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OSUmetstud

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Everything posted by OSUmetstud

  1. OSUmetstud
    Look at the ratios that the kuchera map is showing. It's like 20:1 up there man...
  2. OSUmetstud
    Kuchera occasionally works well in perfect deformation scenarios under or near the 700 mb low in well developed rapidly deepening systems. It wont work where much of your lift is waa/isentropic upglide in the 850-700 zone like it is over northern ny. It seems like map/ratio deficiencies have to be pointed out every storm.
  3. OSUmetstud
    No it's not.
  4. OSUmetstud
    Stop using kuchera.
  5. OSUmetstud
    It's pretty wet. Models generally have 850t just above freezing over chautauqua county. I'm sure there riming even if it's not ice pellets.
  6. OSUmetstud
    27 inches Monday, very dense.
  7. OSUmetstud
    Snowing decently at Jim's in west Seneca..
  8. OSUmetstud
    This is the most amplified the euro has been.
  9. OSUmetstud
    18z ecmwf and 00z nam look very snowy. Interesting.
  10. OSUmetstud
    YYT looks like a disaster it's already hard to get around. Glad I'm in BUF until Sunday.
  11. OSUmetstud
    Ahh well that's good. Sometimes those clown maps can be too snowy because they're including ice pellets or because they aren't referencing those warmer layers.
  12. OSUmetstud
    Yeah the only thing that annoys me about those is you often miss the warm nose between 850 and 700. I think I mentioned that pivotalwx soundings have 800.
  13. OSUmetstud
    We dont get the fancy pivotalwx sounding coverage though. At least I thought that's why he was referring to given I mentioned pivotalwx to tip.
  14. OSUmetstud
    Yeah pivotalwx is tougher for atlantic canada. But they have western, central, and eastern canada domains for gfs, gdps, and rdps. They dont have ecwmf ukmet or nam32 data for eastern canada.
  15. OSUmetstud
    Use pivotalwx. It's free and full res.
  16. OSUmetstud
    This you? UACN01 CYQX 021706 QX UUA /OV 4828N04750W /TM 1655 /FL390 /TP A332 /TB SEV /RM LASTED 20 SEC
  17. OSUmetstud
    Yikes. I feel like my anxiety with flying is worse now than it used to be, even though i like to travel.
  18. OSUmetstud
    Officially 5.5" at YYT. 5.9" at St. John's East Cocorahs and 6.7" at Mt. Pearl Cocorahs. Changing to rain now. Looks pretty gross. might get close to an inch of rain through tonight. Probably plenty of minor flooding and standing water.
  19. OSUmetstud
    I'm bringing the Newfoundland mojo this year, apparently. Flying into BUF on Tuesday to visit my mom.
  20. OSUmetstud
    CYYT 021400Z 17029G41KT 1/4SM R29/2600FT/N R16/1200V2200FT/N +SN BLSN VV004 M03/M04 A2958 RMK SN8 /SO4/ PRESFR SLP026
  21. OSUmetstud
    The hog saw its shadow. Its over.
  22. OSUmetstud
    Strong like they always are here, gusts to 40-50 kt. I should say doesn't look like it shuts off to me after the snow which is not ideal, could be at least another 0.5" of rain after the snow turns off to rain. That other wave develops to the south lingers the precip.
  23. OSUmetstud
    Steve's 8" then drizzle might actually end up not that bad of a forecast lol.
  24. OSUmetstud
    Yeah i knew it was an outlier when preparing the forecast today, but I figured it wouldn't shift that much given the ensembles were there too. it basically just folded it's previous three runs and went with the other guidance.
  25. OSUmetstud
    Euro fail, that quite a shift between 00/06z and 12z.
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