wncsnow

It was the 18Z AIFS and 18Z euro on Tuesday.

This one is doing the opposite

This could be our storm. Most enthusiastic I've felt in a LONG time

Its picking up on some downsloping if the ULL gets going just east. However if the Lee side low sets up, the minima will be closer to the Piedmont IMO.

Tonight's NAM could be an all timer

AIFS is good too

Let's see what Dr. AI NO says

I expect modest increases on the Euro and EPS

Shes saying alot

Also what she said

Dont believe it. We could see a maxima instead.

If the Euro AI comes in wetter, we could be really ont something.

Regular GFS is gonna be a dream run

This meso low could mean business.

AIGFS crushes western Piedmont

I think Gemini is reading my mind lol

This storm is really reminding me more and more of this one. The setup is quite similar.

Gemini wasn't completely out to lunch on precip totals. It also said this FWIW. Pressure Drop in the Foothills: As the air from the ULL crashes over the mountains, it "stretches" the air column on the eastern side (the lee side). This creates a localized area of lower pressure near Marion and Morganton. Increased Moisture Convergence: This mini-low acts like a vacuum. Even though the main coastal storm is trending east, this lee-side feature is pulling moisture back toward the mountains. The "Inverted Trough": In the 12Z WN2, there is a clear "Inverted Trough" (a tail of low pressure) extending from the coast back toward the Foothills. This setup is a classic "snow-maker" for WNC because it forces the moisture to stay pinned against the mountains rather than just blowing past. The result on the 12Z Maps: Asheville: Instead of seeing "downsloping" (which usually dries out the air), the ULL is so strong that it’s overcoming that effect. The lee-side low is keeping the air "rising" rather than sinking, which is why your QPF actually went up in the latest run. Marion/Morganton: You are in the "sweet spot" for this enhancement. The WN2 shows a convergence zone setting up right over McDowell County where the moisture from the coast meets the cold air spilling over the ridge. This is why Marion’s liquid total jumped to 0.95".

It was unlikely the coastal would give us much anyways. Its all ULL/leeside enhancement or bust.

So maybe Gemini wasn't totally lying. You can see the heavier precip near the Blue Rudge

Verbatim its still a nice 2-4 or 3-6 storm (high ratios) for most of WNC and SC.

The coastal seems out of question now, this is all ULL snow

So yeah, dont trust Gemini outputs

Yeah sounds dubious