SouthboundYank

LOL. You, and about half to 2/3'rds of the Mid Atlantic sub...

The past two mornings, I've fed Google Gemini this exact prompt: "What's the latest from WeatherNext 2.0 concerning the storm in Myrtle Beach this weekend?" And (again, for MB) came back with what I believe is a fair assessment of what could be potentially be arriving Sat PM: The latest 12z model runs (as of January 27, 2026) have dialed back slightly on the "blockbuster" snow potential for Myrtle Beach, but they have significantly ramped up the concern for extreme cold and a possible wintry mix late Saturday into Sunday morning. Here is the updated breakdown of what the models are signaling: 1. The Storm Track (Saturday Night - Sunday) The models are now converging on a "Coastal Low" that will track further offshore than initially hoped for by snow-lovers. The Transition: Instead of a pure snow event on Saturday morning, the 12z data suggests Saturday will likely remain overcast and raw with a high of 38°F. The Window: Precipitation chances increase to 67% late Saturday night (after 10:00 PM) as the low-pressure system passes. This is the critical window where rain is expected to transition into sleet or light snow. Sunday Morning: Models show lingering moisture as the Arctic air truly arrives. Expect a potential for light snow flurries early Sunday morning before the system moves out. 2. The "Deep Freeze" (The Higher Certainty Event) Regardless of how many flakes fall, the models are 100% certain about a historic drop in temperatures. Lows: Saturday night will drop to 23°F. Sunday night is projected to be even colder, reaching 18°F to 21°F. Highs: Sunday will struggle to reach 32°F (freezing), which is extremely rare for Myrtle Beach. Winds: North winds at 15–20 mph will keep wind chills in the single digits to low teens all weekend. Weekend Comparison: 12z Run vs. Previous Data Metric Previous Run Latest 12z Run Trend Snow Timing Saturday Morning Sat Night / Sun AM Delayed Precip Chance 45% 67% Increasing Sunday Low 21°F 18°F Colder Accumulation Dusting possible Trace to 0.5" Stable

Got down to 21 overnight. Certainly didn't expect that when we moved here 2.5 months ago...

Good early reads, and TY all...but you know, if that would come to fruition, I'd gladly ask the snow gods to send that modeled wx to any of the surrounding environs except Myrtle Beach. Having said that, The Wilmington NWS team posted a good afternoon disco concerning the upcoming weekend...I couldn't include all of it in the screen cap, but there was a good two paragraphs of all of the moving pieces prior to what I pasted below.

I'm late with the obs...fell asleep early in the easy chair last night and didn't make it back to the laptop. We had sideways rain with some lightning along several rounds of booming thunder in the 8-10pm timeframe last night when that final line came through...temps were right around 40 at the time. As anticipated, we had only rain right here on the coast throughout the entire storm, even though we were under a WWA the whole time. Rain off/on through the night and last of it moved off the coast around 9am today...currently 42, and the sun finally appeared just within the last 30 min. Concur with many of the already shared reactions...this was quite an interesting storm to track and watch. Enjoyed reading the obs and esp seeing the posted pics...thx, all.

Yeah. No way in HELL that DCA, despite being an official airport, should be an actual reporting station...because its recorded obs in no way reflect real-world conditions even several to ten miles radius from that freakin' UHI. So ridiculous...but this has been discussed ad nauseum in the MA forum for many years.

Yeah. They complain about everything. That's why I'm so glad to be here in the SE forum for the rest of my life...

As a newly "former Virginian"...I feel your pain and jealousy, man. Experienced a $hit ton of rug pulls up there in the DMV over the past 30 years. And then, over the past decade or so...I just started to not let the wx determine my mood. It's hard to be a snow lover (hell, wisher) and live in the DMV region. I didn't want any snow down here on the coast...but for those of you further inland who did, I was hoping it would happen for y'all. Currently 43/36 here in southern MB. Ceiling was VERY low early afternoon, though didn't observe or feel any drizzle at that time. Visibility has improved considerably over the past hour.

I've only experienced thundersnow, in NoVA a couple times more than a decade ago...but it's an amazing and surreal phenomenon. Yep, we've had a number of NoVA friends send us pics this AM. Many up there are (understandably) ticked off they didn't get their near or just over foot of snow after a week of dire winter armageddon forecasts, and instead had a switchover to sleet in the middle of the night. They currently seem to have anywhere from 5-7" of some snow and mostly sleet on the ground...and, unfortunately, many up there still have a transition to ZR to undergo yet. :/ I'm an old curmudgeonly former Yankee who doesn't ever want to clean up or shovel that stuff ever again. BUT I love to see pics like this, and always wish for SC kids to experience snow whenever possible. Given your circumstances, I'll say...TY for your service. The NoVA temps we've heard from friends up there are somewhat brutal today...and going to get worse this week.

Incredible pic...thx for sharing that.

Yeah. Your truthful comment made me LOL, as a lot of folks in the Carolinas and GA were put on very high alert this past week by some of the prettiest TV "mets" and the dime-a-dozen hobbyist wx nerds on FB. Related to your comment and true to form, the DC/MD/VA forum is currently bemoaning their sleetfest resulting in only several inches so far up there, after being forecasted most of this previous week to receive 12-18"....and NoVA (and many others, likely) are about to flip over to ZR within next hour or two. As I've been "burned and learned" over the decades, I now realize..."know your climo." Hear, hear!! Mets have kept the thunder chances in the forecast for our area and continue to emphasize that it's a decent possibility later. Definitely wanting that. Currently 30/28 here in southern Myrtle, with a heavy drizzle.

Good Lord...great pics, @Met1985 and TY for sharing...and please be as safe as you can. Ice accretion on trees and vegetation is always gorgeous, but UGH. Pretty sure none of us like going out in it.

30/20 with very light drizzle...was freezing on the windows/surface of the lone car I left out in the driveway, so just pulled it in the garage.

Wow...that DP. We're at 37/17...and DP has been falling here, too, all afternoon.