wncsnow

East TN could get 10-12 inches of snow out of this. Just not our type of system. We need a true gulf tap and gulf low with a 50/50 low and strong HP in NE. 

HRRR 

RAP

Hi Res NAM 

I can't find any short range models with snow for foothills and most mountain locations. This one could be a big bust even for those winter storm warning counties. 

36.5 here. Clouds getting thicker. Most models don't have it going below freezing until Tuesday evening now for us downslopers

@buckeyefan1 can we get this thread pinned too?

-NAO are overrated. Give me +PNA for a month and a split flow and I will take my chances 

We do really need a strong CAD. You would think with a -NAO we would have that but the SE Ridge is still flexing just enough..

4 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

Curious - did the temps initialize accurately? I’d say that’s our only hope

It was close. Maybe a couple degrees warm. 

Just now, tjgrogan said:

Does anyone think the snow will make it to Hickory, North Carolina?

Wrong thread, the banjos must have brought you here 

Just now, wncsnow said:

Sad results 

This was the run 24 hours ago. You can really see how the cold air failed to cross the Apps

Sad results 

This run has MORE moisture go figure. But it's a mix or rain except for near TN border 

Not good Clark 

It's already a couple degrees warmer this run 

18Z Euro rolling. Subscription free trial coming in handy 

Maybe I won't get ridiculed for posting models that don't show the most snow here? 

21 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said:

Westmc9th is Asheville. We suck at snow, but we are not foothills, lol. Nothing wrong with the foothills though.... And wncsnow is just negative. He means no harm. He would be excited as anybody if we could get snow.

You know me well

31 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said:

My gosh can someone make a FOOTHILLS thread...

Enjoy your dusting

Not to sound like a broken record, but the RGEM has also trended north

3 minutes ago, SnowDawg said:

We can switch places for now I guess. Cause I've been trying to be really positive the last month or so, but this one's got me down in the dumps right now with every model out there pretty much saying if I see anything it's gonna be rain. Missing this one will put me at two full calendar years without measurable snow after previously never having had a single winter without at least a trace. 

I'm headed towards apathy

8 minutes ago, cold air aloft said:

The snow on the ground in Alabama puts than run in serious question.

On the ground or flurries?

Good old SE Ridge flexing again today 

NAM and hi res is even more north. Even Knoxville is on the edge