Tatamy

Winds had been relatively light here during the past hour however they have just started to really increase from the west and NW.  Just had a gust to 24 mph from the west.  

Strong winds continue along the south shore.  42 mph recently at both Sayville and Babylon along the water.

Event total now up to 2.36” and still raining here in Bethlehem.  Getting road closures in my area due to flooding.  Model projections of 2 - 4” across northern NJ,  eastern NY, and New England look good to me.

1 minute ago, NJwx85 said:

They could have probably gotten the game in tonight if they had waited till 8:30 to start.

No.

Many reports of wind gusts over 40 mph on the south shore barrier beaches now.  41 mph at Fire Island light and 52 mph at Ocean Beach.

3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Of course. I'm just pointing out that rainfall rates in this type of storm are nothing compared to summer downpours in t-storms. If it rained at this rate in the summer for an hour, you'd get a quarter to half inch and no one would think it's a big deal. It's not true very heavy rain like you get in summer storms, but I know it's impressive because it lasts many hours which gets you to heavy rainfall totals. To me this type of rain isn't exciting (although I'm glad we're getting a much needed soaking), but it's fine if others find it exciting. So far here I've picked up .85 of rain, but on radar the back edge of the steady moderate rain is already approaching Trenton. So we'll probably end up with a little over an inch here. Maybe an inch and a quarter. A good soaking but nothing to write home about IMO.

I thought the same as you two hours ago.  Now I am almost at 2”.  This event is delivering.

I have picked up 0.42” of an inch in the past 15 minutes to bring my event total up to 1.82”.

Event total now up to 1.40”

Recent gust to 45 mph at Smith Point Bridge.

22 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Beach Haven, NJ has SE gusts to 44 mph now.

41 mph at Ocean Beach on Fire Island in the last 10 minutes.

0.77” on the day so far.  It looks like we will be good for about an inch out here with this event.

Light to moderate rain here.  0.36” so far with the event.

1 hour ago, forkyfork said:

 

This is another view of this waterspout as taken from Cherry Grove.

21 minutes ago, H2O said:

Cantoree

Did they decide where he was going to do his live shots from?

There has been a lot of talk about the hype regarding this storm.  One of the things that I like to track is when it actually dawns on the populace down in S Florida that this threat is for real.  I measure that by looking at the traffic apps showing highway speed conditions.  In other storms I have seen those interstates backed up for hundreds of miles as people flee the storm.  So far I have not seen any sign of the expected mass exodus on the highways down there.  My thinking is that the West Palm Beach area is at the greatest risk of a direct hit early next week.  If you or your friends or family are even considering leaving the area ahead of the storm I would not wait too much longer.  My two cents anyways.

NWS Upton LSR:

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1133 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0834 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ROSELLE PARK            40.67N  74.27W
08/22/2019                   UNION              NJ   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE AND WIRES DOWN AT 9TH AVE AND 10TH ST.

0839 PM     TSTM WND GST     TRIBECA                 40.72N  74.01W
08/22/2019  M58 MPH          NEW YORK           NY   MESONET

0839 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 1 SSW BATTERY PARK      40.70N  74.01W
08/22/2019  M58 MPH          ANZ338             NY   MESONET

0853 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND BREEZY POINT            40.55N  73.93W
08/22/2019  M42 MPH          QUEENS             NY   WXFLOW

0900 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND CITY ISLAND             40.87N  73.79W
08/22/2019  M40 MPH          BRONX              NY   WXFLOW

0913 PM     TSTM WND GST     WANTAGH                 40.67N  73.51W
08/22/2019  M61 MPH          NASSAU             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGES BRANCHES DOWN.

0915 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 2 SE POINT LOOKOUT      40.57N  73.56W
08/22/2019  M51 MPH          ANZ355             NY   WXFLOW

0925 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WANTAGH                 40.67N  73.51W
08/22/2019                   NASSAU             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN ACROSS WANTAGH PARKWAY.

0930 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND OAK BEACH               40.64N  73.29W
08/22/2019  M52 MPH          SUFFOLK            NY   WXFLOW

0934 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 ESE BABYLON           40.69N  73.31W
08/22/2019  M60 MPH          SUFFOLK            NY   MESONET

0940 PM     TSTM WND GST     BRENTWOOD               40.78N  73.25W
08/22/2019  E61 MPH          SUFFOLK            NY   PUBLIC

0942 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND FIRE ISLAND CG          40.62N  73.26W
08/22/2019  M40 MPH          SUFFOLK            NY   WXFLOW

0943 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BAY SHORE               40.73N  73.25W
08/22/2019                   SUFFOLK            NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            NUMEROUS TREES REPORTED DOWN AROUND TOWN.

0945 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ISLIP                   40.73N  73.22W
08/22/2019                   SUFFOLK            NY   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE DOWN ON GRAND BLVD.

0945 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 1 S AMITY HARBOR        40.65N  73.40W
08/22/2019  M48 MPH          ANZ345             NY   WXFLOW

0953 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S LAKE RONKONKOMA     40.82N  73.11W
08/22/2019                   SUFFOLK            NY   MPING

            3 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN, POWER POLES SNAPPED

0955 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND BLUE POINT              40.73N  73.03W
08/22/2019  M45 MPH          SUFFOLK            NY   WXFLOW

1000 PM     TSTM WND DMG     RONKONKOMA              40.80N  73.12W
08/22/2019                   SUFFOLK            NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE LIMBS RIPPED OFF TREE NEAR MICHAEL MURPHY
            PARK.

1005 PM     TSTM WND DMG     AMITYVILLE              40.67N  73.42W
08/22/2019                   SUFFOLK            NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            TREE DOWN. OUTDOOR FURNITURE DAMAGE.

1014 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NORTH BABYLON           40.72N  73.32W
08/22/2019                   SUFFOLK            NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            TREES DOWN DEER PARK AVE.

1016 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NORTH LINDENHURST       40.71N  73.38W
08/22/2019                   SUFFOLK            NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ON COPIAGUE RD.

1112 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SHELTER ISLAND          41.08N  72.34W
08/22/2019                   SUFFOLK            NY   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN THROUGOUT ISLAND.

4 minutes ago, NycStormChaser said:

I think there's two areas of a possible tornado touch down on long Island.

I can’t rule out a tornado however there is a very large area of wind damage and resulting power outages on the island right now.  I think that this is mostly the result of straight line wind damage.

1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said:

I knew that bow was powerful when its outflow produced pretty Gusty winds despite being well to my north back in NJ. 

Tornado perhaps?

This is mostly straight line wind damage.  The large area of strong wind reports and radar presentation would strongly support that.  I do believe that after Upton does their damage survey that there will be a spot or two where winds will have been determined to reach close to 100 mph.  

Big stuff went down out there on the Island tonight.  The lack of posts on this thread in the past half hour speaks for itself as most are offline now.

A gust to 65 mph was measured in the vicinity of the Sayville Ferry dock (Weather Underground).

Have some wind reports to share from Fire Island from tonight’s event:

Fire Island Light 46 mph

Fair Harbor 46 mph

Atlantique 40 mph

Point of Woods 40 mph

Cherry Grove 40 mph

Fire Island Pines 35 mph

These gusts all occurred around 10 pm.  It is amazing that these stations are still up and reporting after this event.

The cell that popped near Allentown a short while ago dropped a quick 0.96” here.  No strong winds or CTG lightning with it however.

41 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The worst of the storm missed just to my south over the barrier islands.

Gilgo Beach

https://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/meso_base_dyn.cgi?stn=F3143&unit=0&timetype=GMT

17:46	76.0	68.6	70.9	78	11.0	21.0	WNW	29.74	29.75	0.0	0.13	0.10	N/A
17:31	76.0	67.9	70.4	76	12.0	30.0	NNW	29.74	29.75	0.0	0.13	0.10	N/A
17:16	80.0	69.7	72.7	71	35.0	65.0	WNW	29.69	29.70	0.0	0.06	0.03	N/A
17:01	81.0	71.9	74.5	74	19.0	23.0	SSW	29.66	29.67	9.0	0.06	0.03	N/A
1

I have a station mounted at my brother’s house at Cherry Grove.  It gusted to 26 mph at 8pm.  It’s mounted slightly below the roof line so it does not get the full exposure to the wind.  Based upon how it is set up I would estimate actual winds gusted to 40 mph there at that time.

Shelf cloud from earlier with the second round of storms.

Lots of lightning just to my SW as the next batch of storms approaches.