powderfreak
-
Posts
76,808 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by powderfreak
-
Given all the Ensemble guidance... the GGEM/CMC ensemble is the middle road approach. -
6z 3km NAM looks like most of the systems of late. Gets into Ray to Hubby zone, while crushing Dendrite to Dryslot. It's still ripping up to 1"/hr in NH/ME at the end of the run here so there's more to come in those areas.
-
I was just thinking how mild it was last night... MVL up here was 32-34F most of the night (actually it got up to 36F from 1-2am). Sure there will be CAA behind this current system but it's an interesting observation that for those that snow it might just marginally get there. Then again, that's all it has to do, get to 32F or lower.
-
The ICON moved fairly substantially up into the NAM/EURO camp.
-
Looks like we are seeing a meet in the middle. GFS bumped north with QPF, Euro bumped south with thermals. Both now take the low near Long Island, GFS fairly significant move north with low pressure position. GEFS been going steadily north tick by tick last 24 hours with QPF. Today’s 00z: Yesterday’s 00z:
-
That is absolutely bonkers. I’d start to be worried about getting buried if one of those snow walls calved off. Walk one at a time to make sure if someone gets buried another person is able to get them out, ha. Children can’t go outside either, going to drown.
-
3KM has a helluva thump. The 3-hr maps have rates up to 2”/hr… but here’s a 6-hr snap to catch multiple areas. Heavy snow to scalping.
-
It’s definitely ever so slightly colder in your neck of the woods from 18z. It’s not much of a change overall, but even 15-20 miles may mean a lot for some in Mass.
-
That’s what I think of your climo, ha. It’s either 0” or 12”+ events. Which is why I’d never count you guys out for not having an ok winter. Percentage wise of snowfall, you guys can make up serious ground with one system.
-
BTV climate piece sums up winter: && .CLIMATE... The meteorological winter (December to February) has come to a close. Preliminary average temperature data indicates it was the 3rd warmest winter on record in Burlington with a value of 29.0 degrees, behind the 2016-2017 and 2015-2016 seasons. Snowfall was 46.9"; among the last 20 seasons, this is the 4th lowest total, inching ahead of 2005-2006, and well ahead of 2015-2016 and 2011-2012. &&
-
BTV climate piece sums up winter: && .CLIMATE... The meteorological winter (December to February) has come to a close. Preliminary average temperature data indicates it was the 3rd warmest winter on record in Burlington with a value of 29.0 degrees, behind the 2016-2017 and 2015-2016 seasons. Snowfall was 46.9"; among the last 20 seasons, this is the 4th lowest total, inching ahead of 2005-2006, and well ahead of 2015-2016 and 2011-2012. &&
-
Doesn’t look like the GFS snow map. Seems like the southern end is snowier though down to the Pike.
-
Sort of nickel and diming but 40% of seasonal snowfall looks to have come in just two events. 12/16-17 and 2/23. Some decent events mixed in.
-
Given snowfall totals to date, it must be tough to bust low on most events this winter. That’s tough to do.
-
Yeah for sure... but I'm not greedy, just put me in a situation to get a nice Advisory snow of 6" or so and folks down south can have 12-18" or whatever. Just like to be invited to the party, ha ha.
-
These types of weeks are how I love my skiing. No Winter Storm Warnings, no hype, no powder frenzy, just daily snows that add up over time.
-
Montreal forecast ranges from 15” to Partly Sunny.
-
Yeah that was a nice correction at the end.
-
Looks considerably north of 12z early on.
-
Without those things this storm tracks over Detroit and it’s dews of 50F to Canada. Those two things are working hard to just get NE in the game.
-
00z ICON shows the potential north of the Pike.
-
Just added it up, within an inch of 80" for the season. J.Spin appears to have cruised past 100". Averages for a season are like 115" and 140" respectfully? It would take a healthy run to get to average, but even a slightly below average total this winter would be a win given the temperature departures.
-
It's a snowy pattern. It wants to snow north of the gradient. Another 5-7" for Mitch to Dendy to the ME crew?
-
Yup, some consensus early on with mixed line down to the Pike, south of the NAM.
-
NAM trying to keep Ray to Tip snow. Looks bad at first then gets shunted east. The block doing it’s thing.
