nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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Yellow'd
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Im in
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While you’re at it, start a storm thread for next Thursday too.
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We be snowin’. Wouldn’t shock me if many hit climo by month end.
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First legit threat to track for the entire sub forum which is always fun. I’m not even hunting a KU, just a nice Christmas appetizer of a few inches would be great. That upper level look says aspire more weenie, though.
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Like seeing that banana high look too.
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Meh. 50/50? Pass on that look…
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Just got to deep creek. Solid glacier on the ground and currently 31 with light FRZA/snow mix. Love seeing that upslope.
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I’m in DFW waiting for my connecting flight home. We are driving out there tonight when I land. Should get a few inches of upslope too. Pattern looks amazing for the lake to freeze over too.
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I’m waiting for PSU to come in and worry about being fringed / something slightly off in the setup / reasons why the storm won’t happen.
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Looks like snow is mixing in on the wisp cams. That’s good news to keep down ice totals.
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I’ll take that EPS look any day.
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Definite storm signal on the global 00z suite. That’s the takeaway from tonight.
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I’ll roll the dice with this look.
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29.7/19 at McHenry. LWX’s update tells me it’s unlikely I’m driving to Deep Creek Friday morning 62 and sunny here in San Diego.
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Yeah, OPs at range are lol. People shouldn’t put faith in any exact depiction on the OPs that far out whether good or bad. Stick to the ensembles.
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The euro is not the king it once was.
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I’m on the west coast for work so just catching up on the game. Awesome stuff! Ovi Ovi Ovi!
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18z Euro by precip type.
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Yep, 3k showing mid to upper teens in the watch areas. Even in non watch areas teens and 20s. I always think you should half/third the ice maps given latent heat release, etc to get an idea for actual accretion. But even doing that is a highly impactful event in the mountains and impactful for 81.
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I’m convinced most of the doom and gloom posters on d10 OPs actually want storms to fail so they can say “see I told you. It’ll never snow here” relentlessly.
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I think LWX will upgrade Garrett to an ice storm warning with their afternoon update. Even if low end of their forecast verifies, still a high impact event coupled with the wind.
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Hopefully no trees come down on our house. Things look dicey in the mountain areas with the ice and winds.
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Enjoy the high. Get ready for the low. Just read todays mood swings here as a preview.
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LWX mentioned in todays disco that the warm layer is shallower than previously modeled adding to the uncertainty in the forecast and potential for more frozen.
