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Everything posted by SouthboundYank
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
SouthboundYank replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
VERY valid advice here. While I posted a somewhat common sense intepretation from Gemini's interpretation from WeatherNext 2.0 earlier....when I ask the same of Gemini on my GoogleTV, it tells me that highs on Sat/Sun this weekend are going to be in the 50s, with lows in low 40s, with NO precipitation. So yeah, always confirm and double-check AI interpretations...the hallucinations are very real. -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
SouthboundYank replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
LOL. You, and about half to 2/3'rds of the Mid Atlantic sub... -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
SouthboundYank replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
The past two mornings, I've fed Google Gemini this exact prompt: "What's the latest from WeatherNext 2.0 concerning the storm in Myrtle Beach this weekend?" And (again, for MB) came back with what I believe is a fair assessment of what could be potentially be arriving Sat PM: The latest 12z model runs (as of January 27, 2026) have dialed back slightly on the "blockbuster" snow potential for Myrtle Beach, but they have significantly ramped up the concern for extreme cold and a possible wintry mix late Saturday into Sunday morning. Here is the updated breakdown of what the models are signaling: 1. The Storm Track (Saturday Night - Sunday) The models are now converging on a "Coastal Low" that will track further offshore than initially hoped for by snow-lovers. The Transition: Instead of a pure snow event on Saturday morning, the 12z data suggests Saturday will likely remain overcast and raw with a high of 38°F. The Window: Precipitation chances increase to 67% late Saturday night (after 10:00 PM) as the low-pressure system passes. This is the critical window where rain is expected to transition into sleet or light snow. Sunday Morning: Models show lingering moisture as the Arctic air truly arrives. Expect a potential for light snow flurries early Sunday morning before the system moves out. 2. The "Deep Freeze" (The Higher Certainty Event) Regardless of how many flakes fall, the models are 100% certain about a historic drop in temperatures. Lows: Saturday night will drop to 23°F. Sunday night is projected to be even colder, reaching 18°F to 21°F. Highs: Sunday will struggle to reach 32°F (freezing), which is extremely rare for Myrtle Beach. Winds: North winds at 15–20 mph will keep wind chills in the single digits to low teens all weekend. Weekend Comparison: 12z Run vs. Previous Data Metric Previous Run Latest 12z Run Trend Snow Timing Saturday Morning Sat Night / Sun AM Delayed Precip Chance 45% 67% Increasing Sunday Low 21°F 18°F Colder Accumulation Dusting possible Trace to 0.5" Stable -
Got down to 21 overnight. Certainly didn't expect that when we moved here 2.5 months ago...
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
SouthboundYank replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
Good early reads, and TY all...but you know, if that would come to fruition, I'd gladly ask the snow gods to send that modeled wx to any of the surrounding environs except Myrtle Beach. Having said that, The Wilmington NWS team posted a good afternoon disco concerning the upcoming weekend...I couldn't include all of it in the screen cap, but there was a good two paragraphs of all of the moving pieces prior to what I pasted below. -
Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs
SouthboundYank replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
I'm late with the obs...fell asleep early in the easy chair last night and didn't make it back to the laptop. We had sideways rain with some lightning along several rounds of booming thunder in the 8-10pm timeframe last night when that final line came through...temps were right around 40 at the time. As anticipated, we had only rain right here on the coast throughout the entire storm, even though we were under a WWA the whole time. Rain off/on through the night and last of it moved off the coast around 9am today...currently 42, and the sun finally appeared just within the last 30 min. Concur with many of the already shared reactions...this was quite an interesting storm to track and watch. Enjoyed reading the obs and esp seeing the posted pics...thx, all. -
Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs
SouthboundYank replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
Yeah. No way in HELL that DCA, despite being an official airport, should be an actual reporting station...because its recorded obs in no way reflect real-world conditions even several to ten miles radius from that freakin' UHI. So ridiculous...but this has been discussed ad nauseum in the MA forum for many years. -
Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs
SouthboundYank replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
Yeah. They complain about everything. That's why I'm so glad to be here in the SE forum for the rest of my life... -
Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs
SouthboundYank replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
As a newly "former Virginian"...I feel your pain and jealousy, man. Experienced a $hit ton of rug pulls up there in the DMV over the past 30 years. And then, over the past decade or so...I just started to not let the wx determine my mood. It's hard to be a snow lover (hell, wisher) and live in the DMV region. I didn't want any snow down here on the coast...but for those of you further inland who did, I was hoping it would happen for y'all. Currently 43/36 here in southern MB. Ceiling was VERY low early afternoon, though didn't observe or feel any drizzle at that time. Visibility has improved considerably over the past hour. -
Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs
SouthboundYank replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
I've only experienced thundersnow, in NoVA a couple times more than a decade ago...but it's an amazing and surreal phenomenon. Yep, we've had a number of NoVA friends send us pics this AM. Many up there are (understandably) ticked off they didn't get their near or just over foot of snow after a week of dire winter armageddon forecasts, and instead had a switchover to sleet in the middle of the night. They currently seem to have anywhere from 5-7" of some snow and mostly sleet on the ground...and, unfortunately, many up there still have a transition to ZR to undergo yet. :/ I'm an old curmudgeonly former Yankee who doesn't ever want to clean up or shovel that stuff ever again. BUT I love to see pics like this, and always wish for SC kids to experience snow whenever possible. Given your circumstances, I'll say...TY for your service. The NoVA temps we've heard from friends up there are somewhat brutal today...and going to get worse this week. -
2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
SouthboundYank replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Incredible pic...thx for sharing that. -
Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs
SouthboundYank replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
Yeah. Your truthful comment made me LOL, as a lot of folks in the Carolinas and GA were put on very high alert this past week by some of the prettiest TV "mets" and the dime-a-dozen hobbyist wx nerds on FB. Related to your comment and true to form, the DC/MD/VA forum is currently bemoaning their sleetfest resulting in only several inches so far up there, after being forecasted most of this previous week to receive 12-18"....and NoVA (and many others, likely) are about to flip over to ZR within next hour or two. As I've been "burned and learned" over the decades, I now realize..."know your climo." Hear, hear!! Mets have kept the thunder chances in the forecast for our area and continue to emphasize that it's a decent possibility later. Definitely wanting that. Currently 30/28 here in southern Myrtle, with a heavy drizzle. -
2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
SouthboundYank replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Good Lord...great pics, @Met1985 and TY for sharing...and please be as safe as you can. Ice accretion on trees and vegetation is always gorgeous, but UGH. Pretty sure none of us like going out in it. -
Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs
SouthboundYank replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
30/20 with very light drizzle...was freezing on the windows/surface of the lone car I left out in the driveway, so just pulled it in the garage. -
Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs
SouthboundYank replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
Wow...that DP. We're at 37/17...and DP has been falling here, too, all afternoon. -
Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs
SouthboundYank replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
Currently 37/17...winds between 10-12 mph for past half hour. Thick overcast, although radar doesn't have anything near KMYR yet. -
Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs
SouthboundYank replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
Currently 41 degrees w/ 23 DP, heavy overcast w/ general 5-10 mph winds...here at the far southern point of City of Myrtle Beach, just shy of Surfside. -
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
SouthboundYank replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
This could cause some potential cliff-jumping to happen in the MA forum...already is, from the look of it. I get it, I just moved from there after going through God-knows-how-many rug pulls over the past three decades. Of course, the dire model-based predictions of a couple feet of snow earlier in the week in NoVA have been reduced to MAYBE (and it's a reach) 9-12" with a lot of mixing coming tomorrow afternoon. But that's just MA climo. For my part, I'm done with rug pulls...Horry County historically seems to have just the right amount of winter wx I want to deal with the rest of my life, which is little to none at all. However, I remain sensitive to NC/SC folks who still want some winter wx, and I'll always root for y'all. The panic-inducing headlines from print/broadcast media have been over the top since Monday of this past week. Complicating that, is the overabundance of model-hugging, dime-a-dozen hobbyist weather nerds out on Facebook, X and other platforms, who predict "winter Armageddon" based on clown maps or every other model run. Our NoVA friends sent us video of Costco and Walmart locations being CLEANED OUT of so many items on their shelves. I mean...c'mon, folks. All of that is the primary reason I've tuned/blocked all of that noise out, and just come here to AmWx to lurk and learn. -
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
SouthboundYank replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
Dude, I get and understand your dread. I've always felt like folks who root for the better part of an inch of ice on every coated surface hasn't actually lived through that...or its consequences. (I have, in both PA and VA over the past several decades and while ice is pretty, it's absolutely destructive.) I would be very interested to hear your live obs throughout the storm, either here or in an obs thread or a banter thread...and I'll pray for y'all up there. Ice SUCKS. -
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
SouthboundYank replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
Thought my Midland weather radio was crapping out on me today, but no....we're just not getting signal here in northeastern SC. That seems quite problematic to me, given that we're 3-4 days out from a major (some would say "historic") winter storm... -
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
SouthboundYank replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
Good to continue to read you here in the SE forum, after reading you in the MA forum. I know you moved a few years back to OBX...we've since moved to KMYR. Even more interesting tracking from this far south. Yeah. The MA forum is REALLY good at that freaking-out thing. Don't miss that, although there were several really good analysts up that way. To be fair, the DMV was often in the screw zone, but FFS c'mon, folks...understand your climo. -
Currently 48...down from a high of 65 around 11 a.m. this morning. Winds then picked up right when the grey/black started to form in the N/W of this pic, they've stayed steady 10-20 mph, and temps have been gradually tumbling downward all afternoon. We'll see if the forecasted low of 21 degrees and the cold wx advisory verify here shortly...
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Happy for you N/W folks! Also, happy that we have a variety of outdoor camera brands that now provide this kind of on-the-spot coverage...
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The Monday wintry event potential (12/8/25)
SouthboundYank replied to GaWx's topic in Southeastern States
Breathtaking pics!! TY for sharing!
