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Everything posted by powderfreak
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I think the flow and snow growth is maximized in that area, and extends down to over you. That wind flow and low level moisture is wringing out the moisture on a very specific axis. You being immediately downwind of Bolton is leading to a very strong band. Despite being east side and in the downslope, RT 108 at least sees some steady light snow coming off of Madonna, Whiteface (VT), Spruce and Mansfield. This flow definitely packs snow into the immediate Spine axis (all elevations) and northwest facing slopes... maximized in those pass elevations up through the mid-slopes. Above that it's too fluffy/windy to let it stack up, IMO. You have to be getting ripped there near the county line and I89 intersection.
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Yeah we have some snow falling, but nothing significant. Mood snows I'd call it. 1/4" of new snow in past 45-60 minutes or so judging by the tire tracks in the Sushi Yoshi parking lot as we passed by on the evening dog walk. I'd guess it pulses up to half inch an hour rates at times but then will drop to a heavy flurry, and repeat the process. Though I always appreciate the evening dog walk on the Rec Path while it's snowing. That soft squeak of boots walking the groomed surface (I love they groom the Rec Path, just step outside and wander a groomed trail), while snow falls in the headlamp and street lights. But it would probably take at least 3 hours to accumulate an inch. Still, a nice wintry scene this evening. Been rotting in the 17-18" range for snow depth for weeks it seems...it just has more density to it now after that sleet event.
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It sounds like the Jay area and this last snowfall had some crazy gradients. Coworker who also does snow reporting duties found about 5” at Jay, but he was around 2,000ft down low as a gate keeper at a USASA event. Said it was great skiing but he was confident in about 5” as a recent total. Maybe 3” on top of groomed surface. Said it snowed at times and had some sun at times, not much new near the parking lots today. Then another friend went to the backcountry near Jay and reported a solid foot of fluff, similar to @J.Spin. He said it was crazy. Seemed like the snow got stuck in the road passes with calm winds and on the west slope... but not as much on the Jay Peak side near the base area at 1800ft. Curious what our local resident saw up there too.
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Yeah @J.Spin we only had an inch or a bit less from last night in town. It had completely disappeared from my elevated snowboard during the day as I didn’t bother cleaning it. Evaporated throughout the day. Need to get back to mini-Japan... the snowbanks with high tourist traffic this holiday week have taken on a bit more brown and used look.
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Sounds like the ring-leader lives in Tolland... 21 year old driver. But also some very young ones too. “State police said a 13-year-old girl and a 14-year-old girl were also in the car. They were issued juvenile summonses and released to their parents. State police determined, after questioning, that the group was on its way to burglarize and steal vehicles in Tolland County, according to a report.“
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Rough rap sheet to start out with at 16. If they are really that young, that sounds like boredom gone very wrong.
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I like to think we don’t over-report or under-report... we report what it is, lol. I really think the key to a ski area is a fixed point so you are always measuring the same place/way. Snowfall varies so much sometimes on the mountain but over a decade now people know what the number means (if that makes sense). I personally think all the ski areas in this area do a very good job with it.... we get plenty of practice, ha. With that said, most have adopted the practice of “when in doubt, report low” so you don’t have social media chirping about misleading snowfall. Personally, I prefer an underreport. Surprise and delight leads to a better guest experience. I have low-balled it plenty of times over the years when in doubt. Expecting 3” and finding 6” makes for happy customers.
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That winter was nuts. Measured an even 375” at the High Road plot here in ‘16-17. I even remember the last measured event in April before the ski area closed, we were stuck at 362”... wanted 375 or 400”. The last storm was 13” of dense upslope (almost graupel) to make it an even 375. That year just wanted to precipitate. Compared to this winter’s 157” there so far.
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2-3” fluff at the mountain.
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That's the ideal climate right there. Glad so many in SNE are getting to experience it. About a half inch up this way of sparkling fluff the past couple hours, hoping to grab a couple inches tonight. Keep the vibe going.
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That’s why I never get when people put down refreshers on top of snowpacks. The entire pack now looks fresh, it could’ve all fallen today. There’s none of that “old snow” look and the ambiance is extremely wintry. Bring on the light, long duration events... so much winter vibe during those.
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So many people hate on long duration snows, but there’s a reason we love days and days of snow regardless of whether the totals are impressive or not. 3-6” in 36 hours is fun regardless of what anyone says... and despite the hate of panels of 0.10” QPF every 6 hours.
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Those echoes south of Boston in Scott’s neighborhood are wild, seeing that low level stuff move westward while the larger mid-level shield moves northeast. Love that meso-scale stuff.
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What a dumpster fire that was lol. I think after that was my changing point. No longer anxious for snow because I know it’ll come and be better than that winter haha.
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Yeah man you go way back, I remember back on WWBB when we all used to post in one forum. It’s been fantastic to have another regular poster from the mountains in the north. Keeps the conversation going, especially a long time poster. Solid trade pick up by NNE. I bet you have at least 40” of snowfall left.
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That’s more than NNE got in the last event of low ratio snow/sleet... that’s a fun, wintry day. Congrats.
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Oh I hear you, but it is climo. I used to lose my mind a decade ago but you realize over time that yes, it does snow south of us and there will be periods when it’s much more active down south. The jet stream and baroclinic zone hits its furthest south spot on average in January and February, so expect those months to have a better shot at storms missing to the south... and it can happen for prolonged periods of time. Our sweet spot is early and late season when the climo gradients align a bit better. At some point, every winter, there will be a period where everything is south. Could have a January 2014 when we had more inches of rain in NNE than inches of snow in a period while Philly had several warning snow events between the cutters. In the end, trust climo. It always wins out long term despite short term frustrations.
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Through the end of April is fair game at 1500ft in the northern mountains. Heck last year the first 10 days of May had several snow events.
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Yeah but that’s also how winter climate goes. You don’t hit on every system and most winters one could say “what could have been” on numerous shortwaves or long stretches. You get a stretch of cutters and it’s “what could’ve been” if those tracked 50 miles south, etc. Looking at the daily snowfalls though on Cocorahs... has it been dead for long periods of time? It looked like it snowed measurable there more days than not for like 6 weeks, ha. I guess it just depends on perspective but aside from the area SE of the mountains in ME, it just doesn’t look that bad. We just don’t get synoptic hits weekly unless it’s a banner winter.
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How fast you get acclimated. I’ve sensed some disappointment in those 100-inches lately even coming straight from Maryland lol.
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You’ve been watching and studying model data, mid-levels and soundings now for over a decade... shouldn’t need Mets by this point . Ginxy never asks for a forecast, ha.
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That radar looks pretty good for the south shore, I’d be pretty stoked down there.
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Let’s be honest, I get up at that time a few days a week to do the weather/ops report, but it’s not a normal waking hour. This does explain a lot though about why you don’t get too deep into model data. Just read what other laptop users find.
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Maybe some bread and butter? Nothing huge but keeps flakes in the air and keeps the pack looking fresh? For the first time in like 6 weeks, the snowpack doesn't "look fresh" in that fluffy pillow way. I miss that Japan pow look with even split rail fences sporting 10" that somehow defies gravity and curls under the railing. Dollops of snow clinging off everything. Now it looks more like usual northeast synoptic snow... dense, packed, from town to the mountain. I could go for some fluff on the trees, power lines, and objects to bring back the candy land forest look.
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Hopefully some prolonged periods of upslope flow. Some of the QPF is decent over a period of several days in the mountains. This has the makings of nickel and dime stuff that adds up to 8” over 72 hours along the Spine.