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Everything posted by powderfreak
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Good to look up… Tremblant had 258”. Mont Sutton immediately north of Jay Peak just over the border showing 140” at base and 186” up high (354-472cm). I believe that’s below normal but in-line with past few years. They top out at like 3,300ft I think? But they do better NW flow and those events were lacking.
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Nice Saturday in June. Feel lucky we’ve climbed to 61F.
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I will say our snowfall runs the other way and I believe it’s on the low side for the top. We leave inches on the table above 3kft. Which probably exacerbates the discrepancy. I mean we measured 220” rounding down and averaging certain measurements. 220” got a 90” Stake depth? Ha. Remember we only give oven value for snowfall. Not a range. So we are making sure that number blends data points. Not just totaling the highest number. We definitely have been moving the snowfall total away from mountain max and more toward the 2/3rds of the way up average with no measurements really occurring much above 3,000ft. Like if the hill gets 4” base, 7” at Cliff House… the High Rd plot is probably around 6” which is what report would say. Though 7” may have fallen for sure up higher. It’s hard to compare between areas… because it’s designed to offer the skiers that day the best info, not in a post season comparison. Like Sugarbush’s total is at 4000ft cam. Not everyone is comparing apples to apples.
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Not bad weather for a hike this morning. 45F at the picnic tables, 53F base. Cloud base about picnic table height. Nice variety for a cool hike after the heat this week.
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Zero rain here. Hoping we can go full Las Vegas and keep the diurnal swings going into the future.
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83F, 88F, 93F, 90F locally at MVL. That is a high-end heater up here. Yesterday at 93/46 max/min was a true Las Vegas day. The dry air mass and low dew points allowed the valley locations (light compressional heating into a very dry air) to really torch during this time. High diurnal ranges of 40-45+ in there too.
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Hey I wasn’t going to say it, but that station was an outlier for sure. Good drink there. Gotta love a solid downpour after a hot summer day.
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The two of you wanting rain but yet in a race to congratulate the other like claiming Stein is actually winning . Congrats Tolland. Weymouth is going to need a nice comeback.
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Going to be interesting for the Sox how late this gets delayed or cancelled. They are already scheduled to play the Rays 4 times within 48 hours. Looks like torrential rain at Fenway.
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Ha, we are 6 degrees behind yesterday. But guess 93-96F doesn’t grow on trees so fair to say today might just be more run of the mill upper 80s up north today.
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We are on the same exact page. Those are my thoughts as well. It would still easily be #1, it just might be a little more subdue if they had a consistent snow plot up high. I saw that very effect here when we did it. A 330” average drops to like 275” or something, which is still a ton of snow and second to Jay. My guess is like you said you’d see Jay go like 350” to 300” or low 3s. Still the most. In the end, the range snowfall on a snow report is often adding up the absolute maximum snowfall you might find on a mountain… and it might change from one part of the mountain to another depending on the event (which would be missed if measuring in same spot every time). Also I think if Jay started putting one value on its snow report instead of the range, you’d see totals lower to meet expectations a bit better, as you wouldn’t put the Beyond Beaver Pond Glade snow total as the single number, but you would for a high end of the range.
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That natural A/C happens quick on these low dew heaters. Sun goes down and the heat radiates out in a hurry. It’s almost like a cold front comes through at sunset and starts dropping 10F per hour.
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Good call on the 96F for BTV. Even SLK at 1,600ft hit 90F. 65F at MWN is pretty damn warm too. Hottest day of summer in NNE? Down 30+ degrees to 61F now though.
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They probably did, which is why they’d get more snow, just how much more though? The Cocorahs stations nearby don’t show much of note. The Westfield site at 1,100ft is only a few miles as the row flies and a normally a good barometer. They’ve put up some big snowfall totals; had 130” this year which almost seemed a bit below average. I seem to remember most of the bigger storms this year being to our south in S/C VT. Again, I don’t even think it’s on purpose, it’s just a function of estimating snowfall as many ski areas have done and some still do vs a controlled measurement in a singular location.
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Hey weather is a vibe. Sometimes I think you’re right, if you just keep the vibe alive no matter what guidance shows, you can steer the outcome. You will never ever be on board with a rainy cloudy cool vibe during the summer season. We’d probably send police for a welfare check if you started calling for 40s and rains.
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Calling for no crappy days or wet weekend weather for the next 5 months isn’t sniffing anything out . It’s staying on brand.
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There were some personnel changes in the snow reporter world up there, though we are friends that can joke with each other, and I’m not pinning it him at all ha ha. But I see what you’re saying J.Spin… even if it were high by 20% due to compounding ranges, it would be consistent over time. Who knows, I just know I don’t remember a series of events or even setups where Jay got like vastly more snow last year. BWT had a ton of snow for sure (honestly hard to tell difference of 180” and 240”, it’s all a lot at that point). His pack at 1800ft was big, but I think of 1800ft on Mansfield and having 4 feet on the ground sounds about right when there’s 90” up top. I don’t know. It’s always interesting. I do think they like the mystic too. More so than controlling the measurement, this keeps people chatting. Sometimes it’s just hard to wrap a head around 120” more inches (think ten addition snowstorms of a foot) in this particular season when there wasn’t a lot of upslope… and snowfall was synoptic so there wasn’t the usual huge increase in inches from lower elevations to upper elevations. Thats the key to me. The upper elevations were not favored, it was uniform, so if the base and lower elevations were fairly normal snowfall… and one applied the usual elevation multiplier… the summit snowfall could be overstated and made to seem normal too? The more I think about it, the more logical it becomes. When I started Stowe was measuring base area snow and just blanket adding 2-3” for summit. Every event the snow often falls within the range so no one notices… but what if the elevation multiplier one season was 1.3 vs 2.0 another season? One year 180” base area brings 360” summit, another only 234” summit? This season we had a low multiplier year play out. Valleys to mid-slopes was near normal, but summits solidly below normal. What if there’s something there about the multiplier effect and estimating 4,000ft snowfall from 1,500-2,000ft snowfall?
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Can’t disagree lol. The 10am terrain towers go up.
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Feels like up here we have our hottest days early season like today. Temps may not get this high in NNE again this summer. The 20-25% RH days at 92-97F have been hottest of the year in many recent years. Hard to get that high with dews.
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BTV 97F? 36C. METAR KBTV 012005Z AUTO 26005KT 10SM CLR 36/06 A2999
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BTV 95/45 at a desert 18% RH.
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91/47 at 21% RH. Looks like we hit 93F.
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Last day of ski season at Killington. Guess it's time to shut 'em down.
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Been several of those lately. Avon, CT had a bear come into a garage of a bakery and steal like 60 cupcakes on video. Columbia County, NY (just over the Mass/CT border) had a bear enter a house, walk to the kitchen and then a dog and human scared it off. Thing looked like it had to get up the courage to enter the home, pondered it for a while, then sheepishly went in. Ran terrified out at first sight of the dog. Just big raccoons.
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88F (31C) at 11:25am METAR KMVL 011525Z AUTO 03005KT 10SM CLR 31/13 A3011 Going to go big today into the 90s… they’ve got 90+ forecast up through 1500ft. Already up 42 degrees from this morning.