powderfreak

Those look like they could be dropping some decent 1/2” rain amounts overnight in the deep interior.

You forgot portions of NNE too.

The reaction coming out from the weather community is awesome. Glad to see folks standing up for their own. Can’t believe it came to that for the poor folks at NWS Birmingham, as they were just trying to tell people Dorian would not be hitting them harder than expected. Anyway, should be an interesting 24 hours from Cape Cod to the Maritimes.

I just feel for our NWS members, but I’ve gathered we don’t see eye to eye on that. They try to prepare the public in an unfolding national emergency and they have to deal with the clown.

This is disturbing. How NOAA pushed their local office under the bus when they corrected the President that Alabama would not be hit harder than expected. I cant believe he is still whining like a little snowflake over this and making the head of the organization clarify it for him. He just cannot let things go. https://www.noaa.gov/news/statement-from-noaa “The Birmingham National Weather Service’s Sunday morning tweet spoke in absolute terms that were inconsistent with probabilities from the best forecast products available at the time.”

C’mon there’s part of you that loves it .

Going the other way now. Curve is heading down.

I can’t even imagine a site 20 miles inland in New England recording 90mph wind. That’s like halfway between BOS and ORH. Gusts to 90mph is solid even on NNE Mtn tops...but in a suburban neighborhood, yikes.

Fukking amazing to live in Southern California type weather where every day you walk outside it’s an orgasm of sunshine and 78F.... but boring as hell for weather weenies.

Good sun up here most of the day, 71F with that insolation. Low dew dandy. Starting to get high clouds rolling in though.

It’s got that feeling where it might be a prolonged foliage season.... early stuff is going real early, but then there’s that stuff that no matter the weather needs to wait for the lower sun angle of October to turn. I see most of the early change in the lower elevations around here....it seems like the temp departures have been lower down under 1,500ft compared to higher elevations. Low dews helping that.

45F up here, couldn’t really drop. Temp was <50F from 10pm until 8am... 10 hours of 40s and the house was very cold this morning.

Ha yeah we are going to be in for some posts of “ACATT wanted cool weather in the summer, so now this warmth is what we get in the winter.”

Nothing like the sound of geese flying low overhead to make one think of autumn.

Yeah and love how the longer range in the Op models seem to be continuing the autumn theme. It looks like we may avoid the September torch of recent years where it seems as soon as HubbDave goes back to the classroom, we get a September stretch of 85-90F.

This weekend is looking chilly for sure, but Sunday looks downright cold in NNE. Daytime temp anomalies of a solid 15F below normal with max temps struggling to get into the mid-50s up here. NW flow is probably a downslope dandy along the coastal plain but the upslope zone looks up to 15-20 degrees colder. 18z Sunday 2-M temps on the GFS and NAM. No precip just CAA...brrrr.

66/48 in the valley and 51F at the picnic tables. Does feel like fall, certainly a crisp mid/upper-60s type afternoon coming up.

I love big storms until I lose power. I get irrationally angry when we lose power ha. Two October’s ago we lost power for 3 days when that huge SE windstorm hit and we ended up just leaving to go visit my parents lol. No patience for power outages.

That's awesome. Thanks for sharing that. The planet loves it's symmetry sometimes.

I mean this is the President of the United States... really think about that. Nothing about this is political (no beliefs or thoughts or policies involved) but what a clown show from the highest office to try and justify a tweet and not admit fault. Looks like a sharpie drawn outline from an old NHC forecast. The narcissism involved in going to such great lengths of holding a press conference and altered images to show what he meant is just on another level .

Love that this is becoming a thing... Chamber weather in the AFD: “A North Country Chamber of Commerce day anticipated over the fa with plenty of sunshine, light winds, and cool temps on Thurs.”. Also, for the first time in a long time, the 7-day Zone forecast doesn’t have a high temperature of 70F or higher. It’s 7 days of highs in the 60’s even with sunshine.

Weenie out at 3,600ft... it never gets old watching the atmosphere in 3D in the mountains. It’s a perspective being on flat ground doesn’t give you. Chillin with the dog up here, looking due south along the Spine, and start to see a brief tendril of Virga form over the barrier. Then as it moves out over the east slopes it looks like it starts reaching the surface. Then by the time it gets to town it’s just straight pouring. Looking at the radar, the interesting thing is how much further downstream it looked to take to really dump the rain... the heaviest radar echos did not match up with when it hit the ground, though guess that’s what happens when the beam has to be at least 4-5kft up to see it.

Yeah at least he adds some very valuable knowledge of the situation, but in the end it's just a thrill seeking type behavior. I can't talk, I've arranged my life around skiing powder which can be selfish in its own right. I do think social media has certainly added to more of this type of stuff though (like tornado chasing), or at least you never heard about it before... but disaster tourism is an odd thing that's on the increase (folks traveling to witness natural disasters and such). I'm all for doing whatever makes you tick though. We live one life, do whatever makes you enjoy it the most.

Its a straight drug for him at this point. I get it, and reading some of his stuff, he almost seems ok with it if one of these does claim his life at some point. There's nothing else he'd rather be doing. Sitting at home while a Cat 5 hits some island is just not a possibility for him. I have a deep respect for people like that, who realize this is what they want to do with their life and they are going to do it. I also get some of the other comments... I mean, if anyone needs to come rescue him or provide emergency care.... it's the same as someone going up MWN and needing to be rescued (when a lot of the public wonders why you put the rescuers at risk). Some people hike Everest, some chase the eyewalls of Cat 5 hurricanes, others chase tornadoes, some dive to the deepest depths of the ocean possible. They didn't need to be there but they wanted to and they don't need anyone's permission to do so. Josh obviously plans well for it, but one can see both sides of the argument.

Just saw a loop of all the NHC forecast cones throughout Dorians life span and it’s track... trying to figure out how to save it and post the loop here, but basically it shows we have a long way to go to predict where these storms are going with any confidence. Definitely shows why it’s called the “cone of uncertainty.” At the same time, the NHC does a phenomenal job but man throughout this storm’s life it’s had a wide variety of possible tracks shown by the models....from over Dominican Republic/Haiti towards Miami, to going north and then hitting Florida from due east and straight into the Gulf of Mexico, to recurving straight up the coast. Intensity forecasts were also sort of all over the place. Hurricanes are humbling. That made a Nor’Easter track look like easy forecasting.