Tatamy

Watching snow spread rapidly to the east from Harrisburg towards the Allentown/Bethlehem area.  I am expecting snow to reach me by 1 PM or so based upon what I am seeing unfold to my west.

Watching snow break out rapidly across south central PA.  Visibility has dropped significantly in the Harrisburg area.

Just checked some Penndot cameras in south central PA.  Snow is moving into the Harrisburg area and is coming down steadily along I-81 in south central PA.

https://www.511pa.com/CameraListing.aspx?OpenPage

18 minutes ago, tdp146 said:

On the wind side of things, I received my new Weatherflow Tempest last week and hustled to get it up above roofline yesterday. I’m still in a pretty bad spot locally for wind measurements but I got it up at a height of 23.5 feet.

https://tempestwx.com/station/34338

 

Enjoy.  I have had mine for a few months.  It's a nice station.

9 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Wantage NJ 4sw: Had mostly r- and some ip- for about 90 minutes but all snow (2mi) now. 0.2" total so far...its wet snow out there but didn't clear. we'll see what we have at 1P. 33.1F. pave wet. 942A

Exact same conditions here.  Now all steady wet snow - coating on the ground - Visibility 1 mile 33.0F

Mixed snow sleet and rain here.  34.3F

0z NAM

0z HRRR

8 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

It may not be wrong but right now no other model is that far south with the cutoff of precip.  

In my view the 12z Ukie can definitely be disregarded however I would be cautious about tossing the GFS / GEFS.  If the GFS suite were to verify this would not be the first time where confluence over New England forced a winter storm off to the south of us.  I would incorporate a blend of these models.

18z GEFS

1 minute ago, sussexcountyobs said:

With all these different model runs, I'm liking my spot in the Canistear rd. RT. 515 corridor in Vernon,  NJ.

I've been liking mine in the Lehigh Valley in Bethlehem Twp. PA.

18z RGEM at 18 hours - still snowing

18z NAM - still snowing across the region at 84 hours.  The run total would include the Monday event.

18z NAM

18z HRRR

12z GEPS/CMCE

Just now, HVSnowLover said:

Guess Euro will end all this is turning into a rainstorm posts. 

18z NAM starts in less than an hour.

Here is nice view of how that 850mb jet crushes the mountains of northern NJ and NE Pennsylvania.

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

Some of that is tomorrow yes?

About a half inch in some places.  Euro is not in for tomorrow's "event".

1 minute ago, jdj5211 said:

can someone post the Kuchera map...does EURO have one?

Just now, jfklganyc said:

Then don’t move to Albany because you’ll be nowhere near the Adirondacks

Albany got 2.7" and the Adirondacks got zip on this run of the Euro.  They will get theirs this winter.

3 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Enough for blizzard conditions

Just now, HeadInTheClouds said:

There is no way Albany is getting 2 ft. Just not going to happen. 

Exactly.

Albany is in a valley location.  How are they going to get the snow amount forecasted with that easterly flow at 850mb coming over the mountains of central New England.  Based on the orographics alone this outcome on the Ukie is very suspect.