I got what you meant...you were talking about their forecast for every storm. And I agree....just make a call and stick with it. Not these 20% chance of this, 40% chance of something else, 10% chance of that, and 30% chance of that other thing.
Yeah 00z was better for us. WAA went north of us and we don’t really get into the coastal too much. I’m putting all my eggs into the WAA as anything on top of that is gravy. I didn’t like what the Euro did for MBY.
Adjust for GFS’ terrible ability at thermals (not saying we don’t mix at all) but I don’t think we mix to the extent GFS is showing in that deform. Much better coastal for the area.
ICON looks like it would be about 0.5” QPF as snow from the WAA before any mixing concerns in DC. We then mix before the coastal takes over. CCB initially pointed north of us but then rotates down into the region and snows itself out through Tuesday. Looks great to me.
It seems like PSU is the mood ring of the storm thread. If he's happy about model runs, thats the general consensus. If he's panic'd about suppression, the mood follows.