Tatamy

Violet lightning off to my west

We are getting steady rain with a few rumbles of thunder with the lead cell. Looks like the trailing more intense cell will pass just south of my location.

Had some CTG action earlier when the line passed through

It’s moving through here now. Thunder and lightning and a heavy downpour with it.

0.72” total with this event with the squall line now past.

This system has been a good wind producer out here as well. The highest gust I have seen so far is 37 mph. Many reports of gusts to 40 mph+ in and around the city and out on LI especially on the south shore.

Just getting into the core of the heaviest rain activity. 0.44” so far. I am thinking 1 - 1.5” out here in the Lehigh Valley. Earlier calls for 3-5” out here seem overdone as of now.

Saw a video from Fire Island showing light snow falling there about 30 minutes ago.

It should also be noted that storms crossing the Delaware River typically pulse up as they start to move across western NJ. I have seen many mild storms really pop as they make that move after they pass through my area.

Strongest wind gust with the activity here so far is 27 mph.

It’s a silent one here so far. Just a healthy downpour. No lightning strikes detected on my Weatherflow.

Nothing burger so far here in eastern PA.

Don’t know if anyone here is watching the Weather Channel but they have had some amazing footage of the tornadoes down south today.

That depends on your location. The gravity wave that swept through my area about 9:30am this morning took care of that. Wind gusted to 46 mph at that time. Many observations of winds along the south shore of LI from 40 - 65 mph today.

Tremendous wind storm underway out here. Have seen a gust to 43 mph in the past 10 minutes.

36 Mph wind gust with the second line a few minutes ago. Pay attention to that one as it moves eastward across NJ. That is the actual cold front.

Wind gust to 29 mph with the passage of the squall line here. It was accompanied by a rain shower.

We actually have snow on the ground for Super Bowl Sunday out here. Still steady light snow 32*. 0.3” new

Regarding today’s weather there is a weak system moving through eastern and northeastern PA at this time. Areas that are under the 20 - 30 dbz echoes are actually receiving a burst of moderate snow at this time. If you are above 800 to 1000 feet it is sticking and accumulating. Lower elevations are seeing snow but it is not really sticking. If you are under light precip it is mixed snow and rain. If you live in or will be out and about in northern NJ or SE NY you can expect to see this burst of snow come through as the afternoon progresses. Getting steady light snow here now. I checked traffic cams near Hazleton and that is where it is sticking. It had not yet reached MPO as of a short time ago.

12z Euro goes all in for 2/3.

Just had a blinding snow squall come through Bethlehem which has put down a coating. Not sure how far south it gets but it means business. Temperature has dropped to 31*.

Did they decide where he was going to do his live shots from?

There has been a lot of talk about the hype regarding this storm. One of the things that I like to track is when it actually dawns on the populace down in S Florida that this threat is for real. I measure that by looking at the traffic apps showing highway speed conditions. In other storms I have seen those interstates backed up for hundreds of miles as people flee the storm. So far I have not seen any sign of the expected mass exodus on the highways down there. My thinking is that the West Palm Beach area is at the greatest risk of a direct hit early next week. If you or your friends or family are even considering leaving the area ahead of the storm I would not wait too much longer. My two cents anyways.

I would go with 2/78 and 1/16. 2/78 was especially dramatic with high winds and low near zero visibility’s for hours on end along with 30” of snow. 1/16 also brought 30” of snow with very high rates. As dramatic as Boxing Day was its most significant impacts were felt in eastern NJ and places to the north and east of there in the region. We only had a couple of inches from that one here.

I live in the Lehigh Valley of Pennsylvania. We had a snowstorm on 11/15. Similar to this situation the models were showing heavy amounts for my area. The FV3 consistently showed 10”+ for me for 2 - 3 days prior. The Mets blew them off. The model outputs were contaminated by sleet they said. We were forecasted to get 1-3” by the NWS office. On the 15th as the storm was getting underway at 12pm and I was out on my back deck photographing the arrival of a wall of snow we were upgraded to a WSW. By 6pm we were at 8 1/2” of snow before we changed over to sleet. We picked up another 1 1/2” by the next morning to bring the storm total up to 10”. The bottom line is those who are blowing off these model outputs do so at their own risk. The FV3 proved to be correct. Many many people spent the night out on the highway because they could not get home.