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snowfan

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Everything posted by snowfan

  1. snowfan
    Yesterday’s temp profile was more promising. This looks like white rain unless you’re west of 81. Plenty of time to improve though.
  2. snowfan
    I appreciate that you ‘op run at range’ ed your own post lol. All true re: op run. That said, you would expect that the signals showing up in the ensembles will eventually translate to some consistent signs of cold/storminess in the ops. Let’s just assume this is the LR GFS doing its usual every 6 hour dance.
  3. snowfan
    Big dog pattern.
  4. snowfan
    Lord….you already have ppl canceling next winter based on historical trends when ppl can’t even get this winter right based on historical trends. Take the seasonal approach and hold off on evaluating next winter until ya know…..closer to next winter.
  5. snowfan
    We are also now targeting post-Feb 20.
  6. snowfan
    And BN precip would be consistent with CPCs outlook for both 8-14 days and 3-4 weeks out.
  7. snowfan
    Good radiational cooling night underway. Tipton airport topped out at 50 and is already down to 32.
  8. snowfan
    We are not far away from the time of year when retaining snow cover becomes a real challenge outside of the mountain west and interior New England. Doesn’t mean it can’t snow of course, but you need that early season snowfall And sustained cold to have big impact on snow cover outside the mountains.
  9. snowfan
    Looks like we have at least another 7-10 days of AOA temps. Given trees/plants are already showing signs of early growth, I’m assuming we’re going to have some issues with late season cold killing things off.
  10. snowfan
    GFS op is just a continuation of the seasons long theme….active with a number of systems to look at, but marginal to crappy temps. Even at the end of the run, there are 50s/60s in the middle of the country on the way to OBY. I get it….LR looks promising on ensembles. That doesn’t always translate, but hopefully it will this yr.
  11. snowfan
    Read the room. Many/most here would absolutely love that.
  12. snowfan
    Can confirm…..just a bad winter stretch even out in Canaan. Such a stark contrast from two weeks ago. Here’s a snap from yesterday at Douglas falls.
  13. snowfan
    The post analysis of why this didn’t turn out to be an epic pattern will be glorious. I’m sure someone already has a few pages typed up just in case.
  14. snowfan
    Fire up the grills and open the pools for Super Bowl Sunday.
  15. snowfan
    As has been the case most of the winter, the airmass is crap. Verbatim, that would be a rate/time of day dependent wet pasting for the N/W areas. That said, it’s a positive to see both this system and the one that precedes it a few days showing up.
  16. snowfan
    It’s too soon to write off winter. We know we can score in Feb and March. That said, we’re losing ground quickly on the ability to retain said snow for a significant period of time. Id much rather have cold w a few inches on the ground for a few weeks than I would 6-8” that melts in 2 days.
  17. snowfan
    Very solid trade. Nice move to solidify the starting rotation.
  18. snowfan
    Never a good thing when this thread turns into a trip down memory lane. If the 18z gfs op is close to accurate, we’ll have blooming daffodils and crocuses before the flip.
  19. snowfan
    Natives are going to get restless if the ops don’t start showing some consistent hits in the LR.
  20. snowfan
    Do we really need two threads to track February? Get organized people. Can’t imagine how chaotic some of your desktops look.
  21. snowfan
  22. snowfan
    At least the gfs wasn’t a snore fest. We be tracking in a week or so.
  23. snowfan
    Something you’re not likely to see this year.
  24. snowfan
    Gorgeous morning in Canaan with undercast in the valley.
  25. snowfan
    Home opener is two months from today.
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