Tacoma

10 hours ago, jjwxman said:

NAM’d

Boy what a perfect track of the Gulf Low, where the hell is the cold air when you need it, this weather is boring. 

8 minutes ago, oconeexman said:

Perfect Low track for a big one. Just need a blast of cold air to lock in

Think I've heard that one many times.

Well from whats happened in the past I wouldn't want a big snowstorm in December because I swear every time we have a big snowstorm in December I think we're going to have a great winter and then the rest of the winter we end up without another nice storm at all.  So I'll take my chances with the big snows holding off until January so maybe we can get a couple of nice storms. 

sounds like you guys are doing ok.  still not quite the storm I thought we were hearing about but maybe will show up later today for you.  here in Candler it was snowing around 3 this morning and  snowed til around 9 this morning but temps never made it to freezing, about 34 is all we could muster so not very good for us but these events usually aren't even though occasionally we'll get a couple of inches out of the NW flow.  oh well maybe we'll have a gulf low to track soon, that's where we get the moisture. 

4 minutes ago, Tacoma said:

comon fellas can Asheville not get just a little if there is even winter storm warnings posted and winter weather adv. for west, east and north of asheville?  plus for some of Buncombe County

my bad fellas I went to GSP site and it states also for the City of Asheville.  I missed that on the AW.

comon fellas can Asheville not get just a little if there is even winter storm warnings posted and winter weather adv. for west, east and north of asheville?  plus for some of Buncombe County

with all this snow around can't we muster up an inch for KAVL, gheeeezzz

wow, this isn't like the old days, I keep looking to see what the future may look like from the computers but no one is chiming in with anything, even if its eye candy some discussion is better than none.  

Doesn't all this thunder mean 10 days from now a snowstorm, I'm hearing so much thunder we might be in for a Blizzard.  I wish.  

2 hours ago, Lookout said:

I really can't get over a 1040/1041mb high in perfect position and we still can't get anything worthwhile in ga/sc. 

I agree, you would think with that strong of High Pressure there would be plenty of cold air for plain snow.

Well its cold today, but mostly rain, if its going to be cold I want it to snow, no snow come on warm temps.

1 hour ago, buncombe said:

GSP now expressing doubts about snow in latest AFD.  

Go figure, if it were suppose to be all rain the totals would probably go up but because its snow the totals or models trend down, we can't even get it when it's forecast around here  

3 hours ago, wncsnow said:

Better enjoy the slightly drier weather.. Its gonna get very wet again starting next weekend

yep go figure next weekend a rain event, gets cold we can't get the moisture then turns warm and we get two days of rain, I would love to get two or three days of snow for a change but it doesn't work out that way, 

Why is there not a thread following the 29-31 time period, we are within 4 days and every time we see a new model they continue to show that time frame with snow and increasing amounts.  

Surprised there isn't a thread started for the Jan. 29-30-31 time frame.  The chance of some snow looks good during that time if not a possible storm forming in the gulf to enhance the snow, something to follow, things are looking better and better for that time and we're only 4 days out.

well if you read GSP Discussion they don't sound to excited about next week, we're going to run out of time if something doesn't pop soon.

Just now, JoshM said:

6z GFS is a nice cold rain

Doesn't look right with snow to the south and rain to the north.

Is there two or three snow shower events or a couple of light snows coming a couple of times next week for N.GA. WNC and Upstate SC.  Just don't see a big event unless something sneaks up on us. At this point I'll take the small events though.

1 minute ago, FallsLake said:

Yeah, I guess it's better than having nothing. You would think that one of these 8-10 day storms will eventually work out. 

I keep hoping every time I see that a storm is showing I keep thinking and hoping that will be the storm that holds but here lately things fall apart before they get started good, 

20 minutes ago, FallsLake said:

Nope, and the Canadian went down as well. 

But on the positive side, the Canadian does have a nice storm showing in the 8/9 day range............................................................................. 

always 8-10 days away, at least its something to follow.

59 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

The more I look at these model runs the more frustrating it gets.... 1-2" rainfalls, the dry and cold several days, then it warms up enough to give us another rain. Then it gets cold and dry again... a "Rinse & Repeat" pattern

same here can cause a man to pull his hair out, soaking rains then dry and cold, soaking rains then dry and cold.  Odds are the moisture and the cold are going to meet up but boy are the odds against us.  

29 minutes ago, oconeexman said:

WWA for here in the morning. Could be our best shot at frozen precip in this awesome pattern....lol

Yep so much for this awesome pattern, all we can get is a little ice, mercy.

41 minutes ago, FallsLake said:

I would still take the 6z FV3 at face value. It has a small event (1-2") at day 7/8 and then a more significant event at the end of the run. 

Point is, these models don't have a clue. We're seeing big swings in the medium and LR, not just in the finer details but the overall pattern depiction.  

Yep same old same old it's 7 or 8 days for snow then it's another 7or 8 days for snow then another, we're going to run out of winter if something doesn't pop soon.  I can't believe we've gone the whole month of January and not had a decent storm to follow, or I should say we've had a couple to follow but they go poof.  I would have bet money we would have a good snow storm at least one in January and now it's looking like thru February 8 is not looking good.

Well here we go again we're very cold of which would support snow easily, but we warm up and get 2-3 inches of rain Wednesday night into Thursday and then we turn cold again but no moisture, dry and cold again, very very disappointing.

Yep normally when a storm is squashed it's because of a very strong HP is keeping the storm from coming NW, the old NW trend.  Cold and dry but I'm surprised because of this the moisture isn't coming NW and we warm up and get rain.  Plus with the snow chances over the next 7-10 days none of the 7-10 day forecast barely mention any snow, not really even seeing anyone saying much of a chance of snow yet.  We all know how fast the chances can change especially being so far out right now.