powderfreak

Without that 0.3 degree background warming we’d have been a more manageable +7.7 in January instead of +8.0. The lows probably would’ve tracked southeast of us too instead of up the St Lawrence Valley.

32.7F here while about 400 feet overhead it’s in the 50s. MVL seeing the same thing. Fake cold trying to preserve the snowpack. Ski area base getting torched at 51F.

Some real fake cold tonight, ha. Snow is getting crispy outside at 32.7F on my local PWS near the river here. MVL ASOS also at 33F. Its in the low 50s though at the base of the ski area. Stowe to Morrisville… cold in the RT 100 corridor to 50s just off the deck. Wild inversion.

3,700ft

My car said 36F coming home. My buddy said it was 50s in BTV. About a 20 degree difference from here to BTV.

Sometimes it reads like Mets like you, Will, Brooklyn are just having a discussion… just chatting weather. But sometimes people read way too deeply into it. Snow and winter has always carried a lot of weight around here. If talking about a possible Day 8 hot pattern in July, no one cares if it comes or not, ha.

Don’t give anyone even an ounce of hope. By discussing any potential winter weather, even weeks out, you give hope, even if to you it’s just a meteorological discussion. Don’t do it. Squash all hope. Its all on the reader and how they interpret the information.

What seems to happen is the Mets fully understand the probability and the odds but will talk about it because it’s something to talk about… while the bulk of the forum usually get excited when the Mets are chatting. There’s definitely a lot of emotional turmoil… like if Will/ORH is talking about a threat people read way to much into that. They think Will likes this one, it’s coming. And now folks are just sick of Mets talking about it, because there’s still a good bit of weight of emotional investment when the Mets chirp. Its this weird dynamic going on. Edit: Will just nailed it. “It’s on the reader…” for not understanding exactly what the Mets are discussing.

Bingo. We all get it. Winter has sucked but what are we adding to the discussion of model data is shown to illustrate a point and the response is “Nope, not happening.” At the very least show some model data to illustrate why it won’t happen.

Can see the cold tuck, gets pretty icy coastal plain in that tuck zone, especially GYX area.

HRRR keeps getting colder. Has zero plain rain up this way now. Needs this to sag slightly further and in business. SN/IP/ZR.

What a day… 40F and sun.

12 years ago in 2011. That was a big winter. 150+ inches in town and 300+ inches on the mountain.

+KFS briefly going -KFS at the 18z run? Hiccup? I’ve never thought you guys or anyone were done. It’s still early. It may have been a dumpster fire of a winter, but climo still likes to have a minor say. Record low (or high) snow/precip is tough to come by for a reason. Just like in summer droughts, the odds are it can’t run that futility play forever. It doesn’t mean a memorable stretch at all, but just wintry weather around. It does start to fight the gaining sun angle though, just like HHH in the fall in reverse.

Nice crack o’ noon powder turns. 4-5” refresh skied great.

Stake at season high after last nights refresh.

Half inch down in the valley were temps stayed 32-34F all night. Mountain at 3,000ft is at 4-5” now. Good pulse this morning brought 2” between 6-8am.

Everyone is going to need you to get on that plane. Sorry Jer.

GFS is a nice starting point, can always raise them later.

Weak system moving through tonight. I think hills get 2-4”.

Anything not on the map not getting a lot of traffic at all. All season it’s been so easy to find untracked. Many locals went to Sugarbush this year and the benefit is low hanging fruit being untracked.

45F today, fantastic day. Loving the longer daylight. Backyard snowpack is on its way down. Dog needs to enjoy rolling in it, who knows how long it lasts. Feels like mid-March out here.

2 on February 11th and 1 on February 9th. Very high frozen-lake traffic despite the record warm months. The arctic shot created a false sense of security.

We enjoy these backyard dog walks as it warms up. It has been an obscenely warm winter. The snowpack here in the valley/river bottom will go quick unless we can wedge in. Photo this evening to show the diminished pack.

All weekend long, so many woods lines remained fresh. Stowe saw heavy crowds on Saturday. It was a high-end day. Traffic was slow on arrival but not stopped like it was in recent years. The mountain never ran out of parking spots, just a lot of people arriving at the same exact time on a 2-lane road. Either way, the people are not skiing the woods lines immediately next to major groomed trails.