powderfreak

Low of 40F and a Max of 79F today. The valley is a good indication of a dry air mass. High diurnal ranges equal commerce weather. Sunset driving home from Shaws supermarket. Running an errand and the sky lights up.

Haha. Again not the biggest country music fan, but every time I hear it is in social settings usually with beer flowing. It's not something I listen to myself. DIT isn't wrong on that side to be honest . No country music playing here by choice.

See you can have a lot of fun by a campfire when it’s hoodie and jacket weather. One even has a knit hat on. They look like they wish the dews were higher to really enjoy it. I don’t mind country music. I tend to like the pop country more than the twangy old-school stuff. It’s definitely social music if that makes sense. The upbeat stuff… not the sad love story crap about an old high school girlfriend or whatever.

Good stuff so far this month. I think without the dews and stale air, the bugs have been really tolerable all warm season too.

Definitely measure every 6 hours under that fluff band.

I thought it was Vision-quest or something. VQATT. Dont look at any data, maybe some tweets, but close your eyes and envision the weather you want.

The bit is to mock people who use model runs to formulate ideas.

Record lows set at Saranac Lake, Plattsburgh, Glens Falls. Up here MVL has a shorter POR (1987?) but the previous lowest was 43F in 2012 and we hit 40F. The super-rare mid-summer record mins. HIE/BML likely were close or in there.

This is all my fault. Spent big money installing A/C and then haven’t had to use it yet. Turned it on once for like the novelty one evening with some dews a couple weeks ago but other than that… it’s like buying a new snow blower and then it never snows. After 2-3 summers of seemingly needing A/C regularly starting in May, here we are with a 40F min at MVL in mid-July all the sudden.

40s at MYV out in the water in July.

SLK at 35F! Yore stuff for July 10. HIE and BML with 37F on the 5-min data. Wonder if there’s some July frost in a couple pockets.

41/39 at 4:45am as the light starts to break. This is the coldest July temperature I can remember here in the last decade to be honest. Jeez. We had to close up all windows as it was too cold, that’s s first for mid-July.

Car said 51F getting home at 10pm. We mount up. SLK and HIE already in the 40s… Alex should see 30s.

ORH at 78/41 for 26% RH. That’s some Yore for July 9th with widespread RH below 30% in mid-summer. Up here the max at MVL is 70F so far under full sunshine, late September climo.

Ha, at least some folks try looking at data throughout the day. It's easier to just not look at the models all together for sure. Deterministic long range or Ensembles? What's your model of choice at longer lead times? Also, this isn't an argument trying to be proven... it's a daily commentary on the future weather. If it torches we'll talk about that too. The torch looks like it would be later in the month, past Day 8-10.

Hold me. Day 5-9 at average 850mb temps. Here's where things become muddied though in this forum's semantics arguements. "Normal" in mid-July is hot. It's highs in the upper 80s at a place like BDL. Definitely going to be warm/hot... not exceptionally relative to normal but it'll be summer.

I swear the NWS offices troll DIT. Why else add this at the end. Longer term...it still looks like NECONUS stays away from Central CONUS heat ridge with northern stream still trying to influence our weather pattern. &&

Five days until it mild downs again.

Awesome Ginxy. Dogs adapt so well and are happy while doing it. Mine got follow up x-rays 6-weeks after surgery and should be back to hiking in August.

Everything’s been on track since April. Some summer in July. 75/55

Comes pre-cooked.

You throw them out there, I bite. The hyperbole is a trigger . There's data to discuss. Remember back in the day, all posts would include some critical analysis. Personally, I think the long term is a hot/humid period breaking off from the central US ridge. It'll flow through toasty, and then a FROPA will cool/dry things out again. But not as much (step-up)... after that it gets hot and humid for a good period in the means. "Cold frontal passages" will wash out and weaken as we get into peak climo time for heat. You're going to get some good humidity coming, at the very least in waves. It's the climo time of year. Time-to-swim afternoons, pool, lake or river?

Going to need more of these loops. The fluidity in the atmosphere is great in high-speed. That is pretty sweet on a meal-scale level. Wall of moisture rolling in waves and trying to overwhelm the area, and met with some resistance from the NE.

That’s a map of 850mb temp anomalies. No dews on there. What it’s showing is another trough in the means swinging through behind the FROPA on Thursday. The EPS has it too, if we want to go the more data-based route over gut intuition. We can only make claims as well as the data presented at the time. It certainly will be hot and humid Tue/Wed as the TV graphic showed.

Probably dewy straight through Christmas if we are going the route of hyperbole. You almost wonder if it’s just a straight 365 day stretch to be honest.