operational Euro is still infatuated with keeping our friend, the SE ridge and delaying any cold air arrival.
If this pattern continues, it's only a matter of time before major flooding issues in western NC and SC. Already had some mud/rock slides with the last system and it will just get worse.
Won't be long until the "maybe a bowling ball ULL in Late Feb or March will save us" or the 1960 redux! And definitely the "well it was a very mild winter before the blizzard of 1993 too".
More than 2 years here. It's been generally wetter than normal here since 2013. I saw mosquitoes the other evening. It has only been below 20 degrees once and that was in November.
The past few weeks have been more like Seattle than Western NC.. We are over 5 inches here in the past month and it looks to be very soggy in the next 2 weeks..
And you all were hating so bad on my posts a month or 2 ago about this winter sucking and being over... LAte next week I expect flowers and cherry trees to bloom for parts of the south