powderfreak

Makes sense, I’d imagine campfires at hiking shelters and overnight spots would be another big one. The last decent fire in Mansfield State Forest was from a smoldering campfire from hikers.... that one a few years ago burned under the surface or something weird like that, fueling on the peat moss. While it gets dry, seems like it’s not western dry for sure where a cig tossed out a car window can burn a forest. Needs to be active coals like burn pile or campfire in most cases I’d imagine. Hard to get the odd ways they start fires out west, like gender reveal parties... or a lowered Honda Civic bottoming out pulling into a WalMart and the resulting sparks blew into a field in high winds and burned the county down.

Damn! It was started by new homeowners I guess doing some land clearing and burn pile without a permit and fire ban in place.

They’ve had around 2” water this month and 5” last month it looks like too, dries out fast in this low RH regime. Every afternoon seems to get to 30% RH or lower.

Is that not under control yet? I figured they had that wrapped up. Crazy if it’s still going. Dont see this very often while hiking in the Northeast .

Ah yeah that makes sense. No veering and wind shift. Sorry I thought you were talking more generally about NW flow and was thinking we get plenty of convergence in many events on that wind direction.

NW flow reduce convergence because of larger scale sinking off Appalachia into SE Quad of New England?

Wow. Looks like the MVL/MPV/HIE/BML crew will all be 79-81 range for highs. Here we sat 78-79F all afternoon for hourly obs but I’d imagine we hit 80F in there somewhere.

Mansfield Stake should go to a Trace today... “trace” is when the snowpack is no longer continuous around the stake.

Pollen season is just starting up here, first day I noticed even the faintest green on the car windshield in the morning.

I did too in the dip this morning. Already looking nice. Can change rapidly though.

Really mixed out today, majority of sites SNE/NNE with dews in the 30s now. Even some like LEW tickled below freezing. Low RH region wide.

Yup it’s just play money but worth throwing a couple bills at. Maybe you win an all expenses paid vacation or a kitchen remodel, .

73/36 with 26% RH... let’s keep doing this daily.

Strong RAD cooling conditions... or fake cold. Down along the river, at the bottom of the Stowe CC golf course, the clear/calm conditions can be efficient along West Branch. The thermal gradient can be so close to the surface in these flows.

Max of 77.5F with a max dew of 49F (though afternoon much lower)... that's how you draw it up. Congrat's DIT, open 'em up wide and let it in. This is the week to install most likely though if that's something you do. Memorial Day Weekend not that far away, the unofficial start of summer anyway.

74/46... breezy... but feeling a bit muggy with dews above freezing.

Ahh you’re right. I see it now. It just replaced that specific NMM family within the larger HREF ecosystem.

So the new HREF is now more GFS based instead of the old that was NAM based is how I read it? “All HiresW-FV3 domains are initialized from a 6 h old cycle of the Global Forecast System (GFS). Previously the HiresW-NMMB utilized North American Model (NAM) surface conditions for all non-Guam domains, and took atmospheric initial conditions from the Rapid Refresh (RAP) for the CONUS and Puerto Rico domains.” ”The HiresW-FV3 also utilizes a very different set of physics than the HiresW-NMMB being replaced. In both models no parameterized convection is used, but the HiresW-FV3 otherwise is using GFS-style physics, while the HiresW-NMMB utilized NAM- style physics.”

We hit 76F here for the first time since April 9th. Nothing like a good 5 weeks to get back up to the early April torch values.

BTV hit 80F for the first time this season.

This evening’s dog hike revealed mosquitoes in big numbers. Stopped to take some photos and when the wind stopped blowing, I had a half dozen on my legs almost instantly. It was impressive how fast they were on you the moment the wind ceased.

A lot of Stowe marketing collateral over the past decade.... the stuff you see on trail map and brochure covers, website, social, etc. Primarily a landscape photog that sells through word of mouth too... second homeowners or those who own rental properties who want local landscapes of the Mansfield/Stowe area on their walls. It’s a joke on here, chamber of commerce weather.... but it’s real, ha. Sell shots from those days to Stowe Area Association and chamber office, . If I had a house on the Maine coast I’d have it full of @MaineJayhawk’s photos. He doesn’t post them here but damn those are amazing.

Yeah I’m reading on what Ginxy mentioned... sounds like most of that stuff is coming from Reddit. I guess that’s where the gas/bag video first re-surfaced and it went viral. Then everyone takes Reddit at face value too... sounds like a lot of viral stuff that’s fake starts at Reddit.

I'll have to look that up, ha.

What video?