eaglesin2011

Missed out on the real heavy stuff where I am but still got a nice little car topper in just a few minutes

Issued By Wakefield - VA, US, National Weather Service Affected Area Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond) Description ...A SNOW SQUALL WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN SOMERSET...LOUISA...CENTRAL ACCOMACK...MIDDLESEX...NORTHUMBERLAND...CENTRAL GOOCHLAND... HANOVER...NORTHERN JAMES CITY...GLOUCESTER...KING AND QUEEN... NORTHERN CHARLES CITY...RICHMOND...NEW KENT...NORTHERN MATHEWS... HENRICO...WESTMORELAND...CAROLINE...KING WILLIAM...ESSEX AND LANCASTER COUNTIES AND THE CITY OF RICHMOND... At 426 AM EST, a snow squall was located along a line extending from 7 miles north of Fair Port to near King William to near Gum Spring. Movement was southeast at 45 mph. Winds in excess of 30 mph, reduced visibility, and a quick dusting up to a half of an inch of snow are possible with this squall. This squall will be near... King William, Ashland, Randolph Macon College, Robley, King And Queen Court House, Fair Port, Hanover, Stevensville, Jamaica, and Montpelier around 430 AM EST. Mechanicsville, Lancaster, Oilville, Church View, and Glen Allen around 435 AM EST. Kilmarnock, Urbanna, Laurel, Lakeside, Tunstall, and Little Plymouth around 440 AM EST. Richmond, West Point, Tuckahoe, White Stone, Saluda, and East Highland Park around 445 AM EST. New Kent, Virginia Union University, Highland Springs, Talleysville, Glenns, and Shacklefords around 450 AM EST. University Of Richmond, Downtown Richmond, Bon Air, Virginia Commonwealth University, Hartfield, and Bottoms Bridge around 455 AM EST. Deltaville, Roxbury, Blakes, and Barhamsville around 500 AM EST. Gloucester Courthouse, Bensley, Gwynn, and Providence Forge around 505 AM EST. Other locations impacted by this squall include Currioman Landing, Brook Vale, Belle Isle State Park, Sandston, Mount Landing, Cooke, Piney Grove, Dutton, Browns Store, and Village. Use extra caution if you must travel into or through this dangerous snow squall. Rapid changes in visibility and potentially slick roads are likely to lead to accidents. Consider delaying travel until the squall passes your location. Pretty cool event about to happen for any of you up at this hour… looks like I maybe just west of the heavy stuff from this band….

Prob almost an inch here in Glen Allen 295 .. looks like should be wrapping up within the next hour then we bring on the freeze and wind

About another hour till it’s out of the RVA area nice fresh coating so far

Nice looking now may cause power outages with the freeze then win tomorrow

Just wait till the flash freeze in a few hours.. thankfully the wind should limit it tomorrow

Looks like another rain to freezing rain then maybe a sleet & snow mix at the end of the storm to me for the 13-16th timeframe to me… This far out I lean to just rain or a a rain/freezing rain mix for most of the RVA area.. Definitely looks like allot of moisture with it regardless in this timeframe… Maybe we can get a surprise tomorrow night or Saturday when the cold front comes through… Going to be another cold weekend for sure..

Rain , rain & more rain coming & maybe a snow shower or two lol

Personally I’m glad it didn’t snow.. my neighborhood is still an ice box! It would be even worse if a fresh snowpack was on top of all this & then re froze … F that! Btw the 13th-15th timeframe looks like there could be another pretty bad freezing rain event…

The VA/NC boarder especially near the mountains will do rather well … Southhill looks to be in a decent spot later today too for about 3 inches… some of the mountain areas may end up with more then VA Beach.

Looks like the Hampton Roads area /VA beach area may get hit with a little snow shower in spots in about an hour or two.. Then get going after 12 noon … If anything makes it up to Ric to accumulate it looks like it will be after 4pm …

The models are all over the place because they could not decide how & where the transfer from the upper low to the coastal would exactly be.. That combined with some of the models also struggling on how much the dry air already in place would affect this storm is why the models have been all over the place… Dude just can’t ever fully admit that he saw it wrong himself.. Funny thing is he still may end up being right is most of his predictions if the storm is able to hug the coast & backfill…

Thats all predicted to dry out once it passes the mountains.. Honestly…just looking at the current radar,it looks like this whole storm could be a bust east of the NC Mountains and Charlotte areas…You can clearly see how much moisture is out there but it begins to die out when it passes these areas because of the dry air already in place & the coastal is also beginning to take away the energy from the low coming across and transferring its energy into the coastal….Currently, it looks like the coastal will develop too far south & off the coast… In turn drying out everything west & NW of it… Maybe the NC/SC coast gets back in some action late afternoon tomorrow, once the storm explodes out to sea and starts to backfill… Raleigh up to Richmond is just being killed by the dry air already in place then losing the moisture from the upper low to the coastal.. Only chance now would be if this thing can stay closer to the coast a little longer and really ramp up quickly & backfill but this dosnt look very likely at this point, especially up this way..

Watch we will end up getting 1-3 tomorrow then 1-3 on Wednesday A nice little refresh of snow each time wouldn’t be the worst thing. Or Of course it could be nothing for the RVA area…lol Defiantly still allot up in the air… Prob going to be painful to watch this on Radar tomorrow but, I’m going to live and die on the 3-6 inch train for this first storm tomorrow here in Glen Allen… I’m hoping for some good banding like the Nam this morning showed…

I can’t seem to find it yet can you post the map readouts..

https://www.weather.gov/akq/winter High/ low predictions as of 7am out of Wakefield Richmond area. Low 0 high 7 Current Prediction. 1 inch Virginia Beach. Low 1 high 12 Current Prediction 8 inches By around 8am tomorrow we should really be able to see how the cold /dry air is affecting this system & also see the coastal start to take shape…

True, but the Euro has been pretty consistent on its main moisture being south of us … Hopefully we can finally start to get some model agreement somewhere..Will definitely be pulling for the Nam to be right…Again, it’s pretty close to the best scenario of what we would want for a nice hit in this area… will be interesting to see what wins out…

6z Euro Looks to be still staying well south with most of the heavy moisture… It’s basically a strung out mess .. Nowhere really getting huge totals.. Ric not much of anything

The models are all over the place because they can’t figure out how& where the storm will develop off the coast & how much dry air will get into this storm (from two different directions & sources ) .. It’s definitely going to be boom or bust in many areas… If your in VA beach through Richmond area, that last NAM run is pretty much exactly what we need to happen to really get a nice hit in both places.It forms exactly where we need it to & pushes moisture back into both areas perfectly…

That Nam run is just about the best run you can have for the RVA & VA Beach area… Everything just backfills perfectly & it’s not north enough to get more dry air pulled into it. Now if it could just actually happen like that .. lol

For those of you in the VA Beach area.. That’s just missing the RVA area but just a slight bump north would make all the difference in this run.. The build up just south of us is a good sign… I can’t tell if this moved more north from the prior runs but it definitely is putting out more precip in areas near the boarder & Va Beach

Thank you! Exactly what I was just talking about.. Wherever this ends up setting up is going to be key.. It’s a race between the development of the storm & the dry air … Still right on the boarder line at this point but definitely trending in a good direction at this point…

They are going to be wrong in my opinion . i just can’t see how we don’t end up with some backfill once this thing hits the coast. with the winds expected I could easily see a 1 to 2 inch band hit the area at some point.. If this slides even more south then yeah maybe we get nothing but right now I’m still in the 3-6 boat for RVA

let’s go! Back to 3-6 we go .. lol

just say…