Jump to content

MD Snow

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,875

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by MD Snow

  1. MD Snow
    Yeah it was an encouraging run on the GFS. CMC took a step back though.
  2. MD Snow
    A miss. Not as good at 500. You could tell early on. Wouldn't really worry about it unless all the other guidance shifts east tonight. Wouldn't take much to get it back at 6z.
  3. MD Snow
    I'd have to say the GEFS made a step in the right direction for a coastal solution going off of the LPC placement charts and total 24 hr precip for our coastal on TT. Gotta be some snow hits mixed in for someone.
  4. MD Snow
    We need to root for a stronger ss system that stays off the coast and drops massive amounts of precipitation on the western flank. We need really good rates with this if it's gonna be all ss.
  5. MD Snow
    Referring more to the 500 look. I guess I was misreading it. My bad.
  6. MD Snow
    It's actually no where to close to what it was just last night at 0z.
  7. MD Snow
    Anybody have the UKmet from earlier today?
  8. MD Snow
    What's interesting about the storm for the weekend is that we've already been tracking it since like Thursday of last week. It's still 5 days away. An eternity in the weather world. We haven't really gotten much more in terms of clarity. People are just getting worn out from it being up in the air.
  9. MD Snow
    This really sums things up. Lot's of options still on the table. Hopefully we see more clarity soon one way or the other.
  10. MD Snow
    Except for the LPC on tennessee/kentucky border at 144. Yeah...you can cancel winter again...if you want.
  11. MD Snow
    0z GFS is speeding things up as well.
  12. MD Snow
    Sometimes the big one's are sniffed out early. If this does indeed happen it'll be roughly 10 days tracking it.
  13. MD Snow
    We're 7 days away. Shouldn't really start worrying about temps until 3-4 days out. At this point, I'm hoping for building ensemble support for a big storm next weekend. Everything is still on the table imo, including no storm. Let's get a storm first and worry about temps and details later.
  14. MD Snow
    Yeah. CMC basically lost the weekend storm. Most amped with the midweek deal.
  15. MD Snow
    The “chill” wave on wed/thurs will likely have an effect on the weekend deal. I would expect more wild swings until guidance locks on to a final solution for the midweek deal. 12z Gfs basically has nothing for that wave while CMC is way more amped.
  16. MD Snow
    Yup. Lock that up a week out. A classic late phase misses us hits NE job. We need the NS to slow down and dig behind the SS at just the right place for us to have a chance, if what the gfs just spit out is actually where things are headed.
  17. MD Snow
    Haha...I think over the last 48hrs the gfs has shown us every possible way to fail with this threat. Definitely an uphill battle with this one.
  18. MD Snow
    Yeah, it looks “promising.” I want a @yodaplay by play.
  19. MD Snow
    Que... “The icon really isn’t that bad of a model” posts. One of the keys to the weekend storm is timing. Slow it down and we lose our HPC and cold source and it cuts. Speeding it up seems like our best chance of frozen. Thoughts?
  20. MD Snow
    I agree with this. Will be interested to see the trends in the next 48 hrs. Would be something if this ended up being an event for someone in the sub. The trend has been more amped as we get closer to game time. However, CMC is closest with this and it's a long way off. I'm trying to not look to far ahead. Taking it one wave at a time. Each wave has effects on the next. Weather is very fragile.
  21. MD Snow
    Well, we have two separate systems next week. One monday/monday night and one wednesday night/thursday. Still time for both of these imo. After that it's all completely up in the air.
  22. MD Snow
    ICON slows down/amplifies wave 1 on Monday/Monday night more. Interested to see the effects if any this will have down the line. eta: GFS also slower with first wave monday/tuesday.
  23. MD Snow
    uh...it's Ji...are you new to the board? haha! Not sure if it was mentioned, but the 12z CMC was kind of a strung out/suppressed system.
  24. MD Snow
    I think the 12z ICON just killed wave one, correct? And going for the northern stream phase at the end of its run?
  25. MD Snow
    0z ICON at 180 looks primed to deliver...miller A style.
×
×
  • Create New...