powderfreak

Yeah that’s what it seemed to do there… bit more sun, less rain, hotter maxes. Either way pretty consistent ~70F dews it’s seems. ”Real feel” is probably the same either way. 78/73 with rain or 87/66 with sun.

Yeah you’re right, we’ll start splitting hairs over temps… 85F vs 88F, etc. Guess I should say widespread 90F like those high heater runs of the GFS had for multiple days. But that 18z run is plenty hot BOS to BDL with several days 83-90F.

To be fair, ineedsnow never mentioned dews at all during the interactions. Several times now it’s been insinuated dews was somehow in that discussion… there isn’t even a product that shows temps and dews on the same map. It’s always looked dewy, but the 88-93F stuff seems unlikely.

See that link Dryslot had sounded like resolution decreased days 1-15 from 18km to 36km. Unless that’s not the EPS but a completely different model… but it was talking about going from 51 to 101 members.

That was what I assumed. There’s no way they just don’t run a high-res operational run after all the work put into it. No one just scraps that.

Does this mean the Day 1-15 EPS resolution gets worse going from 18km to 36km grid resolution? Consistent resolution In Cycle 48r1, the horizontal resolution will be kept at 36 km for all extended-range predictions. Currently it is 18 km up to day 15 and 36 km up to day 46. The change was motivated by research experiments which did not show any statistically significant impacts resulting from the change in resolution.

Wait what? Scrapping the operational run? Or just transitioning it to the control run of the EPS?

Yeah I hiked so it was ok, even at 48F up top. Layer up the core and organs. But it was cold on the way down when not working as hard… had to jog a bit to keep temp up. Wouldn’t have wanted to be standing around.

Probably doesn’t even need a shirt to make sales calls from home. He said he wears pants when visiting accounts.

I’m with Kev, once I switch to shorts in May I’m in them into October almost exclusively. A wedding or something might lead to pants, but that’s it. 52F or 92F, it’s shorts once the switch flips. Layer the core to keep it warm when needed, but legs are free.

I posted GFS.

GFS has 73F ORH to 79F BDL at 3pm Friday. GGEM is mid-70s. Both are hotter in NNE. Don’t shoot the messenger, just looking at the models.

Ha, yeah. Think it’s hard to sell a change in summer… but then remember trying to get the snowless to buy a pattern change in winter. Folks definitely need to see it to believe it.

Terrain does no favors… it’ll start pissing me off if outdoor time starts getting curtailed regularly. Pray for swing and misses, unfortunately Mansfield area isn’t very good at that. Maybe we can escape in town.

Yeah just running through the models, not overly hot (upper 70s to low 80s most spots) but dews around 70F with daily shower/storm chances. Could be quite wet but each day is hit or miss variety. Swampy.

Yeah we were stuck in the N flow reach around with 925mb temps in the 8-10C (45-50F) range this afternoon… along with thick stratus from the wrap around moisture. Drilling the chill into the northern mtns/hills. Looked like it was better S/SE of the mountains this afternoon.

Today seemed like the coldest one of them all to be honest.

You know I think you guys are right for sure… watching video of lightning hitting wood, it just explodes like that deck railing. There had to be an arm of electricity hitting that.

Yeah agreed. I questioned my sister while they were investigating… no burn marks or anything on the deck. Would a step show burnt wood? It was very odd to me. Like tree gets hit by lightning, deck blows apart too. I was asking if the tree hit the deck, nope. Just bizarre damage pattern. She said they thought their house was hit as it shook the whole house. Asked about windows and they said no broken windows, which would go first I’d assume.

This is wild to me. I did not know thunder concussive blasts could cause damage like this but the internet says it can: "The shock wave and thunder (at very close range to the lightning bolt) can cause property damage. Windows have been shattered by the concussion of thunder, and nail-supported drywall has popped away from wood studs in houses." My sister and brother-in-law's next door neighbor on Long Island had a tree take a direct hit by lightning yesterday... the tree was hit and blew up with bark scattered into neighbors yards... but the concussive blast destroyed their deck. I had no idea that was a thing. They can't think of anything else that caused the deck to just blow apart.

57/52. Just rolls on, enjoying nice 50s in June.

If one keeps saying torch from April onward, eventually it will be correct. One of these times he’s going to hit on it, ha. Maybe this is the time. This month has sucked, a lot of potential outdoor time spent wet or not being able to be out. Don’t care about temps but a couple dry weeks would be nice. Mtn Bike and hiking trails all mud now after being awesome dry for so long.

1.64” 2-day total.

If you’re concerned about the vegetation right now… it’s enjoying your rainfall. 0.45” today, 0.82” past week, 1.57” in past 17 days there? It’s probably a bit below normal given a 1”/week desire… but with these cooler temps (cloudy days too), that water goes a long way. No need for a mulch flushing deluge.

You always make me look because I don’t trust that you’ve actually looked when you say things like “everything has” a weather event … Let’s take Friday… GFS yes, GGEM no, Euro middle ground, EPS no. GFS has it. GGEM doesn’t. Euro is middle. EPS meh.