nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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Glad to see part of the forum cash in...enjoy it!
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Waiting on the meteogram but seems UKMET holds at least.
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I’m with WxUSAF that we’ll be tracking between Christmas and NY. It’s going to get real active around here in two weeks.
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And GFS keeps 0.1” south of EZF. Hopefully it’s wrong for our southern friends.
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ICON gets 0.1” to the border of Spots/Stafford Cty. A tiny nudge north but more importantly for @wawarriors4 bumped the heavier stuff north towards you.
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Snow falling from the sky? Maybe. Accumulating? Not much. 0.05” gets to DC. 0.1” through Southern FFX County.
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LWX needs to expand WSW to EZF. WWA for Stafford makes sense.
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Just a brutal cutoff on the NAM twins.
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3k NAM following suit with the wall set up somewhere in PW county.
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Don’t think the NAM is going to continue the north trend...if anything its a touch south than 18z. Through 24, 0.1” is in PWC. Such a tight gradient as EZF is 0.5”.
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SV has it. 0.25” went from north of DC to just south of the city. It’s not worth analyzing though.
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According to the Justin Berk manual, that’s where the baroclinic leaf is which means deathband setting up over MoCo/HoCo 24 hours from now.
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Oh noes. SREF bumped south a little from 15z. ::it’snothappening::
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Just got in from some Christmas shopping and a few great cocktails at PX in Old Town Alexandria. They make the best cocktails in the area.
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We do better when LWX is playing catchup during the storm. I’d be happy with a dusting.
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It had 0.05” at EZF at 12z.
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Indeed. I’d be feeling pretty good if I was you at seeing at least a few inches based on trends today.
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A lot of virga on the 3k NAM though. Total QPF for those hours over DC have yet to record anything.
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0.1” for MBY almost 0.2” for yours. Gotta like the trends.
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Heck, 15 miles would put DC in 0.25”.
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NAM QPF divides DC in half. SE DC ~0.1” while NW DC 0.0”.
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Whoa NAM. Looks like DC will be the cutoff this run but EZF is approaching 0.75.”
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They’re basically useless. Only thing they help with is passing the time until the 18z suite and sometimes they sniff out (or support) overall north/south trends.
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Pulling out all the stops since we’ve got nothing to lose. 15z SREFs also bumped north. 0.1” up to M/D line, 0.25” north of DC, 0.5” just south of FFX County. 9z had 0.1” south of DC.
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I’d expect ABQ to expand WWA/Watch this afternoon.
