Tatamy

Mt Holly has just issued snow squall warnings for my area so now all the phones are going off… lol

You can go to 511pa.com and go to the webcams in the Scranton area.  Select I81 for the cameras.  A lot of white outs on these cameras right now out there.

17 minutes ago, wishcast_hater said:

Plows are out. Just measured an inch on the driveway. Amazing. 

It looks like you will end up with more snow from this morning’s activity vs this afternoon.  The much advertised snow squall is continuing to the east and is moving across the I81 corridor in PA.  The history of this feature is that it drops 0.2 to 0.4” in short order as shown on the HRRR.  I just watched it pass one of the webcams along I80 just NW of Hazleton.  Visibility drops quickly from 1/2 mile to about 1/16 mile and then back to 1/2 mile within just a few minutes.  This is a quick hitter!

WRT today’s snow showers/squalls there is only some light snow showers reaching the ground along I84 in northeastern PA with the first round.  The activity seen on radar in the first band in central PA is mostly not reaching the ground in places to the south and west of the Scranton/Wilkes Barre area at this time.

14 minutes ago, Metasequoia said:

It seems like these overrunning storms don't result in much snow for NYC. Hudson Valley and New England do well...sometimes the Mid-Atlantic. Hopefully we all do well...if that's even possible with such a storm

Consensus of the models so far is that this event would be primarily a sleet/ice event going over to rain for most in the metro.  Better chances of accumulating snow would be north of I287.  Of course a lot can and will change.  As always be very careful with clown maps with this type of setup as they will overstate snow amounts.

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Trees have really taken a beating since 2010. Probably the worst tree damage for our area over a 10-12 year period. So many weakened trees have already fallen. Plus many homeowners have done removals of trees that were to close to their house. The professional tree cutting business has been booming.

Not just on LI.  There are many communities in northern NJ where between storms and other circumstances there has been a tremendous reduction in foliage trees.  As a case in point I will note the community of Wood Ridge, NJ.  This borough is situated right off of Route 17 south of I80.  Before 2010 this was a heavily wooded community with many large old growth trees.  I traveled there a year ago and was shocked by how it had changed.  I would estimate that 90% of those old growth trees are gone.  I was amazed.  And this is just one community in that area.  Even out by me there has been a large amount of old growth trees removed just in the past two years.

Quick burst of rain with the squall line but no unusual wind gusts as compared with what has been going on here overnight.

The squall line preceding the front is on my doorstep literally.  Highest measured wind gust overnight was 50 mph.  Up to 64 degrees now.

Up to 62 here with a recent wind gust to 33mph.  Winds are starting to crank out here.

42 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

Nice weenie GFS run with snow threats both next Friday, next Sunday, and next Monday. 

Take a close look at the actual precip types associated with these events…

59 minutes ago, White Gorilla said:

At about 11 pm last night this guy at NY NJ PA weather tweeted that he was not buying the HRRR solution due to a lack of observational support.  He further stated that the NAM solution was more likely.  Seems like he changed his mind.

15 minutes ago, eduggs said:

I'm seeing 4 and 5 inch totals from Warren Co. NJ and parts of EPA. Nice! I guess the good banding was to the west overnight?

5” new this morning here in Bethlehem Twp.  The other poster in Macungie measured about the same a little earlier. The first three hours of the event was the most intense with the banding resulting in 4” during that period.

7 minutes ago, Albedoman said:

I verify here in Macungie with death band over me.  Hitting 5 in and still puking snow.  NWS should issue a winter storm warning. Tree limbs really getting plastered.

 

Props to the HRRR/RAP/HREF on this one WRT to better placement of the most intense FGEN.  NAM/GFS look to have been out to lunch on this one.

Just now, MJO812 said:

Is snowman19 getting any snow in his world ?

He is probably asleep… 

This is what a bust to the upside looks like.  Been snowing here for about 3 hours.  4” new

5 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Boom. Snow just started here and it came in hard as all snow.  Already a dusting.  Not a coating, mind you as the temperature is 38 and the snow is melting pretty quickly, but definitely a dusting on the grass and tables.  Melting fast, but sticking a little faster.

 

Boom says it well out here too.  Snow started about 40 minutes ago here.  Already an inch on the ground.  Big time fluff factor with this one. 

Snow is moderate to heavy here with visibility about 3/8 mile.  Looks just like a snow squall with large fluffy flakes.

Snow has begun out here.  It actually coming down quite hard in places around the Allentown area.  It is literally like a snow squall in terms of how it gets underway.  35 degrees here.

Radar is lighting up with snow across much of SE PA and western and NW NJ right now.  Light snow here currently.  Looks like a burst of snow here for a time this morning before we transition to a wintry mix/rain.  Just a light coating so far.  29*

Very light snow falling out here.  25*

1 minute ago, White Gorilla said:

Finally turned to snow here in Poughkeepsie.  Large fluffy flakes.  If only the whole show was that.  Lucky those who got that north and west. 

Getting some fluffy snow flakes out here  also as the event winds down.

7 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

 

Doubtful. Temps wonts be crashing fast enough. Still a slow drain going in the area. I was 37 at 10am and still just 35 now 

Don’t under estimate how fast conditions can change.  Your temperature may be in the mid 30s however that will fall later.  My back deck went from wet to a sheet of ice in 20 minutes.  It is not often that you will see a flash freeze however I just did.  Hopefully for your sake the precip is out of your area before the temperature drops.

We are getting a flash freeze right now.  I am seeing a mix of sleet and wet snow flakes with this final batch of precip.  My deck is turning into a sheet of ice as I write this.  I can actually hear the crackling of the ice as it freezes over.  Temperature down to 30.

30.5 with light rain and some sleet pellets out here in eastern PA.  No ice accretion at this time (I just walked the dog and the streets are just wet).

Ice arrives very early Thursday morning on the 0z NAM to the N and W before going over to rain.  Looks colder initially in the BL.