SnowNiner
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Everything posted by SnowNiner
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Yeah I'd take one week. Most we can get it looks like is 3 days. And in between are these HUGE warm ups that take FOREVER! I feel like this warm run has lasted forevvvvvvveeeeerrr. We're not even in range of fantasy storms at this point, that's how long it's taking to get out of the crap pattern.
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Remember when we hoped the October -AO state would correlate to the winter AO state? lol.
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Yeah learning moment for me. Tracked this thing for 10 days, it got better and better. Never going to trust a storm unless I study the HRRR and see where the snow line is coming and I have to see I'm 20 miles north of it. Also, surface temps have to be at freezing or below for the majority of the event. Terrible bust for many. And it was a stinking Miller A !!!
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Took the middle ground. Ok, so 4 inch on the EURO + 10 inches for CLT = 14 inches / 2 = 7 inches. Is that how it works? I'll take it!
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I agree, it was late to the ballgame on every aspect of this storm. I expect it to ramp up totals to the west (I hope!) Raleigh guys, I'm telling you you're good anyway you pack it. Should be feeling good right now.
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Yeah, I don't want to get greedy from the 7 modeled, but if we can get this thing a little closer, I wouldn't be upset. That thin line through CLT could move awefully quick in 2 days time.
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You'd think at 2.5 days there'd be some GFS/EURO/Ukie/CMC consensus, but no. Hopefully Euro goes to the Ukie. Oh, and lower those stinkin snow shields! It's killing me you're not in to this threat. Raleigh seems to be sitting pretty I'm surprised you're not more excited...
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Models say thank you to me for all my time and attention by giving me a token inch and saying, you'll take it and like it!
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It ain't real till the Euro says so! Hoping gfs scores the coup....
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I tend to agree. It's amazing the blocking is so weak but the pv/50/50 stays so far south on most models, and so many high pressures are popping up right in the right place. I'm expecting to rug to be pulled out at any moment.
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Roses are red violets are blue, the GFS says snow. Now I want the Euro to say it too!
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Hadn't had a good Euro run in a long time....I think that tells the story...
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Yes, help me save them! Pull them out while there's still time!! Oh the humanity....don't go to the light, dgx. Lol.
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So sad, I don't know who's manipulating these models trying to get us to think it's going to snow in CLT, but it's just mean. I'm not falling for it though. Whatever model shows the least snow, that's the one I believe. I think I'm on the Euro right now...nice and cold...and only enough flakes to break the shutout. Just mean.
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Don't get get suckered back in, don't you do it...that's how they get you!
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Yes, Boone, and Blowing Rock! lol. Well I hope he means east of apps and I hope he's right.
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Yes, upper SE = Northern Virginia.
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The -AO/-NAO looks like it's got staying power, but the lack of a +PNA is killer as the trough stays in the west the whole run and the SE ridge still hangs around. Looks like we're still cool at 240 but not cold. It's amazing we complain for a -NAO then we get it....then we find another way to lose. It's -NAO, but not west based, so I guess that doesn't count....
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Yeah, I'm done with next week. That fish is fried. I think we had two lucky runs 2 days ago that got us baited and they've been pretty crappy ever since. Don't trust the weeklies though, things have been flopping back and forth it seems lately. Who knows what the next 2 weeks will be like....
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The EURO's? How so? I only glance at the limited data on tropical tidbits and I just see the mean 850 line creeping further north.
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Ensembles have been creeping worse and worse for the last two days. Haven't had a good run really by any model in a couple days. Honestly I think we're going to have to have the UKMET score a coup on temps for this thing to work out for the NC. If EURO is marginal today, I'll seriously lose interest.
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Not giving up quite yet, but it sure would be nice to have a snowy run in between all the craptastic ones.
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You're jinxing us man, take that sig down and lower your snow shields immediately. Even the EPS is not as good now. C'mon man!
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lol, Cold Rain has the no snow for you sign in his sig. Dang it, now I know all hope is lost. It's ok, still 7 weeks to go to get some snow this winter after this fail. (How's that for positivity and negativity in the same sentence!)
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Problem is the arctic front is coming in all wrong from due west, not from the lakes. It just ain't cold enough. Either that or the blocking is going to need to get back on roids.
