nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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Yes…rain to start everywhere but mountains transition to heavy, wet snow (verbatim) from Saturday night on. This thing isn’t set in stone so I expect it could end up a cutter, a redeveloper from TN valley, etc.
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CMC ends as snow for the mountains…I guess a glass half full look at that for the ski resorts.
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Positive: Confluence better Negative: Vort stronger through the plains and phased with NS energy so it cut
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Closed 500 low over central IL not what we want to see. I haven’t looked at the surface.
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Through 144, 500H over NE is night/day from 18z. Not sure what it means down the line, but shows you this thing on the OP is far from being decided, even on the Euro which is flipping around.
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Heights lower in the NE at 132 (guessing from more confluence). Though, not sure if this is a thread to talk clowns and skeletons…
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00z NAM coming in as slow as the snow will accumulate Sunday night.
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Don’t ruin our Friday night buzz.
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SREF mean doubled from 0.2” to 0.4” of snow for DCA on the 21z run.
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That’s what I thought. Didn’t look worse so we take.
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18z EPS vs 12z EPS.
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Don’t ask questions. Just accept the blue.
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Made a margarita to get ready for the coming torch, apparently.
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GFS will have this thing in Bermuda next run (or Buffalo) so who knows lol. All I know is Wisp and Canaan really need the snow so a coastal bomb is good for them (and us :)).
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Kuchera has over 2'
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Wooooh boy, love that run for the mountains.
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Someone should start a thread for Sunday. It’s short range and will help keep this focused on late week potential.
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Caps with a beat down on the Jackets. Ovi goal #809. What a year he’s having.
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WPC Day 7 map. I’ll take my chances with this look.
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Yep, it would be more tolerable if the Chiefs beat the Bills head to head, but they didn’t.
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The MLK storm - ended up with about 20” (hard to tell with drifting). Heavy snow with temps in the teens, ended that night as some sleet. Then upslope cranked the next few days with blizzard conditions at times. Overall that is a top 5 storm for me.
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I heard on Twitter that March 2026 looks warm on the EuroGFSSuperX.
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Wasn’t he also calling for snow chances based on the pattern in December? Ultra LR ensembles shouldn’t be trusted that much.
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I enjoyed not having to wear a coat to Orangetheory this morning. And a gorgeous sunrise on the drive home. 58 currently.
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Is the late next week deal the first time the EPS has shown something trackable this winter? I just may not have been paying attention but it seems to be. A good cluster of LPs off the NC coast but the trough is still positively tilted so the mean is a bit more offshore than we’d like. But a signal for a coastal low and this far out, all we can ask for.
