wncsnow

Euro looks nothing like the GFS for Sunday night unfortunately

Euro is about the same for Friday. Little more moisture this run

UK is trying to bring that energy down Sunday night like the GFS

UK is trending a bit warmer.

GFS brings that northern stream down but it's the only model showing that

GFS tries to take an upper low and dig it South Monday

Pretty much every model has increased QPF a lot tonight. We need it just a tick colder for a nice front end thump

GFS is slightly better this run

A good sleet storm is fun

ICON juiced up QPF too but too warm for most

RDPS is a sleet storm here and has more precip than other models.

Hi Res Nam is a little more interesting and colder

NAM still not showing much

Some light rain/snow mix in Asheville. 35.

Anyone else miss the DGEX?

Its such a marginal setup with temps and precip, you are setting yourself up for disappointment if you expect more than a coating- inch. Of course that can still change but it can also change on the dry side too.

We need heavier precip. Light rates= brown ground

Best WNC December snow storms of all time. Courtesy of webber weather

NAM is colder this run but its razor edge

I broke it down a bit further and researched winter storms since 2000 in December and this is what I could find for WNC- In December 2000 there was a 1-3 inch snow for most of the foothills west of 77 and mountains In December 2002 there was a nice CAD storm with 2-6 inches for most of the foothills and mountains In December 2003 there were multiple small events/icing events In December 2005 there were 2 icing events In December 2009 there was the big snowstorm on December 19 In December 2010 there were a couple small events and the big Christmas snow In December 2017 there was a big overrunning snow In December 2018 there was a big snow In December 2019 there was a light icing event So thats 9 out of 25 winters with at least small events. There were 4 big snowstorms in that time frame. December has definitely been feast or famine but over the past 25 years it has produced 3 of the 5 biggest snowstorms for WNC.

Round 2 on the Euro for Sat night but its mostly rain outside the mountains

Even though the amounts could be light, this is our best chance since last January.

Meh.