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nj2va

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Everything posted by nj2va

  1. nj2va
  2. nj2va
    Temp down to 25.9 with winds gusting into the 30s. Got a good snow shower blowing through and there’s 8-12” snow depth/glacier on the ground. You can walk on the snow without falling through to the bottom it’s so dense/frozen. And can’t go without a deck pic:
  3. nj2va
    With how old SV graphics look, that could be a snow map from 1989 honestly
  4. nj2va
    Yeah, we have a local plow guy do it. We live up at the top of an unpaved hill - I wasn’t expecting this much snow to be on the ground so we didn’t call to get our hill plowed. Luckily made it up to the house (a few spots where I didn’t think we would) but he’s coming in the morning to plow the hill. 4WD and snow tires FTW!
  5. nj2va
    Just got to deep creek. 32 degrees with an icy mix. Hit a patch around Mt Storm, WV that was nearly white out with heavy snow and gusty winds.
  6. nj2va
    Hopefully it holds here, would like to prevent last week's storm where this just kept bleeding totals until gametime.
  7. nj2va
    It almost looks like (at least for the Euro’s solution verbatim), we would have been better if the coastal never formed. Once it did, it robbed the WAA precip that was aimed at us. Once the coastal formed, it was just too far east/off the coast to matter. It stopped the bleeding and that was good to see - onto the ensembles.
  8. nj2va
    If he’s in, I’m in.
  9. nj2va
    I just got whiplash from the last two pages of posts.
  10. nj2va
    I think we should go ahead and start a thread before the 12z runs. Let's really make people here panic by starting a thread...........................
  11. nj2va
    So this is an AI model generated by the EMCWF based on the Euro data?
  12. nj2va
    Members over 2” ticked up to 23/30 for DC. I’ll take P15 please.
  13. nj2va
    WPC for Days 4 and 5 and snippet of the disco - they don’t seem to favor the Euro’s solution. The 12Z and now the 00Z ECMWF deterministicruns are more offshore where hardly any precipitation is onshoreof the East Coast. This seems unlikely based on other guidance andthe EC ensemble mean and members, but unfortunately theECMWF-initialized machine learning models did not seem to run forthe 12Z cycle, so we lack that piece of information that couldhelp with the model diagnostics. ETA: Oops sorry, posed earlier too.
  14. nj2va
    It doesn’t come out for another hour by the time our storm is in range.
  15. nj2va
    this. I’d much rather see that than 18z keep going towards its 12z ‘where the storm at’ idea.
  16. nj2va
    FYP
  17. nj2va
    TPV looks like it’s oriented slightly differently than 12z too. I would think this would have helped to prevent squashing it but I’m a dumb dumb so what do I know.
  18. nj2va
    20/30 have 2"+ in DC. I'll take it.
  19. nj2va
    Woo! Flood watch.
  20. nj2va
    Yes, I'd rather see the ensembles SE at this point.
  21. nj2va
    Good point. I would guess this is one of those weird Euro MR burps where it has a totally new solution and then comes back (weenie, I know). I remember it did that with some of our other events too.
  22. nj2va
    Remember when the Euro didn’t flip around this much?
  23. nj2va
    Euro has some very light snow showers in the area Sunday night.
  24. nj2va
    Low of 29.
  25. nj2va
    Yeah, I thought the H5 continued to look better.
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