Through 144, 500H over NE is night/day from 18z. Not sure what it means down the line, but shows you this thing on the OP is far from being decided, even on the Euro which is flipping around.
GFS will have this thing in Bermuda next run (or Buffalo) so who knows lol. All I know is Wisp and Canaan really need the snow so a coastal bomb is good for them (and us :)).
The MLK storm - ended up with about 20” (hard to tell with drifting). Heavy snow with temps in the teens, ended that night as some sleet. Then upslope cranked the next few days with blizzard conditions at times. Overall that is a top 5 storm for me.
Is the late next week deal the first time the EPS has shown something trackable this winter? I just may not have been paying attention but it seems to be.
A good cluster of LPs off the NC coast but the trough is still positively tilted so the mean is a bit more offshore than we’d like. But a signal for a coastal low and this far out, all we can ask for.
We usually need that many for one to work out - it’d be kind of funny if we score on one in what was a period that looked sub optimal with the pacific wave train crashing into CA.