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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. I thought I saw Thanksgiving stuff out in a store the other day. Might have been autumn but some Turkey decorations too. Retailers don’t hold back haha.
  2. Yeah can see that axis on Cocorahs. Looks like it hasn’t rained since though.
  3. I just looked, it was June when your area did much better relatively to others in SNE. SE CT into adjacent RI. Looks like you were just shy of 5” for June? That must’ve been what I was remembering.
  4. Ahh yeah, Ginxy was pulling inch-plus rains like they grew on trees it felt like.
  5. I thought you were like the wettest spot for a while… when Scooter was bustin your balls over rain totals. When was that?
  6. I picture 3-5 Mets in a forecast office discussing rain chances and MREF probabilities, upper air patterns and mid-level lows, etc for several hours trying to figure out if it’ll rain or storm. Meanwhile some dude in a hammock in a Taunton backyard is like “Wasting your time. Ain’t gonna rain. Hasn’t in months, why would it now.” And goes back to napping in the hammock.
  7. There was an earlier ICON run that clipped Methuen and Ray’s area hard while leaving all the rest of SNE out of it… and I was thinking that’s like Ray’s wet dream. Something that spins back and dumps on him while 25 miles SW is smoking cirrus.
  8. Hard to out-forecast pessimism for sure.
  9. Apparently this guy was hit by a car on Mountain Road not far from me in Stowe. 575 pounds. That’s like a zoo animal. Some big guys wandering around this summer.
  10. 46F. Great sleeping weather. SLK at 37-38F.
  11. Fake cooling in effect. SLK @ 46F for 11pm.
  12. Seems like a cold season synoptic approach to modeling. We know there are wild run-to-run swings in the deterministic models so the next best utilization are the ensembles. The hedge is somewhere in the middle between nothing and 2-5”. Even a widespread synoptic soaking of 0.50-0.75” is highly beneficial.
  13. Every. Single. Poster. in SNE is drooling over the lawn. That's a true NNE summer vibe there. Right on man.
  14. Ok yeah that’s what I always thought. I hate seeing those strong convective lines angled SW to NE through the Ohio Valley and into Mid-Atlantic in winter storms while QPF gets trimmed every run lol. In my head I always thought the more N-S oriented the “better.” Maybe not fully knowing why but don’t like anything /…. this vertical | or \ please lol.
  15. I should delete my last reply to Kev lol. Fires will still be burning.
  16. Doesn’t really look like a convection robbing moisture synoptic set up does it? The SE to E deep layer flow… usually convection disrupting moisture transport seems more like SW to S flow or am I making that up?
  17. Thread reads like some folks are trusting the latest model guidance over their own internal fears or hopes. Models were what they were. In winter if you had Euro/GFS, would you be tossing them to ride the GGEM? Aside from Stein tea-bagging you for three months, is there a lot of modeled reasons to go with straight miss? 84 hour NAM looks like it would hit too.
  18. I want to see this version of DIT in December. Caution flags being thrown left and right on every modeled snower.
  19. That would get the job done in SNE.
  20. Their calling card is the sturdy, flat armrests that are perfect for resting beverages on.
  21. Mother Nature has a sense of humor… or maybe it’s NCEP that does.
  22. Imagine not having water for your family to drink, cook with, bathe with, flush toilets, etc all because you wanted to look at green grass. That would be a tough spot to be in. Responsible decision to let the lawn go.
  23. Today it hit me too. I think it’s the cloud cover, cooler temps and mostly the sunlight. I love May/June/July for the daylight. My body responds more to that time frame mentally, no matter what my weather desires are. I also love May because you know you’ve got months of high-end daylight. If it wasn’t for skiing, I’m not sure how I’d do winters these days. The darkness, dreary days, etc. It hits me differently in my mid-30s vs when I was in college, ha. At least skiing keeps me sane.
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