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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. wncsnow
    Trends seem clear that its all or nothing on the ULL enhancement. Coastal is too far offshore.
  2. wncsnow
    Weather next continues the drier trend. What winter system hasnt trended dry for most of the Carolinas the past few years? This last system went from over 2 inches to .65 total here.
  3. wncsnow
    6 here
  4. wncsnow
    AI Euro is slightly weaker and less precipitation. Not really east just not as negative tilt. Meh
  5. wncsnow
    Also that's 10-1 it would be higher ratios especially in western NC/SC
  6. wncsnow
    Looks like the weather next eh?
  7. wncsnow
    UK coming in hot
  8. wncsnow
    Let's hope the Canadian is as accurate as it was for last storm.
  9. wncsnow
    Things to look for are more west trends with that polar energy, less of a kicker wave behind it to prevent it from digging/going negative tilt, and a stronger southern stream wave (or piece of another Baja low). The Baja taketh and maybe giveth this time?
  10. wncsnow
    We just had one of the biggest sleet storms ever here, avoided a power nightmare, and looking at a low in the single digits. What happened ain't so bad. It was a winter storm for most of NC and SC just not snow.
  11. wncsnow
    Its hard to bet against it right now after the last few storms, but the NBM is also promising and having the Canadian on board helps. I have learned that the GFS is often better at getting fine details closer to events but struggles with large scale at longer leads where previously the Euro and now AIFS and weather next seem to shine.
  12. wncsnow
    Weathernext seems to be locked in. Just small deviations the past few days.
  13. wncsnow
    Weathernext or bust for me. It was showing this threat before the Euro had a clue. New run coming in 30 minutes
  14. wncsnow
    8
  15. wncsnow
    Just need a few ticks west/more digging and its a big from Murphy to Manteo.
  16. wncsnow
    Wind chill even here is touching single digits.
  17. wncsnow
    Good old NavGem still being used
  18. wncsnow
    Can a met chime in on which models are used for the NBM? Are AI models in it? Weathernext?
  19. wncsnow
    AI GFS is still trending west. Leeside enhancement showing up too
  20. wncsnow
    I agree but the weather next trended that way. It has a strong feature that tracks right. We need both of those things.
  21. wncsnow
    I see some leeside enhancement showing up which makes me hopeful. It all depends on how far south the ULL digs.
  22. wncsnow
    Here are the CIPS analogs (March 1980 is number 1)
  23. wncsnow
    Very well it was north of every model and closest to verification
  24. wncsnow
  25. wncsnow
    Weathernext is a little east of last run but still solid for NC
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