eaglesin2011

Def a better solution then frz/rain .I still think a ice storm is a good bet around parts of this area tho.. hopefully to many people won't be caught of guard ...Still haven't seen the networks talking about it much yet

Yeah I been worried about the ice for awhile now... history says sleet fest where I am ...But looking at the gulf moister back in the TN/KY border area it is really warming that area .Look how far north its changing the precip from snow to frz/rain .. http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?location=USMO0453

Just Rain doubtful in and around the RVA.. ice looking more and more likely for this area.. back end looks good for us but will it happen? Some models have dry air coming in between the event in this area so that could help limit the freezing rain/sleet and maybe change it to just rain if light enough.. Hard to know until the storm makes it over the mountains

Early morning runs not doing us many favors.. Hopefully we can get lucky at the end with some wraparound moister... Could be a frustrating back&forth storm till the end stock up on some.. and don't jump off the

Cloudy 33 and radar hallucinations just outside richmond.

I still think we get a good front & end or back end thump that will give us most of the accumulating snow... Just hope it dosn't all get washed away and or turn into freezing rain for hours...I rather have hours of sleet.. Will be no fun to look at but at least it wouldn't do as much damage. I think the built up ice threat is still be underplayed a bit...

def going to really depend on where the heavy bands set up. we could get lucky and not turn over and get blasted again.. .. or have a sleet/frz rain fest.. ha (gonna come in a few waves too) so maybe snow early then mix then snow again late

most likely a sleet fest for hours in the metro.. but a few miles away could be big snow...snow/mix line big differnce

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1014 AM EST Fri Jan 11 2019 Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Fluvanna-Cumberland-Goochland- Caroline-Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster- New Kent-Middlesex-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover- Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen- Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex- Including the cities of Cambridge, Salisbury, Crisfield, Princess Anne, Bybee, Central Plains, Cunningham, Lake Monticello, Nahor, Palmyra, Troy, Angola, Guinea Mills, Hawk, Raines Tavern, Reeds, Stoddert, Goochland, Corbin, Burruss Corner, Cedar Fork, Dawn, Fine Creek Mills, Flat Rock, Goodwins Store, Subletts, Worshams, Clayville, Genito, Sandy Point, Westmoreland, Colonial Beach, Leedstown, Oak Grove, Potomac Beach, Potomac Mills, Naylors Beach, Downing, Emmerton, Ethel, Farnham, Haynesville, Kennard, Lewisetta, Alfonso, Beanes Corner, Brook Vale, Kilmarnock, Lancaster, Lively, Regina, Bottoms Bridge, Browns Corner, Mountcastle, New Kent Airport, Orapax Farms, Quinton, Talleysville, Grafton, Harmony Village, Church View, Cooper, Healys, Jamaica, Nesting, Louisa, Mineral, Ashland, Mechanicsville, Bon Air, Midlothian, Chesterfield, Chester, Colonial Heights, Richmond, Sandston, Aylett, King William, West Point, Beazley, Biscoe, Henley Fork, Indian Neck, Newtown, Owenton, Saint Stephens Church, King And Queen Court House, Tappahannock, and Dunnsville 1014 AM EST Fri Jan 11 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Snow, sleet and freezing rain. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches possible. Total ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Maryland and central, east central, eastern and north central Virginia. * WHEN...From late Saturday through Sunday evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions Saturday night and Sunday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts. Prince Edward-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia- Including the cities of Farmville, South Hill, Fort Mitchell, Kells Corner, Arvins Store, Loves Mill, Lunenburg, Nutbush, Rehoboth, Crewe, Earls, Mannboro, Scotts Fork, Amelia Courthouse, Chula, Denaro, and Jetersville 1014 AM EST Fri Jan 11 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Snow, sleet and freezing rain. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of one to two tenths of an inch possible. * WHERE...Prince Edward, Mecklenburg, Lunenburg, Nottoway and Amelia Counties. * WHEN...From late Saturday through Sunday evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions Saturday night and Sunday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.

Really surprised the new ice map is so low..I'm thinking this could be a mistake.. I could really see a flash freeze And def a little ice buildup in other parts of this area esp n/w of Richmond metro...In the metro it could be a sleet fest.... The models have trended a little more north but most are still predicting snow/mix for the beginning and end of the storm..(really there will be multi different parts of this storm.. (and different parts of the area will experience it differently)... The front edge of snow/then maybe nothing for awhile, then a changeover, then back to snow/ice at the end.. ..... I think the ice threat is def going to be more then then is showing on this map and may catch people off guard when then precip changes back and forth.. Monday morning could be rough..

Snowfall Totals by Location Experimental - Leave feedback 01/11/2019 0700AM to 01/14/2019 0700AM What's this? Snowfall Totals by Location These tables show the snowfall forecast for individual locations, and provide the same information as the graphics on this web page, just shown in a different way. All of these values are valid for the same time period as depicted on the graphics. County: AllSelected-- VA --Accomack, VAAmelia, VABrunswick, VACaroline, VACharles City, VAChesterfield, VACity of Chesapeake, VACity of Colonial Heights, VACity of Emporia, VACity of Franklin, VACity of Hampton, VACity of Hopewell, VACity of Newport News, VACity of Norfolk, VACity of Petersburg, VACity of Poquoson, VACity of Portsmouth, VACity of Richmond, VACity of Suffolk, VACity of Virginia Beach, VACity of Williamsburg, VACumberland, VADinwiddie, VAEssex, VAFluvanna, VAGloucester, VAGoochland, VAGreensville, VAHanover, VAHenrico, VAIsle of Wight, VAJames City, VAKing and Queen, VAKing William, VALancaster, VALouisa, VALunenburg, VAMathews, VAMecklenburg, VAMiddlesex, VANew Kent, VANorthampton, VANorthumberland, VANottoway, VAPowhatan, VAPrince Edward, VAPrince George, VARichmond, VASouthampton, VASurry, VASussex, VAWestmoreland, VAYork, VA-- MD --Dorchester, MDSomerset, MDWicomico, MDWorcester, MD-- NC --Bertie, NCCamden, NCChowan, NCCurrituck, NCGates, NCHertford, NCNorthampton, NCPasquotank, NCPerquimans, NC Location Snow Amount Potential Chance of Seeing More Snow Than Low End Snowfall Expected Snowfall High End Snowfall >=0.1" >=1" >=2" >=4" >=6" >=8" >=12" >=18" Accomac, VA <1 <1 2 88% 36% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Ahoskie, NC 0 0 1 31% 8% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Amelia Courthouse, VA <1 4 5 89% 81% 69% 34% 5% 0% 0% 0% Aylett, VA 0 5 7 84% 78% 69% 46% 22% 6% 0% 0% Back Bay, VA 0 0 1 50% 13% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Beaverdam, VA 1 6 8 89% 84% 77% 57% 33% 10% 0% 0% Bishopville, MD <1 2 4 87% 71% 45% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% Bowling Green, VA <1 6 8 89% 84% 76% 56% 32% 11% 0% 0% Boykins, VA 0 <1 2 48% 29% 13% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Brodnax, VA 0 <1 3 82% 55% 27% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Bumpass, VA 1 7 8 90% 85% 78% 59% 35% 10% 0% 0% Burkeville, VA <1 4 5 90% 82% 67% 26% 2% 0% 0% 0% Callao, VA <1 4 6 86% 79% 68% 39% 10% 1% 0% 0% Cambridge, MD <1 4 6 85% 77% 67% 41% 15% 2% 0% 0% Cape Charles, VA 0 0 1 40% 17% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Cape Henry, VA 0 0 <1 41% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Capron, VA 0 <1 2 49% 30% 13% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Carrollton, VA 0 <1 2 46% 29% 14% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Carson, VA 0 1 3 74% 54% 33% 6% 1% 0% 0% 0% Central Garage, VA 0 5 7 84% 77% 68% 45% 21% 6% 0% 0% Charles City, VA 1 2 4 97% 87% 60% 14% 1% 0% 0% 0% Chase City, VA 0 2 3 77% 59% 35% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% Chester, VA 1 3 5 94% 86% 70% 25% 2% 0% 0% 0% Churchland, VA 0 <1 1 47% 22% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Clarksville, VA 0 1 3 62% 42% 19% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Colonial Beach, VA 1 5 7 92% 87% 79% 56% 27% 7% 0% 0% Colonial Heights, VA <1 2 4 94% 83% 61% 14% 1% 0% 0% 0% Corolla, NC 0 0 0 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Courtland, VA 0 <1 2 46% 28% 12% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Crewe, VA <1 4 5 90% 81% 66% 24% 1% 0% 0% 0% Crisfield, MD 0 2 4 73% 60% 44% 17% 4% 1% 0% 0% Croaker, VA <1 1 4 94% 77% 48% 9% 1% 0% 0% 0% Dewitt, VA 0 2 4 86% 70% 47% 10% 1% 0% 0% 0% Disputanta, VA 0 1 3 78% 57% 33% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% Doswell, VA <1 6 8 86% 80% 72% 52% 29% 10% 0% 0% Downtown Norfolk, VA 0 0 <1 44% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Downtown Portsmouth, VA 0 0 <1 39% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Downtown Richmond, VA <1 4 6 85% 78% 67% 40% 13% 2% 0% 0% Driver, VA 0 0 2 49% 25% 8% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Duncan, VA 1 6 7 90% 84% 76% 54% 26% 5% 0% 0% Edenton, NC 0 0 <1 35% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Elizabeth City, NC 0 0 1 41% 12% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Emporia Airport, VA 0 <1 2 64% 36% 13% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Emporia, VA 0 <1 2 59% 38% 18% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Eure, NC 0 0 2 51% 24% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Exmore, VA 0 <1 1 66% 25% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Five Forks, VA 1 4 5 93% 85% 72% 32% 4% 0% 0% 0% Flat Rock, VA <1 5 6 86% 79% 68% 42% 14% 2% 0% 0% Fork Union, VA 2 6 8 92% 87% 80% 58% 30% 5% 0% 0% Fort A.P. Hill, VA 1 6 8 90% 85% 77% 57% 32% 11% 0% 0% Fort Lee, VA <1 2 4 94% 81% 55% 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% Fort Monroe, VA 0 0 2 45% 24% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Fort Pickett, VA 0 3 5 81% 69% 54% 20% 3% 0% 0% 0% Franklin, VA 0 <1 2 43% 27% 13% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Gaston, NC 0 <1 1 59% 25% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Gates, NC 0 0 2 42% 25% 11% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Glen Allen, VA <1 5 7 86% 80% 71% 47% 22% 5% 0% 0% Gloucester Point, VA 0 <1 2 61% 38% 17% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Goochland, VA <1 5 7 87% 80% 72% 49% 23% 5% 0% 0% Grand View, VA 0 0 2 43% 26% 11% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Great Bridge, VA 0 0 <1 40% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Greenbrier, VA 0 0 <1 39% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Gum Spring, VA <1 6 8 87% 82% 74% 53% 27% 7% 0% 0% Gwynn, VA <1 <1 2 92% 45% 12% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Hampden Sydney, VA 1 4 5 92% 84% 72% 35% 4% 0% 0% 0% Hampton, VA 0 0 2 47% 23% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Hancock, NC 0 0 <1 25% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Hanover, VA 0 5 7 84% 78% 69% 48% 24% 7% 0% 0% Hayes, VA 0 <1 2 85% 52% 22% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Heathsville, VA <1 3 5 94% 86% 68% 26% 4% 0% 0% 0% Hertford, NC 0 0 <1 35% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Highland Springs, VA 0 4 6 84% 77% 66% 38% 12% 2% 0% 0% Hopewell, VA <1 2 4 95% 84% 61% 15% 1% 0% 0% 0% Ivor, VA 0 <1 2 49% 31% 15% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Jamaica, VA 0 3 5 82% 71% 56% 25% 6% 1% 0% 0% Jamestown, VA 0 <1 3 75% 51% 27% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% King And Queen Court House, VA <1 4 6 88% 79% 67% 34% 8% 1% 0% 0% Kings Dominion, VA <1 6 8 85% 79% 71% 51% 28% 9% 0% 0% Ladysmith, VA 1 6 8 89% 84% 77% 57% 33% 11% 0% 0% Lake Monticello, VA 2 7 8 94% 90% 84% 64% 37% 10% 0% 0% Lancaster, VA <1 2 5 89% 77% 58% 22% 4% 0% 0% 0% Lanexa, VA 1 2 4 98% 88% 62% 15% 1% 0% 0% 0% Langley AFB, VA 0 <1 2 43% 26% 12% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Lawrenceville, VA 0 <1 3 70% 50% 29% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% Lewisetta, VA 0 0 4 75% 59% 42% 17% 5% 1% 0% 0% Lunenburg, VA <1 3 4 86% 73% 52% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% Lynnhaven, VA 0 0 <1 37% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Mathews, VA 0 <1 2 76% 40% 13% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Matoaca, VA <1 2 4 94% 83% 61% 14% 1% 0% 0% 0% McKenney, VA 0 2 4 78% 62% 41% 10% 1% 0% 0% 0% Mechanicsville, VA <1 5 7 86% 79% 69% 43% 17% 3% 0% 0% Meherrin, VA <1 3 5 90% 80% 64% 23% 2% 0% 0% 0% Melfa, VA 0 <1 1 83% 26% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Midlothian, VA <1 4 6 85% 77% 66% 39% 12% 2% 0% 0% Mineral, VA 2 6 8 92% 87% 80% 61% 34% 10% 0% 0% Moyock, NC 0 0 1 46% 13% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Murfreesboro, NC 0 0 2 46% 28% 13% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% New Kent, VA <1 3 5 87% 77% 62% 30% 9% 2% 0% 0% New Point Comfort, VA 0 0 2 55% 30% 12% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Newport News, VA 0 <1 2 41% 26% 13% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Norfolk International Arpt, VA 0 0 1 39% 12% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Norfolk NAS, VA 0 0 1 46% 13% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Oceana NAS, VA 0 0 <1 34% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Ocean City, MD 0 <1 3 72% 48% 25% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% Ocean Pines, MD 0 2 3 81% 62% 35% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% Ocean View, VA 0 0 1 40% 14% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Oyster, VA 0 <1 1 38% 17% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Palmyra, VA 2 6 8 93% 89% 82% 61% 32% 6% 0% 0% Pasquotank, NC 0 0 1 43% 15% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Petersburg, VA <1 2 4 92% 77% 52% 11% 1% 0% 0% 0% Piney Grove, VA 0 5 8 85% 79% 70% 50% 26% 9% 0% 0% Pocahontas State Park, VA 1 4 5 94% 87% 73% 31% 3% 0% 0% 0% Pocomoke City, MD 0 1 4 75% 60% 43% 15% 3% 0% 0% 0% Poquoson, VA 0 <1 2 45% 27% 13% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Potomac Mills, VA 1 5 8 90% 84% 77% 55% 29% 9% 0% 0% Powellsville, NC 0 0 1 31% 8% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Powellville, MD 0 2 4 75% 62% 44% 11% 1% 0% 0% 0% Powhatan, VA 0 5 7 85% 78% 68% 44% 19% 4% 0% 0% Prince George, VA <1 2 4 91% 74% 48% 9% 1% 0% 0% 0% Princess Anne, MD 0 3 5 79% 69% 54% 20% 2% 0% 0% 0% Purdy, VA 0 <1 3 69% 48% 26% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% Rawlings, VA 0 2 4 76% 60% 40% 10% 1% 0% 0% 0% Richard Bland College, VA <1 2 4 90% 73% 46% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% Richmond International, VA 0 4 6 84% 75% 63% 34% 10% 1% 0% 0% Salisbury, MD <1 3 4 89% 79% 62% 18% 0% 0% 0% 0% Saluda, VA 0 1 4 84% 68% 48% 16% 3% 0% 0% 0% Sandbridge Beach, VA 0 0 <1 43% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Sandybottom, VA 1 2 4 99% 93% 70% 20% 2% 0% 0% 0% Scotts Fork, VA <1 4 5 90% 82% 68% 31% 4% 0% 0% 0% Shacklefords, VA <1 2 4 92% 79% 58% 19% 3% 0% 0% 0% Shawboro, NC 0 0 <1 36% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Shelltown, MD 0 1 4 72% 58% 40% 13% 2% 0% 0% 0% Smithfield, VA 0 <1 2 45% 29% 15% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Snow Hill, MD <1 2 3 92% 76% 47% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% Stony Creek, VA 0 <1 3 62% 44% 26% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% Surry, VA 0 <1 3 64% 43% 22% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Tappahannock, VA 0 5 7 83% 76% 67% 45% 22% 6% 0% 0% Taylors Island, MD <1 5 7 87% 80% 70% 44% 17% 3% 0% 0% Trenton Mills, VA <1 5 7 89% 83% 74% 51% 24% 6% 0% 0% U.s. Naval Weapons, VA 0 <1 2 67% 42% 19% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Varina, VA 1 3 5 95% 88% 73% 29% 3% 0% 0% 0% Victoria, VA 0 3 4 81% 69% 51% 13% 1% 0% 0% 0% Vultare, NC 0 <1 2 56% 29% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Wachapreague, VA <1 <1 1 88% 21% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Wakefield, VA 0 <1 2 50% 32% 15% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Wallops Island, VA 0 0 1 80% 25% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Waverly, VA 0 <1 3 57% 38% 20% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Western Branch, VA 0 0 2 47% 23% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% West Point, VA <1 2 4 96% 86% 63% 19% 2% 0% 0% 0% West View, VA <1 5 7 87% 81% 72% 49% 22% 5% 0% 0% Whaleyville, MD 0 2 4 79% 65% 44% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% Whitesburg, MD 0 3 5 74% 63% 48% 18% 3% 0% 0% 0% Williamsburg, VA 0 <1 3 77% 51% 26% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% Windsor, NC 0 0 1 42% 10% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Windsor, VA 0 <1 2 41% 26% 14% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% York River State Park, VA <1 1 4 91% 71% 44% 9% 1% 0% 0% 0% Yorktown, VA 0 0 2 56% 34% 16% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Zion Crossroads, VA 2 6 8 93% 89% 83% 64% 38% 13% 0% 0%

I doubt it will be an (ALL) snow event in RIC Metro but damn that will really increase the totals unless dry air makes it way in of course... image 1 of 39 previousnext close

Yeah, I Just saw the euro snowing until 7am Monday morning... wow.. that would def make a difference... (I doubt it last that long but hey better for us if it does )

Can you or someone post the mean total for the area from the major models for the mid day runs.. Im at work and unable to look myself..

Yeah.. Its going to be all about that pesky snow/mix/rain line... I Have a feeling we will see all 3 for most parts of the area.. prob start as snow then mix then back to snow... Whats the start/end time showing on most models? Another thing that could make a big difference is when and how fast the dry air pushes in .. Seems like it always finds a way to get into this area...

Nice hopefully that's the case.. Is that with any icing on top? you have a map? keep us updated

It has gone dead silent in here. I'm surprised more of you aren't chiming in....even if we don't receive allot of snow it still could turn into a pretty good ice storm in parts of the area. I personality believe out here in the West End we will get a 3-6 storm with maybe a little sleet/frz rain. Error margin could be high both ways of course...

HA HA... .If it does turn over it most likely will still be mostly freezing rain .. and this is still after a few hours of snow.. (line has inched up a bit tho.. always right on the border in these parts..

Yeah def don't want much more of a north move here... Hopefully the cold air will be stronger then expected so we wont have to worry.. Today's runs are going to be interesting.

so how far off are we now for the record of all time rain fall for the year ?. Looks like at least another inch expected on Thurs

On the door step ... blah Wouldn't be a good thing extended sleet or frz rain.. on top of all this...

If we r going to have any thundersnow it prob will be in this part of the storm within the next hour or two

These better for you? Ha

Line slowly creaping ..may get here at tge same time DC gets in on its furst flurries .