Tacoma

1 hour ago, cold air aloft said:

Maggie Valley usually doesn't do well with a pure NW flow event, but this event seemed to have more of a due north to south orientation which helped us to cash in. Nice to finally have it look and feel like Winter.

True about north to south, the radar showed that because normally Buncombe County will get a dusting to an inch in a NW flow but looking at it last night it was north to south. 

snowing lightly in West Asheville now,

This is  pitiful, all of the so called experts at the beginning of winter said the southeast would have more snow than average and the cold would come down and meet up with the southern storm track quite a bit this winter,  wellllllllllllll when is it going to commence?

Well the quiet on here speaks for itself, this is terrible guys, we have the cold and can't get the moisture, then we'll get the moisture and it warms up. 

4 hours ago, wncsnow said:

On the plus side its going to be in the 50s and 60s again next weekend 

27 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said:

Suppression city

Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
 

the NW trend will commence in about a week. 

31 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

28th storm is gone! Winters over

It will return.

1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said:

6z GFS is very close to a good storm next weekend and the one after that....

Rain storm or snow storm,   we hope the snow storm. 

1 hour ago, wncsnow said:

Sure would be nice to have some COLD air around..

Yep, it warms up when there is moisture in the air. 

41 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

I'm not making anything up, I reinforced my point with maps like you did with a graph. The key is if modifies in time to rain and the western ridge is continually getting beat down. The pattern we are entering does not look like a good one for snow but we can always hope 

The truth hurts, 

Boy ,,,,Quite,,,, 

47 minutes ago, calculus1 said:

There remains lots of potential in the next several weeks.  The 06Z GFS has cool to seasonal temperatures in NC for the entirety of its run following Friday.  There is also lots of opportunities for precipitations.  The trick is matching the two together.  I like our chances.

Boy guys I'm patiently waiting or at least I thought I was, this is crazy.  I think well maybe next week, maybe the next week and then maybe the next week,  wow we're gonna run out of weeks.  We had a glimmer of hope this week on a couple of models but as usual things are lost , not showing up.  I'm still trying to be optimistic.

1 hour ago, Queencitywx said:

I think, with the cold thats being modeled, january 2005 isnt a terrible analog. There were massive positive departures early in the month that went into two weeks in the icebox

But was there any snow in 2005?  

5 hours ago, ILMRoss said:

I would not write off some token flakes on Friday night, but those curling edges of the “front ends” are hard to predict 12 hours out, not just 5 days. Whatever falls would then have to be beefy enough to not evaporate in the residual dry air mass. So I wouldn’t put hard money on that.

Next week looks cool, with ample opportunity if the structure of the pattern holds, but most veterans here know how quickly that can sour. Would not yet focus on any particular time period.

Yep when they call for warm and rainy it verifies, when cold and snow it sours. 

Hey what happened to the 22???????? 

YUK!!!!!!

2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

How about the 560 hr GFS? Curious if the winter weather is going to get pushed back to Mid Feburary lol

Crazy, we went from a great looking snow setup on the 22, then the 24, 26 and now the 28.  Just keeps getting pushed  back everyday.  Next it will be February 1. 

14 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

The last drought monitor update, most of the upstate was still “ abnormally dry” it was a brutal summer! Loving these 1-3” rain events every 3-5 days!

If only we had some cold air to help out it could  be snow every 3-5 days, hell at this point I would take a 5 inch snowfall and call it a winter. 

well one good thing is there is no direction to go but up, that's some hope,

1 hour ago, mackerel_sky said:

It’s coming! The end of next week! A good, dry cold! That’ll be good, we need to dry out and I don’t like snow anyway!

of course, it will get cold the end of next week when there is no moisture around,

2 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Guess we punt peak climo and hope for a bottom of the 9th, 2 strikes miracle! Never fails in the South!

the south is one thing, but when the WNC Mtns. can't get any snow is another. 

We need some cold air, this warm stuff is killing us.  Mercy.

2 hours ago, Isopycnic said:

There’s potential on Jan 9th

the only problem with that date is man we're already talking Jan 9th, my goodness, unreal, we get rain and plenty of it.  We can't even get some flurries in the mountains, let alone the flat lands.

Boy nothing to track with the weather, very boring but maybe this means an awesome January.