powderfreak

Been flurrying all day at the mountain. The Newport, VT airport at 35F with -SN at 1:30pm .

lol. We are in snowmaking territory right now. We often fire up at wet-bulbs of 26F. Base area wet-bulb is 27.6F right now.

Natural A/C cranking?

I just looked back at those 18z temps from a couple days ago, though we are still an hour away from 18z. Smack in the middle of the NAM and GFS progs from Monday it looks like. NNE upper 30s to 50F, SNE upper 40s to 60F. Blend of NAM/GFS for the win and seems to be playing out as modeled for the most part.

This is pretty damn impressive. We are just barely above freezing at 1,500ft... 33.9F Stowe Country Club by my place is 37F. Summit is 20F (lol at Mount Washington 11F) Noon in mid-May.

It does look so weird with the leafed out vegetation to see flakes floating down. Pretty good flare up of flurries and snow showers into the hills with this vort max. Not too bad for May 17th, if it’s gonna be a chilly day might as well see some snow showers.

It’s snowing. Legit cold flurries floating around down into town. Light upslope looking radar.

It is absolutely a fluid look. Awesome that other people see the atmosphere similarly. Air moves the same way as water. It just depends on the “depth of the water” above the ground.

For me is the amazing stretch of weather in the middle of April skewed the whole month for me. Also coincided with an incredibly fun binge of spring skiing, sunburns, grilling, and excellent community vibes. Month finished +5.2 at MVL and +5.3 at Mansfield summit. Very similar monthly warmth from valley to summit. The 8 days of warmth, including three straight 81-85F days at MVL… absolutely bonkers. Summit hit 70F twice, four straight record highs inside the 8 day siege of blue skies and high diurnal swings.

Already dipping into the upper 30s along and just north of the Canadian border. Nice gradient with the front. Windows and doors slamming shut. Might need heat on up this way next 36 hours.

Jeez, 48F now. Was 70F not long ago.

Ahh, I’ll have to check the BTV obs. You’re right! Flags had gone NW about 30 minutes prior. Rain band was about 90 minutes behind the wind switch.

About exactly the same. Around 1.30”. Not sure the last time it rained. But I enjoy Stein quite a bit… I hate being stuck inside due to rain this time of year. Can water what needs to be watered. River still getting some snowmelt too though Stake down to about a foot or so. It’s really been a nice stretch.

Interesting sky this afternoon ahead of the FROPA.

Just curious, what’s your May total?

Lol. The internet/text shortcuts said WTTE means “words to that effect” but it didn’t make sense with what DIT posted. Thanks.

Today’s my first day on the internet… but what does WTTE mean?

BTV AFD sounds like near record cold on Wed night. It`s entirely possible we could observe some daily record lows with values in the teens to mid 20s in the Dacks and Northeast Kingdom and to the upper 20s to lower 30s in the broad valleys. Several sites will be within 5 degrees of records, with Montpelier and Saranac Lake currently forecast to break the record at time of writing.

True, in winter folks would be trying to focus on mid-levels at this point, while QPF queens get weenied. If anything QPF maps in the warm season will be worse given the convection and forcing mechanisms.

Is something changing in climo or are we just focusing on it so much more in the past 5 years or so on the forum? I swear we never used to talk or worry or complain about this stuff in the past, lol. Is our rain now coming in short high volume ways now when a decade ago it came more frequent lighter amounts? May rainfall in New England 5/1-15 if anything is on the wet side. Or did we as a forum population age so now we worry about shit like watering plants? We seem so hyper focused these summers now.

Just busting your balls a bit, but it’s every year now unless it’s a 40-inch summer. It can rain 6-12” and then go a dry week or two and the discussion focuses back on drought… when after the rain ends everyone is like oh we good for a month or so at least now.

Nah, will be fine through end of month after the first week’s rainfall. Just enjoy the nice dry weather.

Yeah we'll see if there's enough moisture around. The 3km NAM has -1C 925mb temps at 2pm in the afternoon up here. Pretty frigid even if this is overdone. Wednesday up in the NNE Mtns should be quite chilly.

It’s a bit deceiving because the highs for the day happen prior to the 2-8pm time frame. The GFS holds the temps past 2pm so they get into that map’s time. Still get that 55-60F he’s been saying but it happens at like 11am and then falls after. Very tough to see falling temps with max solar this time of year though. It’s more likely to hold steady and/or fight the CAA but it’ll be interesting to see what happens after 2pm on Wednesday.

Wednesday afternoon is looking pretty chilly. NAM has early highs in the mid-50s for most of SNE, but then the max temps from 2pm - 8pm (18z-00z) are cool. Max in the low 40s up here all day on this prog. GFS though is about 10F warmer in SNE... still 40s up here.