powderfreak
-
Posts
78,900 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by powderfreak
-
63/55... these evenings will soon become like 73/70 with mist and valley fog. Happy Summer Solstice. Wife and I went out to walk the dog and watch the sunset.... which was 8:40pm in Stowe. This is the furthest north the sun sets and only time of year it does it right behind Mansfield when viewed from Stowe Village. Time for it to start heading south again.
-
What’s the preferred model today?
-
Nice day in the northern mtns. Mid-60s at the picnic tables, upper 70s in the valley. Light breeze keeping bugs at bay.
-
Looks about right. Torch in the winter and then as temps come up the departures go down. Trying for endless April/May year round.
-
It is going to be humid no doubt. The A/C will be running, temps/weather notwithstanding. Looking over the guidance, it’s been pretty unwavering in the Td forecasts for a couple days now. The public will notice the shift. This will be a big 24-hour feel shift from 5pm Thursday to 5pm Friday.
-
I truly believe DIT when he says he doesn’t care about the temp, as long as the dew is up, he’s in his glory. 74/72? He’s happier than a pig in shit as the windows condense and start dripping water.
-
It’s been a top 10 day up here, though starting to cloud over more. I just post from the Picnic Tables. 77/48 at 36% RH recorded in the valley.
-
No one should ever use a weather model that doesn’t show them what they want to see. That’s the first rule of weather forums.
-
Awesome. But 75/51 today and beautiful. Enjoy it while it lasts.
-
Earlier this evening the wife and I were walking the dog and it was a perfect June evening. 64/54. Warm enough for shorts, but refreshing at the same time. Whole Rec fields and Path were empty, on such a gorgeous day. I said something like why is no one around? My wife says “Because it’s 8:20pm. Folks have dinner and are home for the night.” It was so light out and I had lost track of time… this is 8:20pm, it’s brighter than 1-2pm in the winter. Sunset is at 8:40pm.
-
I just picture someone getting so angry and irate at pleasant, comfortable weather and it makes me laugh every time. Throwing things in the house, because it’s super comfortable. Then rejoicing and throwing celebrations as soon as the weather gets uncomfortable… like whew, it was too nice. Glad that’s over. Always makes me chuckle.
-
Yeah that’s what it seemed to do there… bit more sun, less rain, hotter maxes. Either way pretty consistent ~70F dews it’s seems. ”Real feel” is probably the same either way. 78/73 with rain or 87/66 with sun.
-
Yeah you’re right, we’ll start splitting hairs over temps… 85F vs 88F, etc. Guess I should say widespread 90F like those high heater runs of the GFS had for multiple days. But that 18z run is plenty hot BOS to BDL with several days 83-90F.
-
To be fair, ineedsnow never mentioned dews at all during the interactions. Several times now it’s been insinuated dews was somehow in that discussion… there isn’t even a product that shows temps and dews on the same map. It’s always looked dewy, but the 88-93F stuff seems unlikely.
-
See that link Dryslot had sounded like resolution decreased days 1-15 from 18km to 36km. Unless that’s not the EPS but a completely different model… but it was talking about going from 51 to 101 members.
-
That was what I assumed. There’s no way they just don’t run a high-res operational run after all the work put into it. No one just scraps that.
-
Does this mean the Day 1-15 EPS resolution gets worse going from 18km to 36km grid resolution? Consistent resolution In Cycle 48r1, the horizontal resolution will be kept at 36 km for all extended-range predictions. Currently it is 18 km up to day 15 and 36 km up to day 46. The change was motivated by research experiments which did not show any statistically significant impacts resulting from the change in resolution.
-
Wait what? Scrapping the operational run? Or just transitioning it to the control run of the EPS?
-
Yeah I hiked so it was ok, even at 48F up top. Layer up the core and organs. But it was cold on the way down when not working as hard… had to jog a bit to keep temp up. Wouldn’t have wanted to be standing around.
-
Probably doesn’t even need a shirt to make sales calls from home. He said he wears pants when visiting accounts.
-
I’m with Kev, once I switch to shorts in May I’m in them into October almost exclusively. A wedding or something might lead to pants, but that’s it. 52F or 92F, it’s shorts once the switch flips. Layer the core to keep it warm when needed, but legs are free.
-
I posted GFS.
-
GFS has 73F ORH to 79F BDL at 3pm Friday. GGEM is mid-70s. Both are hotter in NNE. Don’t shoot the messenger, just looking at the models.
-
Ha, yeah. Think it’s hard to sell a change in summer… but then remember trying to get the snowless to buy a pattern change in winter. Folks definitely need to see it to believe it.
-
Terrain does no favors… it’ll start pissing me off if outdoor time starts getting curtailed regularly. Pray for swing and misses, unfortunately Mansfield area isn’t very good at that. Maybe we can escape in town.
