Another beautiful drive to Asheville today. Light dusting of snow in Old Fort turned into rime ice on the mountain with the fog and sun breaking through. Wish i could have taken some pictures.
As I posted a week or so ago, the pattern is going to likely break down and we are going to warm up for at least a week before Christmas. What happens after that is up in the air but the current colder than normal pattern isn't one that's right for snow for us.
We need-
1. A sharper western ridge in the right place- This will lead to energy diving further south to get it where we need it instead of over the Ohio valley. We need it to drop down across the front range.
2. Better southern stream energy. We need a phase to get our best snows and right now the northern stream is squashing the southern stream enough to prevent that.
3. Cold air damming and a 50/50 low to keep it in place. This one might be the most key. The pattern has still been progressive and any highs have been weak or moving away too quickly.
Nice coating in Woodlawn/North Cove. Melted quickly though. Some flakes at my house too but its over now. 2 hr delay for schools because the roads are soaked and will be bad.
Define big totals? I think 3-4 inches (only in the grass) could be the big winner with this system. Timing was bad. Middle of the day, rates weren't super heavy, weak system. I'm sure those who got a nice snow globe day are happy. I would be too.
I don't mind a warmup. My kids need to play outside (and me). 30s and rain is just miserable weather, especially with young kids who have tons of energy.
We got the best snows here recently when I was either-
A. Gone to college or
B. Lived in other states.
May have to move so the foothills can win again!